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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That's a good catch. But the chart is saw has 1986-87 listed as moderate and 1987-88 as strong. -
4th of July is still not safe.
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Looks like after being bottled up for a spell next winter we are headed back into a EQBO,potential for a rock PV
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Got up to 64 here today, wasn't expecting that...but I'll take it. -
Eps and euro have been too cold but all the models do have a return to cooler weather in the mid range.
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Think the EPS is getting too carried away with the eastern troughing again on day 5-10, seems over amplified. It’s been doing this for some time now, only to correct warmer once we get inside of hour 120.
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2026-2027 El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This looks to be a fairly potent ERW,this could also lead into destructive interference with the MJO signal down the road if the wind burst isnt as strong being shown,but quite a few RMMS arent backing down with the MJO flaking out into the WH -
Just got home, we are just about 5” on the level on colder surfaces and away from the evergreens. One inch less than up at the base of the mountain and a lot wetter.
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85 degrees right now in Denver
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85 degrees right now in Denver
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I'm very curious to hear from Middletown @snywx that would help
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Those sloppy snow oics look yucky. Nice mild rain here. Take
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Yeah that is a very close measurement for a storm like that with wind and moderate to long duration.. that's kind of why I assumed it was you. You can get variations of 3-4" in a storm like this in the same town if one person is just taking the average depth at the end and someone else is doing 6hrly clearing and both are valid. So i was surprised to see it so close.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Same here. Temp dropped quick like @mreaves said it would
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It should warm up here by July
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This is insane. I have never seen this before in March. This has been the same pattern since November .
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The temperature will rise to the middle and upper 50s tomorrow and lower to perhaps middle 60s during on Sunday. A few showers are possible on tomorrow. A somewhat cooler air mass will likely arrive early next week. The major weather story this week is the ongoing super March heatwave in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are being set in numerous cities. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -3.83 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.345 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 79% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.6° (1.8° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Just put a coat on them
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Be patient
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crazy flooding in Oahu Hawaii right now!
