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The heat wave in the SW, US over the next 10 days is probably more impressive than 2012. Ranks up there with June 2021 in the NW with std of top warm departures all time.

Both the 12z and 18z GFS have another system in the d8-9 range. This is the time of year(shoulder season) when that model can score a coup just like it did a couple of days ago. Not saying it is the gospel, but I think the end of the month is a time frame to be watched. That was a pretty stout run. The 12z Euro has the amplification w/out the storm.

Im referring specifically to several posts that repeatedly referenced that following this cold shot, the western torch would envelop the entire conus and clearly that is not the case. Just had our coldest st paddys day in 59 years. And after milder days this weekend, there are several more cold shots en route for the lakes and northeast while the southwest continues to burn. Torch is subjective i guess. The word torch was never used til 2012. Now anythibg a few degrees above normal is a torch to some.

HH GEFS lost the 23rd, which was the best signal for something at 12z. Moved towards the Canadians and Europeans with signal for frozen for the rest of the month well north. Shocking.

Damn, even warmer than 2012? That’d be extremely impressive

1.4" of large flakes at home, double that in Grayling. 11.4" for March, 67.6" for the season which is 115% of a normal season here and my first AN season in 7 winters. I moved so they were not all here fwiw. Drift on the balcony keeps getting deeper, lol.

Anthony, today’s NAO forecast is consistent with yesterday’s (bad/+): Yesterday’s GEFS: Today’s GEFS:

This is incredible stuff JNS, just outstanding. I’ve known about the MDT/CXY seasonal and diurnal temperature differences you outlined but never laid it out so eloquently and obviously didn’t have the data to back it up. The other data you put meaning to is fascinating as well. Excellent work all the way around. I did want to mention that we’ve had several discussions over the years about the Harrisburg climate site changing locations but no one has ever done a deep dive on the data as you have here. Tremendous work and extremely informative. You have a real talent for this. Bravo, good sir.

I mean when are we talking here? Or is this just fantasy? Edit: oh ok..I see, that’s for Monday.

Delicious! One of my favorite things to do for dinner on Friday nights is prepare a chicken and flank steak and create a little "Build your own burrito bowl" station in the kitchen and everyone can customize. We get Guatemalan crema from the local Hispanic market 2 minutes from the house. On nice days, I'll just walk there. Fresh cut veggies and cilantro lime rice as the base.....incredibly good! Gotta make fresh pico de galo too!!

I am gonna try it lol. Got pretty solid reviews.

lol

Ya we normally be eating protein like chicken or steak with rice or something at home. Tonight we eating chimichurri steak bites over rice and a salad for a side.

Crazy thing is how warm the first half of that October was...maybe right through the 20th. I just remember sitting in Calculus class with shorts and a t-shirt at The Cann.

Hmm, maybe he's thinking of a different storm? Sounds like they way overmeasured on that one lmao. I mean, assuming it really was done at the same place as it was done from 2000-2012 then I don't see why you wouldn't use it...just be leery of the totals in some cases which it seems you're already aware.

Sure does

Sausage, egg and cheese McMuffin is my morning road trip breakfast whenever I know I'm about to drive more than 3 hours. The sausage, egg and cheese biscuit from Chick Fil A is also pretty solid, but messier. I liked the Big Arch burger as far as fast food burgers go. It still cannot compare to a local spot, as you mentioned. Those are just another level of good. I'm a sucker for a Monday burger special

Have you at least made a day trip up further in The Northland during winter to see the truly deep stuff?

March 32nd snow is the best!!!

Can we get another screamer ?

Another thing i just discovered is that there was a moderate event BEFORE the major halloween snow bomb of 2011. I can't believe that. I have to re-do that storm completely because a lot of the coop and cocorahs data i used overlapped for both events. When i've been doing these extremely anomalous late or early events in Oct/Nov or Apr/May i usually assume there is no storms that overlap on almost the same day or day before/after. Clearly i was wrong to assume that. On Oct 27th 2011 there was a 0-7" interior event that covered the Worcester hills, Berkshires and bled into NW CT in the Litchfield hills.

No way it dropped the idea of our late March storm in one run. Unpossible.

March 2026 is likely going to finish the warmest March on record for CONUS

Seems like they're all clueless to varying degrees.