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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
47 here but only .08” rain. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Let’s blow the chicken coops to Gene’s house. -
Just had a downpour and pretty good hail here in miller place. Like a nice quick summer storm popped up out of nowhere.
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Keep that for AEMATT. I’d like my rain to touch ground and not be horizontal. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
There’s some CAPE out there. Some TCU. Let’s get some thunder. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I like the 934 member near PVC -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
You can do it put your ween into it -
It appears the surface center was pulled a bit northeast by the overnight convection, but the future track has not changed. The 00z and 06z Euro show what will happen if Melissa can stay far enough sw to get caught under the building ridge this weekend. It would likely explode into a spectacular hurricane.
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Im working on it -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Looks like 0.36” will do it. Let’s get some tropical rain up here -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
You’re doubling me up with every event, just like winter. -
.07” overnight. Not much breeze with the showers but still lost a few gravestones.
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some downpours here this AM-about .50 so far
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From Fells Point in Bmore looking towards Canton, in sequence with about ten minutes from first to last.
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0.15” overnight and over a half inch the past two days. Also, what an incredible sunrise! Pics to follow.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Mikeymac5306 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
This morning's GFS and CMC run say "What Halloween Storm?" While Euro keeps all the heavy activity and Melissa off the coast next weekend. -
But the NAO has been negative every October since 2019. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table
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My rain gauge on my ambient station stopped working. Assuming at least .25 overnight?
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
SJonesWX replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
0.4" still raining but letting up. that brings me to 2.5" MTD -
Yeah, we get these really juicy long range Euro forecasts which end up verifying lower the closer in time we get. Eventually, one of these long range heavy rainfall forecasts will work out. But it’s already wavering for later in the month. Hard to get excited for anything beyond 120-168 hrs with so much high pressure dominating up in Canada. New run more high pressure suppression Old run was much wetter
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Euro close to violence -
.45", 2.22" for the month.
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0.05”. Better than nothing as we transition back to dry.
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Maybe he's just talking about the low tide smell of hydrogen sulfide gas
