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I think this is a fair take for nova and areas that got the final line. However, I’m in central VA and that second line had nothing to work with so for areas around where I was it really was a slight risk in practice. I do think the core of this issue might be the new system. When the SPC issues a 4/5 risk for wind I think it should call for something more than what occurred Monday. While it was a legitimate severe day for parts of the region, I wonder what happens if we get a storm that fulfills a slightly higher risk? Do we say it’s a 5/5 risk? That seems unfair when I think a true 5/5 risk should be a plains deracho with swaths of 90+ mph winds. These 4/5 and 5/5 events should feel rare and exceptional and are labeled as such to spur the public to action.

22nd's the latest, personally... I was living in a metro west amid the Dunkin' donuts, ATMs and pub crawl town of Waltham. Great memories of then.. I was in my late 20s amid random vectors of 19 year old bouncy' boobed, Brandeis and Bentley bums in every direction. We used to sets of Tennis and then Mad Rave, or Joe Sent Me, or go into Boston to the Poor House ... I don't even know of those venues still exits outside the confines of fading nostalgia - but I refuse to let the memories die. Oh, right... so it was 22nd of May I think. 2001 I wanna say but for some reason I mix up 2001 and 2002 events a lot. Anyway, it was 9:30am and 38 F as wind swept sheets of cat paws and occasional noodles enough to silvery glow the previous years bark mulch beds with green daffodil shoots poking through. If you looked at the sky you could get a sense of the snow field aloft as it undulated. That was may 22nd. On July 4th it was near 100 if memory serves. Went on to be a warm summer.

It reminds me of the 2013-2015 winters, but just less precip/snow. Satellite does show clearing to the west, though. Hoping to get some afternoon sunshine.

Given what I boldfaced, that A+ for 95-96 seems odd because of all the pack-destroying rain events. It did have loads of snow - the 138" was tops by 30" in our 13 winters at Gardiner - but it was only 5th for SDDs. I haven't tried to apply my rating method on those 13 years, but if I did, I'd guess no higher than B/B+. Looking at the continuing period of meh wx (since the April 2024 paste bomb), I noted that both last winter and the current season had no snow forecast ranges that extended above 12". First time we've had consecutive winters with such modest forecasts and it's very doubtful there will be any warned storms before 2026-27. Also, only 3 warned events this winter and last. Only 15-16 with 2 had less. We finally had a strong storm but other than a few IP to start, it was all rain. The 19.6" storm in March was fun but had only 0.77" LE and little wind, a modest storm that had fabulous dendrite formation. Looks like this will also be only the 8th winter in which pack failed to be sustained thru March 31. Unless we get a snowy surprise, my rating will probably be a bit lower than what I proposed upthread.

19 last night and cloudy now

Definitely impressive for this point in March!

Top gust at the Maytown Parachute Club was just 42 mph. At the very top of Kinderhook Road there are a couple of yards that are still almost fully blanketed in white from Monday night's snowfall.

Can you post any maps?

Could an earlier than avg final strat warming be coming next week? This suggests some chance. Opinions? @snowman19

It’s going to get there sooner than later, that’s when it gets dangerous. Mass misinformation that will only be clarified with forensic analysis. Fun times.

Diet Mnt. Dew here

Not looking forward to summer in NYC. Awful times ahead.

Yes I think its time to put away my shovel and my winter mats in my car. Going to cancel Stormvista today.

is it over?

You’re right. Two months later gets more exciting with dews.

Can't say I blame the AI versions for being the cooler profiles - if I'm following the slide changes right... Looks like that. I've noticed the AI are typically leaning cooler than the operational/standard versions over the longer haul. I mean, I'm trying to figure out through exposure/inference, how these models come by their solutions. Just watching them long enough one might formulate suspicion as to what they are doing... I've already been told they do not propagate waves through a Forier Transormation, using Navier-Stokes integrated thermodynamics haha.. Seriously though. I didn't really dig deeper when I saw that; I just sorta figured they're doing some kind of "we don't know how it works" ( a common scary seduction of AI innovation leaders - ) NBM clone and shrugged. But, I do kinda sense that it might have persistence in part of what it is doing - however in the f it is doin' it. In the absence of having actual physics determining the physical future ( eh hm..), I don't believe that AI is really trully creepy just manifesting conscious awareness about the future state of the atmosphere, and therefore am open to it really just doing some simpler shit in proper proportions.

The MD Mesonet stations has sunshine detectors (pyranometers). We're recording the data and eventually we'll have statistics on it but it fairly low on the priority list. We should be able to do % of sunshine and energy but % of normal will be harder to determine since there isn't a good history.

Not even an inch of snow for March. Terrible ending to a great winter. Cant complain since we had winter from December right through end of February.

Hoping the noisture skeedadles earlier on Saturday... limited number of weekends to ski left.

I think I’m over 100%. A B+++? Lol

Boring

Gainesville, FL (aka Hogtown) got down to 30! Impressive radiation like usual. KTLH 30 KSAV 31 (official SAV station, the airport) KSVN 34 (very likely more representative of my low)

I’ve had snow on May 25th which is roughly equivalent to July 15th.

me too. But i am seeing other peoples social media. its great.

Today’s MJO forecasts still are all in phases 7 and 8, the coldest in Baltimore (as rep. city) in March on average following La Niña winters: @EastonSN+