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There is a reasonable chance that I could have less inches of snow this season than the Ravens had turnovers tonight.

Quite possible but its still close to watch it.

Canadian is marginally cooler than the gfs, but also completely less impressive. Good snow is confined to a small area. Zero consensus

Lol . Silly.. they've already had a " great start " weeks ago with the Snow they have already gotten. Nice practice be aggressive post though.

I tuned out pretty early based on the pattern for my yard. A HP sliding off the NE coast in early Dec never works out well for the lowlands. Places NW at elevation might salvage something, otherwise head to the western highlands to see some snow.

Already off to a great start, wake up George.

Probably need to see where the OLR is when it gets into MJO P5,right now we are in P6 with typhoon Koda

ggem is very different than the gfs h5-h7 mid-level vorticity more organized and slower

Hard to argue against the warmer forecasts with that retreating High and resulting se'ly return flow.

Only a thousand mile difference at H5... plus GFS is 12 hrs faster...

My contribution to this thread.

Flakes falling and 29.7/20.9. That means 'Shoe probably has 2 inches at least lol.

Yeah, terrific storm for the north. Onto the next

I hope the GFS has the right idea. Great run for the north, would be a great start for ski resorts.

I think we can make the argument that the GFS model is probably a bit too amplified with this system. That being said, I think if you want to have any shot at snow or an all snow event, you would definitely have to be further inland with this one. I’m skeptical of this storm even starting out with any snow down towards I 95 and closer to the coast because the high pressure is moving out of the way pretty quickly, and there is nothing to prevent the storm from becoming amplified enough where the warm air overpowers most of the region except for those further inland

GFS looks great. Let's lock it

With those ratios it wouldn't take much. Quick couple of inches of fluf to whiten things up

Not buying it.

GFS is heavy rain pretty far into the interior on its 0z run.

Gfs is still really amped, but might be slightly toned down from 18z. At least the backside flip is prominent

Way north. Low plows into SE mass.

GFS nukes up here though.

just covering for ineedicon. He seems to be missing when a model trends this direction. I’m sure it’s just coincidence.

GFS...............