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JFC I hope that's wrong.

are you saying that we just don't know?

Plenty of cold available on today’s Euro Weeklies from week 2 through 6.

Never a doubt

Another sucky Ravens team performance. But a win is still a win.

My back faces the NE and the front faces SW and I will not lie to you when I say that the SW-facing front gets blasted (especially in summer but also in winter as the low sun angle still favors the south). Any snow that might accumulate on the roof in the front is always the first to disappear where the back roof snow lingers for a long time. So I think that makes a difference with the air running through duct in the roof. However if there's a nor'easter, the rain (or snow in winter) chills it all down quick, fast, and in a hurry, especially in my back bedroom! The low IMBY this morning of 30 was the coldest since April 9 and my first this season below freezing. I had picked up 0.36" of rain yesterday, with a low of 35 and high of 51. It's currently partly sunny and 50 with dp 38.

I think so too man. We're not going back. I can see NYC settling on a 15ish inch mean for good now, absent a volcanic eruption like bluewave said.

Light snow shower here

Today’s Euro Weeklies aren’t what you want to see if you don’t want them to be warmer than yesterday: the most intense cold on the run is W and SW of Chicago and perhaps near ME. I personally hate them because the colder the better and I hate sweating in winter when I take my walks and the warmest anomalies in the US are in the deep SE: Dec 1-7: very slightly warmer/strong SER: Dec 8-14: slightly warmer/stronger SER lingering: Dec 15-21: warmer/SER won’t give up Dec 22-28: SER finally weakened but slightly warmer NE vs yesterday Dec 29-Jan 4: SER staying weak but slightly warmer NE vs yesterday:

Yeah the past two fall seasons featured the Same problem. Very strange, cant be a good sign. It’s crazy how 2019 winter (which was seen as almost a dud at the time because NYC only had 20”, is actually better than almost all other winters we have seen in the past 7 years). Thinking this is probably the new normal.

December's looking bad according to today's CFS v2 weeklies.

100%. It is so bizarre to see like none of the conus with snow cover this late into November. Can't be a good sign. Even if the cold shot early dec bleeds east like the weenies think it'll quickly moderate anyway from the lack of snowcover. Not gonna cancel winter on Nov 23 but i wouldn't be surprised if this is another stinker.

31.9F Light snow vis 1.5 miles

First "measurable". Weee!

Good thing it’s not even real winter you silly person. If it even plays out like your model output says .

33° -SN Sticking in shaded spots

Not too bad here today. Just hovering above 32° after a high of 34°. A beautiful picturesque snow. Hasn’t taken long for Lake Flower to freeze over. I see some deep cold on the Euro too…

Basically whichever way you slice it the atmosphere is biased against cold and snow in the east now.

Luckily the Euro doesn't carry nearly as much weight anymore.

Because that's too far out. Underestimate the SE ridge at your own peril.

December is looking like a write-off. Today's CFS v2 weeklies are a blowtorch all the way.

Subsurface has been in a steady state for a bit now but we are starting to see a sharpening of the thermocline both warm and cold pockets so we may have some impact starting to show up in the 2 weeks from the MJO.

Cansips forecast for November has been very good. That's the seasonal I'm riding until it fails.

Mood flakes in the hood .

Having a Guinness at the marina. Wife captured nice reflection across the Causeway Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk