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Lots of reports coming in across Northern Alabama and Eastern Tennessee. Already seeing a report of 2 inches of snow near Huntsville.

Agree Its about time we had a huge pattern breaking event. Awesome winter

This evening looks fantastic. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Its always sad when winter ends.

These “squalls” this morning are legit. Sky gets dark as they roll through, and dump for 15 minutes at a time. Then it gets light. Rinse and repeat every 30 minutes.

nothingburger, as usual

Not good if you want to see winter weather in the east. Bad trend in the wrong direction. There was hope for a wintry period but now its fading. Looks like I will end up with 47 inches this winter bearing a miracle event.

Why is this severe warned? It is your average run-of-the-mill thunderstorm. Zero wind.

Really???cloudy as fuck about a mile away from you

So when’s the snow coming?

#2 event on the season.

It’s a work from home day for me, so I am wearing athletic shorts and a sweatshirt and told the wife to “gun it good” to get through the end of the driveway, lol!

...Carolinas to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast... Large-scale outflow from ongoing broken linear bands along with a separate swath of convection with the low-level warm conveyor have greatly hampered the amplitude of diurnal destabilization across the Carolinas to the DE Valley. Primary severe threat should remain with the pre-frontal linear bands as they spread east-northeast this afternoon. Some intensification may yet occur across eastern SC/southern NC within pockets of low 70s surface temperatures. See MCDs 272-273 for additional storm-term discussion. Farther north, a pre-frontal low-topped convective line is evolving across central PA. This should be the primary driver of afternoon severe potential northeastward into parts of NY as mid 50s to low 60s surface dew points remain prevalent just ahead of this line. Within a deeply meridional wind profile, damaging winds and embedded tornadoes will be the main hazards. This activity should remain spatially confined by a lack of downstream boundary-layer destabilization over eastern NY into New England. In the wake of this leading activity, a second round of low-topped convection will likely reform east of the Blue Ridge into the Piedmont towards late afternoon/early evening. Prior overturning and persistent cloud coverage should mitigate appreciable boundary-layer destabilization. However, robust large-scale ascent and intensifying lower-level winds will accompany the ejection of a 100+ kt 500-mb jetlet within the basal shortwave trough. This should yield a renewed threat for damaging winds accompanying the fast-moving line. Even with meager buoyancy, another round of sporadic severe gusts should occur from NC/VA to the Chesapeake Bay/DE Valley vicinity through this evening.

They cut back the risk a good bit. I went from moderate to slight at my work lol.

It wasn’t off based, and did the best within 18-24 hours. Sniffed out the south trend and latched on to it.

Only storms I'm worried about the next few hours are the ones throwing out lightning. Most of this stuff is not exhibiting strong vertical organization.

I just updated the Blizzard of '96 with new maps as well a couple others. I made significant changes to these maps with new reports from the OPU. Mostly the contours/numbers went way up especially for CT/SE MA. It's funny that the PNS/OPUs from around this time, mostly older 90s and 00s, often do not match up with what's in the nowdata (F6). I'm always going to default to what's in the official record books but it makes me wonder sometimes if those numbers are the mistakes and not the PNS. This is another instance where BDL is way off from the F6. BDL on the OPU is 18.2 which seems about right but the F6 is 15.8". Also, i think BDR is totally ridiculous. 15" when all the surrounding reports are around 2 feet. So i'm supposed to believe that BDR got 5" more in the Blizzard of 26 than 96? There's no shot 2026 eclipsed 1996 there, and by 5 inches.

The HRRR continues to show 3”-5” of snow in a localized area in N Knox Co, Southern Union Co into Granger and Jeff Co that extends into the Mountains. That would be incredible but I doubt it. .

Okay getting some really good thunder at least now. Was super quiet but just heard a really loud boom that shook the house.

Holy shit that lighting and thunder

That’s some dedication. My wife laughed at me for doing like 10 measurements just in one line across the yard

We had a TOR in York County in February several years ago. I was directly in the path but it lifted crossing the river. Outside of that, this seems VERY early for this stuff.

That is just wild