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  2. Started physical therapy today. Tonight my shoulder huuuurts, understandably. But the streak of absolute amazing weather continues. I don’t remember the last time we had such a sustained period of perfect autumn.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. Temps are relative. What made that winter work was the -AO/NAO combo. It was beastly and persistent. Still took some luck to get those epic storms. And it was mild in between. We shall see if something like that can transpire again.
  5. at least there's an actual low pressure to argue about
  6. Probably. The defense is lost. Most of the players are either young underachievers, or older and washed up- but making a lot of money. All on DeCosta. He built it.
  7. Why is Mark saying surface impacts are expected to start in mid-Nov? @Stormchaserchuck1said it takes 30-45 days, which wouldn’t be til Dec. Does he need clicks and likes that badly?
  8. Wow https://x.com/meteomark/status/2115552472420831557?a=0nstg66dq8DYsk9UZEo&s=46
  9. Hard to argue. Both seem washed. Humphrey has been for a couple years at least. Plus he is a pain in the ass.
  10. Pretty good take by Wink. He knows the defensive tradition with the Ravens. He was aggressive as a coordinator. Maybe he should be hired as a consultant.
  11. Briefly is likely. The problem along 95 is the time of year. Water temps are still in the low 60s in the north east. So even if we get a couple 40/70 tracks in the time frame it’s hard to pull anything off. We saw that with October 11 storm. If it had been a month later 95 would have seen 12”+ totals. Our best bet is a second disruption in late January that gives us a window in February. .
  12. Today
  13. 1994-95 is a sneaky good analog. Maybe even better than 1997-98. I know 94-95 wasn't as strong of an el nino, but this is the closest match we have with the PDO (-), QBO (+), NAO, AO, and solar.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. tornado warning at a place between Minneapolis and Duluth. The place is called Siren.
  16. So, if you can have a weakened vortex. That part is important. Plus this residual -AAM in the mid latitudes. With something like a +MT to shove it towards the pole. You'd stand a pretty good chance to see some high latitude blocking actually.
  17. The leaves are beautiful on the eastern escarpment not as beautiful French Broad River Valley.
  18. It was wonderful cycling out this aft. I got to 20C/68F with clear blue skies. Last 20C+ day was Oct 13.
  19. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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