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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TimB replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
If you throw out those two erroneous data points, the highest dewpoint ever observed at PIT prior to March 15th was 61 on 1/8/1998. We could be reaching levels of humidity on Saturday that are unprecedented so early in the season. -
Yeah, I'd be curious what the snow depth difference is between the two the day after the snowfall.
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Its coming?
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Looks great to me!
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The cold ? Its definitely coming but the magnitude is still yet to be determined.
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Very breezy in Chelsea when I left work...right next to KBOS
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The new HREF is going to have to fail miserably with the amount of zr it has south of pike in NE/ NW CT hills into N RI
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I'd say!
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So out in CT?
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One thing that’s really cool with the AguaceroWx app is it allows you to customize a Skew T. So when it generates a Skew T, you can actually change the temperature, DP, wind, shear, etc…. To see how that changes the parameters. For example if the SBCAPE is 1500 joules at 70 degrees, you can change the temperature to 75 degrees to see how that changes the CAPE. Pretty cool. .
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Im thinking ORH hills south of rt2 might be the best bet until they flip to sleet/snow
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Don't forget that ISP adds up 6-hour-snowfalls. That matters the most in prolonged major events and sometimes not at all in smaller events.
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Yeah, that's not verifying.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Winter Wizard replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's a bit of a misconception that the PNA corresponds to a western US ridge/trough, the index actually corresponds to a much broader area per the CPC: PNA = Z*(15°N-25°N,180-140°W)-Z*(40°N-50°N,180-140°W) +Z*(45°N-60°N,125°W-105°W)-Z*(25°N-35°N,90°W-70°W) So in the case of December, the -PNA was mostly the result of strong troughing over western Canada, which in turn torched the Southwest US. Good reminder that the number isn't the be all, end all, you have to look at the bigger picture. -
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Extended looks good IMO. Models are still highly erratic though, so will be expecting many wild run-to-run swings.
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Is there even any ice threat anymore ? Hope it’s not totally over
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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I am all in. Let's go...
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
