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The top 5 analog years are all in the last 5 years. How have you done in the last 5 years? The next two weeks should have a trough in the NE N. Pacific. If people are freaking out about warm SSTAs there, there really shouldn't be a strong, persistent trough developing but the atmosphere comes first and SSTs 2nd. In 2 weeks the warm water in the Gulf of Alaska should cool..

Lol. I didn't notice that. Should or proof read.

I’ve had less than 1” rain since June 20.

Especially since Capital Region Water is gonna start drawing out of the river soon. They will shut down Dehart supply to fix pipes I think for about 2 weeks.

I dunno,dont shoot the messenger,but it seems to be more related to the ENSO,IN 1980 our subforum into NC and the east coast would be saying bring it on,maybe a coincidence,i have know clue,planetary waves can take weeks if not months to have effects in NA, but both of these years i stated above seem to be more of developing ELNino,not NINA with a SWE in the SP https://www.weather.gov/mhx/Mar011980EventReview

I was going to say...see you around Thanksgiving. Regardless, have an amazing time!

Yes it does.

Yikes days lol 5 in Copenhagen, 5 in Stockholm

the only real dip we had was in 2020 during the pandemic, when not coincidentally, air and water pollution also got much less.

whats causing the increase in consumption Don? something that no one likes to talk about but is a fundamental problem with society today is population growth. I know it's not as much of a problem in Westernized nations but it's most definitely a problem in the Developing world. The UN estimates the population will stabilize around 11 billion in 2080 and they'd better be right, one of the major reasons for all this usage of energy and resources is the earth simply cannot support a human population more than about 11 billion-- it's the carrying capacity of humans on the planet.

averages dropping quick now

Wow, where are you heading? Iceland?

I wish we had this weather April through October.. its been perfect!

Ha, dummy bet. Yet watch there be a BARREN basin of nothing 9/15-10/5 , beyond these posts

You're going away for 10 weeks? Sounds very intriguing.

Just kidding... I would be very surprised if we didn't see an uptick heading in late month period. We've got no where to go but up? Lol

Also; the main tropical thread was cleaned up some, much more readable now.

Highs: PHL: 84 EWR: 81 New Brnswck: 80 TEB: 80 TTN: 80 ACY: 80 ISP: 79 * missing intra hour highs 1Pm - 7Pm LGA: 79 JFK: 78 NYC: 78

For here? pretty much never, so we are (well, I'm) not discussing that. For the overall tropical Atlantic? Things will heat up a bit. Though I'm skeptical outside of GOM at this point, until there is a legitimate contender.

A whole generation is growing up not knowing what a noreaster even is. The horror!

If "gone wild" means continuing the theme of almost no chance of tropical threat, then I agree!

For PHL, last 6-inch snowstorm was Jan 28-29, 2022. Last 8-inch snowstorm was Jan 22-23, 2016. The 2016 one was probably the last real KU for our area.

18z gfs gone wild

Gfs is interesting

The problem is that oil, gas and coal consumption continues to increase, alongside renewables. This persistent growth locks in higher greenhouse gas emissions, undermining climate targets and amplifying extreme weather, sea-level rise, and ecosystem risks. Science has been clear. Scientists have done their job. Human society, at least its political leaders, have decided to continue burn excessive amounts of coal, gas, and oil despite the known consequences of their choice. From Statista: From the IEA: Global coal demand increased to a new all-time high in 2024 of around 8.8 billion tonnes, up 1.5% from 2023, as rising consumption in China, India, Indonesia and other emerging economies more than offset declines in advanced economies in Europe, North America and northeast Asia. However, several of those trends reversed in the first half of 2025 as demand declined in China and India; by contrast, coal use grew by around 10% in the United States. Even so, global coal demand is still set to increase slightly in 2025, followed by a marginal decline in 2026, bringing demand to just below 2024 levels.