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For reference:

12z NAM/HRRR would imply a solid 4" - 6" for York, Lancaster, and Lebanon counties. Might be a last minute victory here folks.

you did the classic @bncho error lol

I agree to our nw over Alaska and nw Canada it has been cold. Need and want a mechanism to bring it more south and west.

HRRR keeps juicing up

NAM is actually gonna reel the mountains and Loudoun crowd back in

NAM looks fine. Shouldn’t be a disaster. Least the 12k

Nevermind TT was loading wrong run for some reason. It’s not that bad

That thing blows. That model needs to be shot.

12z Nam with the Lucy lol. Of course.

Morning fellow weenies! 24/23 with flurries. Had a fresh coating overnight. Heading to the tire shop to get my snow tires put on for the season.

Agree with LWX and wouldn’t make any big changes based on HRRR, it is very jumpy outside of 12-15 hours. I think Baltimore to NE Maryland to S Jersey for this one to jackpot is more likely than northern tier.

Yeah that's kind of what I was thinking with my comments above about the broad "bowl" type look. I would think that at least keeps a fair bit of cold air on this side of the hemisphere, which keeps a solid amount of cold air ever lurking in Canada. If we don't have some jacked up ridge form that floods all the cold air out, we can perhaps score what you're mentioning...a CAD overrunning event, and even if it flips to rain, there is still cold air nearby that can come right back in behind the system. At least that's the hope!

Looks like DTs brother

Enjoy the snow tomorrow

Your not hugging Timmy?

It's the trend. It's a little warmer at the start, then it only snows for a few hours, albeit heavy. My guess would be 1-2" DC to Baltimore

Lol I saw that too. Went from brown to blood

Hahaha First of all...LOVE this poster--hadn't seen this one before (only thing I'd fo is make it a little brighter) Second of all: YES...we have PLENTY of symphony for you all

Me and the HRRR .

He even shaved the mole right off. Ruthless.

was just going to post as well. Thats the model to hug right now.

At least a step in the right direction but the KU track still remains elusive.

It’s an IMBY sport, but do think people should always try and caveat their statements about who it’s a best run for, lol. Really like the LWX map. Probably wouldn’t change a thing. It’s about time NE MD got pummeled. Feeling like 1.5” or so is the bar for DC. Wouldn’t want to be any more west or south of that.