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  2. * The warm air temperatures this weekend in the middle to upper 60s may cause people to underestimate the dangers of the cold water temperatures, which are currently only in the lower 50s across Sebago Lake and Lake Winnipesaukee, and in the middle 50s in the regions smaller lakes and rivers.
  3. Ya at least there was sun between the semi often pop up clouds/rain showers. Today is just flat out cloudy. Pattern blows.
  4. I agree, the planet itself regulates how hot it can get. It's not all about human induced climate change, but also the earth's own natural regulatory processes and how they interact with it.
  5. in other words our hottest summers will be a thing of the past? I don't buy this summer climate being hotter for us than what we had in the past....it's definitely not, not even for NJ, especially if you go by peak temperatures. It's weird to see it hotter in the PNW, with the ocean to their west lol. I do think these things go in cycles though, so I do think a 1960s type pattern will return at some point. It's all about extremes and that high has to move at some point.
  6. Hmmm, from this morning LWX AFD The end of the week into this weekend is starting to look more interesting with each run of model guidance. Those two upper-lows may try to phase into one over the eastern CONUS during this timeframe. Should this occur, a powerful surface low could bring some impactful weather to the region. Lots of uncertainty at this point however, so going to keep it vague for now. Just know that this is a period to watch this week.
  7. It's been a cloudy morning here with a few showers.. tomorrow should be better for most
  8. Hard to believe yesterday was nicer than today . Was not on anyone’s bingo card
  9. Im at 54, better than the 40s we had last week, I remember Memorial Day being a good beach day in years past.
  10. isn't CP all time high 106 from the 1930's? 112-114 wow. Has the earth warmed that much ? With the marine influence on the coast I doubt NYC temps could ever reach that high. The hottest day I ever remember was July 15th 1995. 102 with dewpoints near 80 could kill you. And it did for many of the old in Chicago.
  11. So-so call on this forecast. Trough swung through the Lakes, HP took over before LP from the SW could move into the sub. Looks like LP will move along the OHRV on Tues.
  12. All our summer heat over the last decade had come with onshore flow and record high dew points. This is a result of the big ridge setting up east of New England. So the 100° heat has been mostly found over NJ with only occasional instances into Queens. It has also been a pretty rainy summer pattern. From 2010 to 2013 the ridge was to our west over the Great Lakes. So we got frequent westerly flow downsloping events. Even though the dry patterns were modest compared to earlier times, we still maxed out at 108°. Parts of the Pacific Northwest had highs 6° above the all-time levels back in 2021. The result of the much warmer climate in the 2020s and the historic droughts out West. So if this area ever saw a 1960s style drought with 2020s temperatures and westerly flow, then the max temperature potential would probably be 112° to 114°. The good news is that it’s very difficult to meet these conditions in this new climate. Since it’s uncertain how well our power grid would function with widespread temperatures that high.
  13. just enough low level cape to produce barbecue ruiners
  14. It runs through October 26th.
  15. it's only 50% cloudy here but the sun just happens to be covered. if the winds stay up they will blow the clouds away
  16. FPizz and I roast while and relief storms dodge us. I'd like my pool to warm up soon without using the heater all day, lol.
  17. Today
  18. JFK better hit at least 105 in that pattern.
  19. 1966 and 1983 had absolutely amazing summers even with spring temperatures never making it out of the 70s.
  20. Yes-- and number1 and number 2 on that average high temperature list had VERY hot summers. From that chart it can be seen that this spring is very similar to last year's On the top chart, it's amazing that 1983 had the lowest high since it was the hottest summer here until 2010.... 1983 must have had an extremely rainy spring to keep the highest spring temperature down at 75. 1966 was our hottest summer before 1983 with 100+ degree temperatures starting in June and continuing into July so it's amazing to see its highest spring temperature down at 79 too.
  21. Our baselines are high. I worry what will happen when we get a real hot pattern set up. We have seen records shattered by huge margins worldwide when a hot pattern sets up over them. Our region hasn't really had that happen in several years. I can see the Fpizz to Newark corridor getting to 110F with the right pattern.
  22. I got absolutely destroyed by allergies yesterday after doing yard work for most of the day. Rain didn’t sweep out all the pollen apparently lol
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