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IIRC most of the mesos had me flipping 1-2 hours before DC did. Perhaps the sleet line is going to halt after this quick advance but TBD. This does open up a shot at a ridiculous sleet storm, as the HRRR suggests 1.2" QPF is to fall from this point onwards. If a majority of that is sleet.. woof.

I'm not trying to deb at all, but my experience over the years is thst the flip always happens way earlier than expected. I do remember a few bust the positive way to, but less lol. My bar is my grass being covered for the cold spell. I'm half way there. I was going to do a hike early this morning but I don't feel like getting caught out there in sleet. I'll wait until later for that.

I guess even the 3k at this point tries to crush us between 5-8am. Need to hold the line. Dunno what’s feasible.

Yeah. I’m at 1”. The culpepper stuff looks fun but sleet won’t be far behind. Sitting in subsidence is always fun during the “prime hours”

Moderate freezing rain. Hearing trees snap and pop outside

Its a bit scary that Harrisonburg has already flipped and its 3am.

Only at like 0.6” off my balcony. Admittedly not a super amazing place to measure. Kinda doubt DC is gonna make it past 4” snow.

Please explain, this makes no sense to me

Good morning people! Brewing a cup of coffee waiting for the first flakes, radar looks great. Think we are going to thump hard.

NAM may have ramped up a bit more for my area...

Harrisonburg

It truly is NAM vs world. Even the RRFS gives kmdt 11" with everyone else 12"-19" with most 13"-17". The nam and 3k are 7". I compared latest runs of 13 models below Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Where are you?

Heavy snow now. This is the time

I know that feelin! Many times in the old days when I was younger and living in N VA, I'd stay up all damn night and all the next day to watch the snow! I LOVED SNOW and I loved diggin it too! I'd blast the livin heck out of ELO as well! Especially in the Incredible winter of 2009-2010!! I got notes from those days!

it was very light snow now its back to cloud cover after I just let my dog out this is annoying only a bit of snow on the grass and side walk

Suspicions were right, hearing sleet mix in now.

3:03 am National Park NJ Flurries/first flakes Temperature 16f

Definitely snowed within the last hour in Winston-Salem. And there is a mix of a bunch of stuff coming down but also tiny snowflakes. What a random storm

Intensity is definitely picking up 14 degrees

Very small flakes here by BWI

vs 06Z

HRRR UPDATE

25.2 and all zr now. This could be bad.