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12z Euro likes the idea of more than flurries.

I see that text, but I would call that snowfall map average to a bit below average. Looks like a good report though.( I didn't read the whole thing, I confess)

I'm confident that isn't permanent. SE Canada is going to get colder, as we saw last year and are likely about to again. That helps the NE more than the mid atl, but it is what it is.

Windsexy

Actually managed a few real flakes for about 10 seconds.

From 2000-18 generally (had our share of crap winters in that stretch too but generally good to great) we had an overall pattern to support more benchmark storm tracks and therefore above normal snow seasons for the NYC metro. NYC is also far enough NE to catch some of the late bloomer Miller Bs that nail Boston/New England. The Pacific was in better shape with periods of +PDO and drove a more favorable pattern. Bluewave pointed it out many times and showed data to back up the assertion that in 2019 that background changed and we essentially entered a never ending Nina-like state in the mid latitudes with a very warm W Pacific which drives a hostile Pacific jet. Back in the 80s/early 90s we also had hostile patterns but back then we could also count on clippers once in a while or decent front end events so at least we weren’t shut out other than outright atrocious winters like 72-73. I’m not sold on this regime being permanent but there’s no doubt in my mind that other than a rabbit out of the hat rare 20-21 type winter (and even that was modestly above average for NYC itself, the best that winter was in N NJ), the Pacific regime needs to change to get this area back in the game for above average snow winters.

Pretty cool looking! Consensus is, that's the exhaust plume from the European Space Agency's Ariane 6 rocket (launched at Kourou, French Guiana).

It's definitely not zero....but I don't view this as a season that screams "KU".

Yall. We aren’t doing that here. Send each other PMs, or emails off board.

I think it will be tough for VA.

It feels like in the modern age this list can be locked shut and our days of editing the list to add storms are over. Now, a "top 10 fails" list.... this is where the new action is. Hope this winter proves me wrong.

We ping in Marshvegas .

What is more likely in your backyard, a 7" snow event or 7" rain event

Can you explain how from 1987-2002, 15 winters, 10 of them were well below normal (8 with less than 18" with the 2 others below 5") and how that is any different than the past 9 winters in terms of winter storm tracks then vs now? It took the jim dandy of a winter in 95/96 and 93/94 to pretty much save that entire stretch, otherwise the snow average for those 15 years would have been below 19". That was my area, but I'm in the tri-state so many experienced the same thing. It is funny how that stretch resembles the "new norm" of the current stretch we are on with snowfall totals.

Leaves are peak now and absolutely gorgeous around here.

Definitely gusted past 50 here. My basketball hoop almost blew off the curb into the road. That hasn’t happened before at the new house.

I started and stopped reading the article with this sentence. I'm sold. Some of Washington, D.C.’s most memorable winters have come with the QBO in its easterly phase. The multi-blizzard winter of 2009-2010 (56.1") was an easterly QBO winter, as was 2002-2003 (29.0")...

Just PC and breezy here, so far. One of the passing clouds might yet toss a handful. Forecast 1/4" to 1/2" came in at 0.14" (which included the <0.1" progged for the daytime.)

Impossible-no, but would anyone reputable (not someone putting out clickbait for subscriptions) sensibly predict them with the overall pattern we have now? I would think no.

Graupel now in this little shower in Randolph. Wind kicking up again too.

DCA average is 13.7". I hope your last 5 were a bit better than that, even if way below the average there.

stay safe

I'm hoping and still waiting for a sub 32 morning.

What were those seasons relative to normal?