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Elected to do Turners Fall airport based in radar evolution

Radar popping nicely. Airmass certainly supports it

How do we know this isn’t a cope like when similar points are brought up in winter?

Because of the way, the coastal waters are designed, it’s just a technicality of how the watches extended like that. Don’t read into it too deeply.

Tor warning by Kingston

Just got a ride I’m beforehand the storms. Streams are damp from recent rain but no flow.

Got it on my phone - scared the shit out of me (no, I'm outside of the red-marked zone)

I’ve never seen that before .

That eastern part of the watch is rather unusual?

That’s a Great Barrington special

Was driving back south on I-95 from New Jersey. We have so many dead bugs on our car. I'm going to have to get it washed.

Atlantic (NAO) has slight inverse correlation from October to the Winter Pacific has a pretty strong direct correlation from October to the Winter, a lot of that is around the PDO, which is strongest in Oct out of PNA/ENSO.

first tor warning!

Again, be happy it's not Winter August 2025 was the 6th consecutive +AO month. (Mar-Aug) August 2025 was the 7th consecutive +NAO month. (Feb-Aug) August 2025 was the 5/6 consecutive -PNA month. (Mar-Aug [Jul])

I’ll take Nina over Nino every time around here in the winter. Hopefully we do have a “warm” October. It feels like a lot of times a cold October turns into a mild December. Although, that’s probably due to a cold October being more common in a Nino. A cold October is kind of useless anyway except for chasing the first flakes of the season or some sloppy early season slush accumulation that melts in a few hours.

August 2025 was the 6th consecutive +AO month. (Mar-Aug) August 2025 was the 7th consecutive +NAO month. (Feb-Aug)

Pouring. Made it to 85. 40 mph winds gust Rate 2.35"/hr

It looks like the Arctic circle vortex gets down to 5000dm today. This is after we just had a 4980dm low in the last few days of August, which was lowest ever recorded in the N. Hemisphere for August. Really a strong +AO time.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 607 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 110 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2025 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut Delaware Massachusetts Northeast Maryland Western and Central Maine Southern New Hampshire New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Rhode Island Southeast Vermont Coastal Waters * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are beginning to develop along a boundary from central Maryland northeastward into parts of New York/Vermont. These storms will intensify through the afternoon, with locally severe storms expected. Damaging winds will be the main risk with the stronger cells, although a few could also produce hail and perhaps a tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west of Wilmington DE to 25 miles east of Bangor ME. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

Yeah decent velocity on that cell near Milan NY

Although the latest HRRR tries to nail Boston.

Hammer Gone Wild https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1964376528965218505?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Ultimate stein signal from NWS. Eastern mass gets nothing and likes it . Ppl .

One of the largest watches I've seen before from SPC... from MD to ME