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It’s my understanding that he’s out of the hospital now but facing surgery and uncertain recovery. His house also got damaged by the severe storms the other day, so insult to injury.

Yep Sunday could be a sneaky warm day away from the south shore.

Well going from epically good to epically bad isn’t regression…it’s a car going 190 and slamming into a concrete wall. Weenie crash test dummies vaporized on impact. We’d absolutely lose it here if we got to March with 2.9”. The very thought makes me ill.

advisory is an average of 3" over a county and warning is 6". For Litchfield it's 4 and 7" respectively.

Outside of a couple cold days it's over

Benchmark rainstorms next winter.

We’re gonna snow again at the end of the month. I still have the snowboard out.

I think the models shouldn't go past 5 days

Next winter

Let me know when its inside 12 hours

Anyone still hoping for cold can contribute to my home heating oil fund At heart I'm a wacky winter weather freak but my wallet has been abused lately and it needs a break.

TORCH!!!!!!!

Anything past 5 days on an OP model should be in banter.

Euro has nothing and warmer than gfs

Euro has nothing and warmer than gfs. Weenie land past 200.

GFS has another small event on 3/29-3/30 (amounts below are on top of those in the map I posted above):

hey it could happen there's plenty of cold air with some waves coming down after this weekend

Fair but I only have a three year sample. And my 3 winter dataset is all pre-leaf-out. Last March, I generated 893.5 kWh. This March, through right now, I'm at 329.3 kWh. Bad lol. Tack on another 10 kWh for the afternoon and call it 340 thru the 18th. Through the 18th last year I was at 496.5kWh. Obviously the end of the month can generate more sweet sweet solar juice, but I am not going to make up that gap. 33% drop

Do it!!

It’s metfan so I assume 210.

Are we talking hr 115 or 210 on 12z GFS? Both have a wintry outcome

Few winners, lots of zzzz

Between the high winds last Friday, meteor and lake effect it has been a crazy week. Looks like Medina county is the place to hunt for fragments. NASA SUMMARY NASA Meteoroid Environment Office finds that this was a 2m diameter object weighing around 6 metric tons - more of a small asteroid than a large meteoroid. Signatures of falling meteorites are seen in data from three weather radars, KCLE (Cleveland), the Cleveland airport radar TLVE, and KPBZ (Pittsburgh). The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) instrument on the GOES East weather satellite observed the meteor. The ground track passed north to south over western Cleveland, producing sonic booms heard across that city.

I also believe there's something sort of "non-Markovian" about heat waves. The short definition of what that is, in quantum mechanics when past --> future states appear to fail independence, the return or rest state of the environment retains sort of "programming". It inherits the history of the system. Thus, returning to that previous state requires less stimulation than was originally needed. Heat waves are obviously above the quantum field theory scale/dimension, but... that's the underpinning philosophy for the hypothesis. Some examples, the human body. Heat stroke survivors appear to be statistically more likely to find them selves in that dire physical state again, if/when they are exposed to the kind of heat that puts the body at risk. The temperature during heat waves will rise as the light rises in the predawn of successive mornings, hours prior to the sun tipping over the horizon. It's like the memory in the system somehow makes it more receptive, so much so that merely increasing lumens of the ambient air triggers the rise. I believe this is also perhaps a part of synergistic mathematics - or might be workable there. When we see these synergistic heat bursts that have taken place, world over, with increasing frequency ... it is because the initial conditions also contain heredity in the system that favors each successive attempt ( next days ). If there are no "invisible" negative interference, or worse yet, there less obvious positive interference, the results appear to go crazy.

It could ride a male bouncer, doesn't change the fact that it looks like crap. But hold on...are you talking about Monday or later in the week?