All Activity

Not a bad Euro run all things considered ... and considering what that looked like in the guidance just a short few days ago. The rather anachronistic Nor'easter is now timed earlier. This has been trended so not very new... but nice to see the continuity. Appears to be evacuated out of the region by late Friday... Saturday is manageable cool pool towers and instability shower dappled about the country side. But a decent day overall. Sun/Mon are dry NW d-slope flow days. At this time of year that's a decent look. I'm sure it mangle into some means to f-it all up but just as it looks for now.

Might even get up near average the day after before the cold reloads.

I am not surprised. Carbon capture remains a gimmick. It offers a false promise to divert society's attention from the need to cut fossil fuel consumption. No serious analysis or agreement should incorporate carbon capture into future projections.

I dont either Sundog but those were raindrops that fell on me in New City 30 minutes ago,,,,,Thanks

I wish AWATT was correct, but the pattern looks awful. A rando semi warm day mixed in to a week of crud isn’t my idea of a nice late May pattern but to each their own.

I don't see any rain on the radar at least

It was pretty refreshing walking the 50 miles in the Bronx Zoo.

Got the keys to the cabin on the mountain, construction complete! Too bad the wind is blowing like crazy, I'm sooo sick of wind this year. It's relentless.

Brutal. Fun watching Holliday. That’s about it.

A little help guys,,,,,I started staring the spindles on my deck rails today and I want to do the tops of my rails BUT whats with these dark clouds that just showed up as there was about zero chance of rain when I started this earlier today and tomorrow Im looking to stain the deck with no rain in site until Wednesday but is it gonna shower tonight or soon ????? WTF

Orioles Only 2 months until NFL training camp begins!

The thing about the -10, -15 temperature departures in the Eastern US in February 2015 is that it was balanced out by similar positive temperature departures in the Western US:

I’m sure they’ll be some mild days thrown in but meh.

Outflow from the downstate severe storms lofted the dry dirt/dust

Tomorrow and Tuesday will be somewhat cooler but still pleasant days. However, it will turn noticeably cooler Tuesday night. Once it turns cooler, an extended period of below normal temperatures is likely. A moderate to significant rainfall is likely Wednesday into Thursday. A gusty wind will likely accompany the rainfall. Showers could persist into Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal). The SOI was +7.83 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.290 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (near normal).

Lots of 70’s - low 80’s. No big heat or big dews … yet

Nah big heat. Starts next weekend.

Lock it

Yea, he is the first person I have ever seen argue against the idea that a warmer climate has more moisture available...irregardless of the degree of warming cancelling that out.

sucks

I think its more about the orientation of the cool ENSO event than it is the QBO.

That isn't the case up here....IDK about the mid Atlantic.

They’ve been horrible as has EPS. This is spring version of Scooter doing Scooter things .

I would travel for a golf gtg. I would say I could combine with a trip to the PGA stop in Cromwell but that has gotten too expensive.