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Today we should be seeing the temperature warming to near normal for early January with highs in the low 40's. We could see some light rain later this evening and into tomorrow morning. We then start a stretch tomorrow with above normal temperatures for the next 4 days through Saturday before we chill back down to normal temperatures to close out the weekend and will stay seasonably chilly all of next week.

Even though it's hust rain this time, being able to get a region-wide soaker may not be a bad sign going forward...

I'll be there in 3.5 hours and will find out.

It’s in the December thread:

2003, 2005, 2006, 2010, and 2021 would like a word. Most of those Jans were cold yes but saw relatively snowless first halfs

You should have done well last night at Pit 2, I got over an inch, and the heavier band was north of me, if you were in that band, you should have 2-3 inches.

Not gonna lie. I want a winter storm but I’m longing for summer. I know…sinful to say. Our house has had a virus at least biweekly since Oct. I miss getting outside in the evenings, I miss fishing and tbh, I miss a good peak heating thunderstorm.

It screams overrunning potential.

Really like the ridging in AK that is showing up on ENS guidance. Gives NS a chance to lock in and not be as transient as we've seen when big storms come up and cut. Hoping pattern gets storms back to coming at/under us, and not cutting so far west. Looks like that starts to happne abt a week from today. IF this look holds, I'd think trackers will start to show up again. till then...we thaw.

Today we should be seeing the temperature warming to near normal for early January with highs in the low 40's. We could see some light rain later this evening and into tomorrow morning. We then start a stretch tomorrow with above normal temperatures for the next 4 days through Saturday before we chill back down to normal temperatures to close out the weekend and will stay seasonably chilly all of next week.

Outside of ratter winters, I've never seen such low prospects for snow for this area in the heart of January. Very reminiscent of 2020, 2023, 2012. That being said, we've had as much snow as entire winter 2024, all of winter 2023, all of winter 2020, and all of winter 2012. So it's very unlikely we end up in ratter territory unless we see no more snow for the rest of the season. But unless we have a massive turnaround at some point this month, winter has taken a vacation from the US. Just mild and warm as far as the eye can see

It's not a mere proclivity. You need to do some reading ... not mine and then making statements that subversively diminish others. Start here, and bother to go down this rabbit whole in a realm where's a huge and still growing content that exists already in the research ambit. These cite, both directly and indirectly, content - with scientific background- that elucidates exactly what I have been trying to impress for something like 15 years at this point... https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-023-01884-1#citeas ... scroll to the bottom, too. And there's other servers, not just this one. These are all accredited scientifically, and once you read through a few of them ... CC affects and effecting on the circulation modes is incontrovertible. In fact, if we're taking long lead forecasting seriously, it's highly recommended.

31 here in PVD, 21 at Pit2.

That should help us later when the PNA goes negative after a brief spike into + territory.

My sister had it a few weeks back, ended up in the hospital for 2-3 days. They told her she was lucky she went in when she did

My wife got it last night--my daughter earlier in the week. I'm hightailing it out of town.......hope I'm not too late!.

19° and sunny here. The cold is locked in. We still have ZR in the trees.

was looking at MOS/NBM for BOS and then bufkit and holy crap...think MOS may be way overshooting, not just today/tonight but through the day tomorrow. BOS may hover right around freezing through much of tomorrow...maybe a case of rising to like 35 or so late in the afternoon but bufkit is quite cold there

February 2010 was the snowiest month I have personally experienced in my life time. Over 5 feet of snow with 3 storms over a foot. Including 26.8" / 18.3" and 13.5" over just 3 weeks!

There used to be plenty of storm tracks that were good for that region-Miller A coast huggers mainly like 3/93 and 3/94. Now those have largely gone extinct or they develop too late and blast north and east of them. Other storm types dry up east of the Allegheny Ridge and redevelop for our area like this past clipper, SWFE events are sleetfests or freezing rain, and 95% of lake effect dries up from downslope. So the combination of those create the middle finger snow maps when you look at PA. You still rarely get decent ones like Dec 2020-was good there but nothing like 25 years ago. I’d say at this point it’s more than a temporary shift, it’s a larger more permanent shift away from storm types that favor them. I wouldn’t say it’s temps since they’re still cold enough much of the time.

Yeah this is one of those events where you get not a lot of QPF but the impact could be higher end for those not aware of what’s happening. Lots of black ice on driveways if not outright thin glaze, that kind of stuff. Esp if you get the sfc cold hanging tough in areas that often creep above freezing (like metrowest 128 belt is a prime suspect for this)

Yikes, I'd agree. 24.8 IMBY.

The fact Logan airport is currently 26F with a light northerly drain is more than enough evidence that this lower level airmass isn’t going anywhere quickly.

There's been these funny memes on Instagram where Shmuck steps out oblvious and with a cup of coffee and ends up looking like George Jetson ... seems like a good morning for Funniest Home Video ops

I know not in this case, per se....I get it...neutral MJO. But you do have a proclivity to minor ENSO at baseline given your stance on CC. JMHO.....if you don't think so, we can respectfully leave it at that.