All Activity

Same here. Heavy drizzle! Hasn't even added a hundredth to the meager total lol.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/05/modest-cool-enso-influences-may-persist.html

WB 18Z GFS....brings the rain back by early evening on Monday in Western zones.

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/05/modest-cool-enso-influences-may-persist.html

Tonight and tomorrow will be rainy and exceptionally cool for this time of year. A storm total 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely into Friday morning. Temperatures will top out in the lower to middle 50s in New York City tomorrow. Tomorrow's record low maximum temperature is 54° from 1894. That mark could be challenged. The below normal temperatures could persist into early next week. However,it could turn noticeably warmer during the closing days of the month or opening of June. Showers could persist into Friday. It is likely that New York City will see the mercury dip below 50° on Thursday night and Friday morning. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was -3.58 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.328 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (normal).

What's old is new and that old cyclical climate change is no doubt coming back around for future generations to enjoy!! Can the cold of the 1970's be far behind us??

Another 0.30" today brings us to 2.20" for the 3-day total. Only made it to 54 this afternoon under the heavy overcast. Hard to believe we hit 95 6 days ago.

Heavy rain showers moving through....enough to wash in my late spring lawn treatment! (HRRR forecast from the am did a good job...)

Well under a tenth of an inch down here but the good stuff seems to be on the way.

.15” rain so far today. 54 is the high.

Luckily just oaks surrounding me. The dongs are down for the most part.

18z GEMLAM still pretty decent for our area. RGEM was east at 12z as well. But NAMS got heavier and more west compared to 12z.

I think NY has enough laws and regulations on the books as it is lol

Likely just bring more seeds from your neighbor's trees to your lawn.

Biggest load of horse s*** . People have eyes, they can see full ponds and running streams.

Hopefully some more Norways are brought down.

Cook something. Putting something in the oven does a remarkably good job of heating up a house, especially if it's something like a condo.

How often we get perfect timing in the winter? I would take this any day of the week in January or February.

my condo turns the heat off may 5th every year. its brick in here rn. dreaming of san diego now. this is absurdity

Wow!

This was the 12z run, 18z backed off quite a bit but still has a large of 2"+ and by large swath I mean basically all of CT/RI/MA with totals approaching 3" in southern VT.

2018-19 was a nearly identical winter to 2016-17. Both were C to C- winters, with a lot of nickel-and-dimers, but no real snowstorm. Both are notable for having their most notable storm outside of the DJF period (18-19 in mid-November, and 16-17 in mid-March). 18-19 did have its moments of cold (November and March were well below average, and DJF was only about +1, +2 above average), while 16-17 was a blowtorch pretty much all winter (with the exception of March).

Thank the gods we can still get record cold crap days in the best month of the year while the rest of the year/world warms inexorably onward

It barely gets below 996 mb ... ha. I get the enthusiasm for weather events and applaud that, but... she ain't no tempest. It's really just a perfect timing of large scale synoptics that takes a piece of shit low and enables it to seriously f-up almost 3 consecutive days. Welcome to spring in New England

It's been drizzling pretty hard for several hours but not showing on radar. The precip on radar west of DC looks pretty nice. It looks like a wet evening.