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I guess any time you got a Packman low eating its way down a warm front you can gets some repeaters ... yeah maybe

ha ... I didn't mean to imply I thought it looked that way either - I was asking if you personal attitude would improve if the drama in severe were added back ... I'm guessin' yes?

That's what happens when some imbeciles decide to take a meat clever to NOAA personnel.

I don't think the decadal state is going to change anytime soon.. June will likely be the 4th consecutive month with -PNA. I think there is intuition that what is happening is going to continue forward, but what global warming is, is a more general thing than the current state of the global pattern.

Jeez, Friday night through Saturday night look wet. Make your outdoor plans for Sunday this weekend. Euro just hangs the front there for 24 hours before moving out...

I think everyone agrees with that...my contention is more that we are just in a shitty multidecdal pattern that its likely enhanced by CC.

Forecast was off. Imagine trying to predict tornadoes when the only info you got before convective initiation was when a trough hit the west coast

To amplify further- coincidentally, this mutinational (10 nations, many scientists) study just released details the rapidly declining glacial trend and causal mechanisms. Effects of this trend alone will be significant to the human populace near or dependant on glaciers or the bodies of water they drain into- including the Oceans. https://www.uaf.edu/news/study-finds-alaska-rest-of-earth-to-lose-most-of-glacier-mass.php

Been watching a possible area off the SE coast in the next few days and NHC has a lemon for it now. Low chance but if it stay offshore it could become a weak low.

Popped off our 2nd 90 temp of 2025 today, at least dews are manageable in the mid 50s. Big dog ground smoke heading this way. The Fargo area has had an AQI over 250 today. Letting the kids enjoy the splash pad before we are locked indoors.

Good point in bold. There are winters where we both have done well, BUT when you examine even those winters, you will notice its different parts of the winter that stand out for each of us.

Yeah not a crazy setup for widespread severe but we would certainly see some localized severe weather each day I'd think.

Would be the icing on the cake if everyone has to stay inside for another Saturday, but this time without power.

Enter your forecast for seasonal totals of storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes (in the North Atlantic basin) ... using NOAA official counts as our contest guide ... separate thread in tropical forum.

CSU April 3, 2025 17 9 4 UKMO May 21, 2025 16 9 4 NOAA __ May 22, 2025 13-19 6-10 3-5 (16 8 4 avg fcst)

Guess it depends on instability, but setup didn't appear that way to me. There would be some verbatim.

let's get after it! May as well root for big 'un totals

life’s already giving us lemons how about that bruh

Nice

I was referring to highly unlikely possibility that so many of the hurricanes in both basins will become majors.

Might have missed here but not in Alberta… Check out this amazing skyward 360° panoramic (apparently SO bright that the entire ground looked green)‼️

how about if it's training severe ... nickle hail 3 times with incredible rain rates and overlapping multi-pulser CG bombs ...otherwise still 76/72-like

We want pretty much diametrically opposite patterns in the winter, although we have some like 2010-11 where we both do well. I think the final snow number comes from the fact that here, we usually get all or nothing type seasons and big individual storms rather than smaller nickel and dimes that can still get to 40+ inches on the season. And sustained cold is quite rare at least the last 10-15 years. Generally you want more of these Nina type setups since they favor the Lakes while I desperately want it to become more El Niño like. Whatever can make this wretchedness since Jan 2022 end I’m all for.

surprised it managed 80 considering it's been p milky skied all day