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Lots of lightning and crashing thunder with the line coming through. Picked up a quick 0.64" which brings us to 0.92" for the day so far.

Im not familiar with the towns, but 287 north of route 80 was beautiful on Thursday driving to Pearl River, NY. Im sure some of the state parks in NNJ are probably popping nicely.

It says he did save the data, and to send him a PM.

Reply to him instead of here. No point in doing it here instead of the source. You obviously follow him. I see 6 comments and none you. If you post his 93k follows will see it instead of the 10 people here that read this thread.

Exactly. I don't see it being as bad as his outcome turned out. I like Don but, he's heavy into Global warming and I think he incorporates that a bit much. If Pensacola can get a record Snowstorm we can still get abundant Snowfall Winter's.

I read that tweet this morning and was wondering how long it would take you to embed it here La Niña is very comparable to last year...I feel like he is overstating the importance of the -IOD....we have had some incredible winters with a -IOD....it's not prohibitive in-and-of-Itself. The WPO was extremely positive last year and MY money is on LESS of an anomaly this year, but we shall see. The way I see it is that La Niña is extremely comparable to last year in terms of intensity, but more east-based. The west Pacific is also very comparable. JAS RONI is .63...JAS 2024 RONI was also .63. September 2024 WPO: 1.38 September 2025 WPO: 1.22

May as well eat Knowles' buyout and can his ass tomorrow. Loss is 100% on him.

Oh yeah I've read the board and it does seem very bleak. Maybe my blinders are on but im trying not to hard to complicate this winter. And after last winter with the crazy long cold stretch in January and the record breaking snow along the gulf that no one had predicted nor believed, im hedging on something as variable as that or could be near that. We are in different times using analog years and rolling things into the future in my opinion. We will see what happens but I'm still very positive on this winter around here.

Welp. I was wrong. Tough game to lose after leading throughout.

Uggh. Cold but not alot of Snow.

Jim Knowles may be the worst thing to ever happen to Penn State football. Holy god this guy sucks.

Don Sutherland did some meticulous Calculations Yesterday and came up with a cool Fall but a mild Winter . He details what he factored in and how he did it over in the main Forum. Hopefully we get something akin to last Winter if you like cold and at least average Snowfall. The SST'S in the west Pacific are boiling and those in the Ne Pac have cooled considerably. The SST'S around Newfoundland have warmed. So, not the right direction but, plenty of time to revert . The SST'S in the NEPAC did just that in 2013-14.

We had patchy frost yesterday morning. Keokee in northern Lee County hit 31 with widespread frost .

I agree brother. I was just pointing out how the main Driver and Analog Computer generated Outlook basically, that Don Sutherland came up with with his meticulously done Calculations. Check it out in the main Forum. Interesting, although like you, I'm hoping the Asian snow/ice above average buildup and weak PV you noted does help. I don't know if he factored those Parameters in or not. He went into some detail on what was used but, seemed mosly analogus to similar late Summer Years and ENSO Status. Those boiling WPAC SST'S will cause a firehouse PAC Jet so, depending on how strong Blocking in the AO Domain is, it could present a problem for us. Our best hope for is that those Waters in the NEPAC warm back up ala 2013-14. That would help augment ridging into Alaska and western Canada. I had high hopes earlier for a likelihood of a dominant -NAO due to the cold SST'S around Newfoundland but, those have since warmed dramatically. Hopefully something will cool them once again.

66.8 today

17-18 getting some love on twitter recently as an analog. Webb likes it too. December and January were BN, but January was very dry overall so not much snow. February was a torch. That winter had the equinox snow in March in response to the late winter SSW. https://x.com/justinwx/status/1979664917369364740?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA

Scoring

Great drive. Ran the ball down their throat.

Cold air is building. Patience. Colder pattern develops in the 1st week of November with the NAO and AO dropping.

Cold air is building. Patience. Colder pattern develops in the 1st week of November with the NAO and AO dropping.

And right as I send this, Smolik enters the game and Allen breaks out a big run.

IOW, "persistence forecasting"?

Penn State's offensive line is "tits on a nun" level of useless. I don't know now this unit could get so bad so quick. I don't really think it matters who is under centre with these guys up front. Having said that, Kotelniki using Smolik throughout is showing more creativity than Franklin had allowed at any point prior to this week, and if the line could actually block, Allen and Smolik likely have enough yardage between the two of them to force Iowa's secondary to come in a bit and the receivers would get a little bit of separation. But damn this line stinks.

One of the most uninteresting and boring seasons I can remember. It’s hilarious we have had two 5s tho in the middle of literally nothing else

Was great day to mow the grass for the last time this season! Will be swapping the garage for the Christmas decorations by the front door and the lawnmower packed in the back! 77 for a high today was quite warm! Probably do it again tomorrow!