All Activity

Icy out there.

Oh there was plenty of talk of 50s conditional on warm sectoring. Not gonna happen now. Instead it’s mid 30s trash.

especially at 9 days out

But they did go colder than the model guidance and they were emphatic about their forecast. They had BN in the E US for the first half of Jan and it’s going to end up solidly AN much of the area. As @donsutherland1alluded to, their business is helped by more clicks. So, from a business standpoint, it makes since. But that means they’re going to be pressured to go cold in winter even if the guidance doesn’t suggest that.

Literally no one forecasted 50's

There goes the forecast 50’s .

NAM getting colder means you will eat shit

Looks like another shit sandwich to me. Thank you sir…may I have another?

We know the drill with the gfs.

Happy hour started a while ago for me, but how we looking!? @bncho Just saying—every time I see you post, I think bitchin nachos for dinner. I just can’t unsee it and get past it.

What country is the spire model from?? Lol

Oh yeah. That is definitely the way to go

I don't know...I think this has just been a difficult pattern to predict. I mean if the models are struggling...so will the Mets? Lol

Love the caked look.

The potential is still there better then the 12z

I'm not saying he won't get some zr...just saying that the ptype maps don't necessarily corroborate with the temps.

The impatient, ungrateful part of me has a minimum of a 6-10” snowstorm as a requirement, but it’s January and it should feel like winter, so I’ll take 2-4”+. I’m done with cartoppers, though. They’re cute in winters that are legit, but not as the primary theme.

2m temps are meh for any serious zr around him at this time. More stink than pink.

Great find, Tip. The underlying paper is here for anyone looking for a quick link: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09895-y

Hey its an op run and only 13 days out. It must be right. Ji should be pissed.

Latest GFS goes nuts. NAM trended wetter, too. Have to think this is overdone, though.

Nutz month

the spire is the modern day version of the Cras

not true at all. I would take a 6-10

It is gone on the 18z.