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  2. Gfs is alone with the 6" line that far south. It has been consistent though. Generally its not going to pick up on that warm nose though
  3. it ain't cnj without some sleet i tell ya....
  4. I'll buy that GFS run for a dollar... Hell I'd pay a hundred...
  5. It look like scooter will be able.to see that 1-2" out his window.
  6. Texas or sure needs a MUCH better Pacific. We just need a serviceable Pacific w/ the NAO in place. I think climatology eventually wins with this setup. For mountain areas, climatology could win bigly. Foothills areas....TBD. Middle and western areas...I would say sliders are the best opportunity w/ the NAO. But we'll see. You all usually find a way to score w/ Nina winters and ample cold. Even souther areas of the forum(northern regions of the Gulf states have a shot).
  7. GFS soundings show no mixing or warm nose issues at all. Entire column is below freezing, higher kuchera ratios are possible here
  8. So one model has a crazy run and it’s suicide watch? Unbelievable. .
  9. Youre crazy then. Im 20 north and have 0 concerns. Zero. these guys on here are all talking themselves into a nut job mode. A week out they were convinced. 24 hours out with a snowstorm on the way they cant sign on the line. Every storm and its crazy. You mark my words the biggest cash in tomorrow is going to be around 287. But all get something
  10. Who is a weenie to believe ? anyone who is discounting the potential across north central NJ into NYC might bust IMO....
  11. True that Definitely looking forward to what I hope is a wall of snow.
  12. Updated map and even a blog post https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/12/friday-december-26-2025-southern-new.html
  13. as useless as steve d....and crappy for my area anyway
  14. This is from a guy who posts at another forum fwiw
  15. Best run yet verbatim fo mby… I really need to stop looking. It will be what it is, most likely 3-6” fo many
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