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Snowiest winter near me occurred twice since 1990. 1995-96 and 2009-10 topped at around ~72" on the season for both. 95-96 had 30" in one storm, im sure you can figure out the storm, and 09-10 had back to back nearly 2 foot storms in less than a week. Just 3 years ago we set our lowest snowfall ever recorded of .9" We average around 26"

6z also.. models seem to have trended better curious to see what 12z shows

These are strong colors for a 360hr ensemble mean. Those are -20F anomalies in Canada

Speaking of venting tonight Mammoth was only supposed to get 2 inches. But that snow is falling pretty hard for only a couple inches.

Big jump

most likely will be colder with the storm bringing down cold air north west.

Time for the TRUTH folks. The Blizzard of Jan 6, 7, 8 1996. I missed it. Why? I was in TX visiting mom. Why? I was going thru hell at KFC in Woodbridge Va at that time. That's the REAL reason I missed the Blizzard of 1996. Oh and when I finally got back - 20 inches on the ground - and I was living at 3557 Forestdale Ave in Dale City - in a 37 degree environment. This is all gonnabe on open messageboards and wiki's. I am writing about - and opening up to the entire online world - my entire life. My entire life, is an unrelieved example of a person who lived extremely eclectically and unusual as all hell. I'm very OLD now and declining rapidly and I just want everyone to know the truth. That is all. Carry on.

0Z Euro Op only shows a storm coming up the coast missing to the east during about same time periods - have to get within 5 - 7 days to begin to take any of these solutions seriously - although this far out would not want to be in the bullseye yet IMO

Snow showers at Mammoth right now https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Only a couple of inches, along with a refreshing overnight low of 7 degrees.

I agree on the first part, but none of the ensembles are going truly warm. If it changes, so be it.

Fixed

Euro not biting on the first potential.

0z Euro looks basically the same as 12z. Looks like there will be snow tomorrow for a few hours, then a lull, then it picks up again in the evening for a few hours. 2-4" for Denver metro south of 70 still appears on track.

Sometimes the OP will be the first to show an extreme/new solution, and a few days later the ensembles will trend toward it. We really need that -EPO ridge to hold strong and not start to phase out/weaken as we get closer.

Even I'm not worried about the operational Gfs at the end of its run as ensembles are not warm.

Long range is so warm on the GFS because of +NAO Just when we change the Pacific.. we've had, Sept-Dec, 4 straight months of <-0.65 monthly NAO so let's see if it does phase shift.

The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us or very close by.

The best part about 0z so far for the 15th is that both the GFS & Canadian have an organized low that brings snow to the region. The last few days have shown a random run here or there that have looked interesting, but tonight it’s good to see both models with a decent system that snows on us.

I’m no longer sticking with you.

Lets hit the 19th too. lala land. Hell Monday is lala land.

I hope this ain’t the promised land

I'll start off by saying I get it. This is the only place where 95% of the people share our snow-loving insanity, and the only people who understand the emotions behind it. The temptation is to voice every scream of the weenie soul. And venting sometimes is fine. BUT...I think the problem is how much you vent. It's one thing to be frustrated and stuff on here as we all get and we all vent sometimes...but it's when every post becomes that and every negative thought is voiced that it can be really difficult to read through. If the vent becomes a complain marathon, it's probably better to hold back some of it, imo You won't burst I promise, lol Personally I start to hold back if I feel myself kinda going off the path. There are other ways to handle snow frustrations than putting every last frustration on everybody else.

Stick with me. I’ll take you to the promised land

GEFS unconvincingly has a dartboard cluster of lows across the SE wrt the Jan 15 thing, fwiw. I suppose it's 'something'.

that's some Snyder-esque bullshit - not really surprised if that ends up being his rationale