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  2. Knowing these shortcomings is of high value. Some ppl are riding high on AI modeling as the best thing since sliced bread and they are a panacea.
  3. Dumping rain for the past hour in Great Falls.
  4. Today's Highs: TEB: 84 ACY: 84 PHL: 83 BLM: 81 ISP: 81 NYC: 81 EWR: 80 TTN: 80 LGA: 79 JFK: 79 New Brnswck: 78
  5. Some "backup" storms W to E Reston area and actually lifting ENE a bit. DOX radar shows hail cores aloft. CGs increasing last 20 min.
  6. Total rainfall in Media, Delaware County 1.08". Let's see if we get anything else tonight. Not sure looks like everything is north getting belted north and west.
  7. This storm just won’t quit, just as soon as it looks to be moving away, it has been back building right in my vicinity. Heavy rain with thunder & lightning continue… Rain total 2.46 & counting, all in the last 1 hour & 20 minutes.
  8. Owning the libs! While the world points and laughs at us.
  9. 3.25” storm total assuming no more. Round 2 this evening was pretty intense lots of street flooding around the area during the height of it. 11.60” in August now
  10. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Here is a good post about it: https://www.medguideusa.com/guide/zithromax/ - How to take Zithromax. Highly recommended!
  11. 83/48, enjoying the dry heat. Should have prime viewing for the lunar eclipse tonight.
  12. Marble size hail over in Dauphin - friend took a pic. Pretty epic missed in the city today. I do have .06” now though!
  13. May and August have o-k N Pacific correlations. They were both opposite this year. 3 months US averaged below average temps for El Nino warm season. All 3 months were above average. It's not the strongest, but there are pattern effects that aren't happening since the El Nino developed in April. I agree that it's 3-4x more relevant starting in like Oct-Nov.
  14. The effects are more in the southern hemisphere now. After mid-fall or so, it’ll switch over to the northern hemisphere and thats when we should start seeing some typical nino characteristics like a STJ. Aug and early sept are almost irrelevant, except for the tropics.
  15. This cell has been inching along, but this has been the most thunder and lightning of any storm this year I think eta…damn thing fell apart in the last 3 miles before reaching me
  16. this is Golf Course Rd at the railroad tracks, just before the old Stone Bridge—i was there just 15 minutes before the storm hit:
  17. some pictures from Martinsburg in this thread: https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1DK4c1tYvz/?mibextid=wwXIfr
  18. Today
  19. Go back to the satellite imagery and you’ll see all those fires ignited all at the same time. It’s not a coincidence it’s on purpose and it’s not by campers. .
  20. The El Nino is just stagnant over the Tropics right now? The cold season has much higher effects, but you typically do see some things now, or whenever a +2.4c ENSO event is happening, warm or cold season. That we've seen 7-0 N. Pacific ridges vs troughs since the El Nino officially began is somewhat of a leading indicator.. instead of your usual -120dm winter n. pacific anomaly, I'd say it's more likely to be around -30dm for the DJFM mean. Pacific vs Atlantic hurricane season has been El Nino so far.
  21. Wild, crazy storm that seems to be “training” over Marysville. Torrential rain, thunder, lightning, & light hail mixed in as well! Over 1.5 inches of rain in the last 30 minutes & counting. it looks like a river is running down the street!
  22. I'd consider a rain changing to a minor snow accumulation this December a victory. And that's coming from an eternal optimist.
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