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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Late month -
Agreed. These things don't just come in quiet. I think there will be snow showers and squalls around all weekend, perhaps not widespread but there is definitely some moisture around. Orographically areas likely favored
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
WX-PA replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Light snow here in Dillsburg..Thought the precip was staying south of us? -
isn't that from the simpsons? Shame if we stop doing them and go to permanent EDT, might not have a winter anymore.
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Really think people are going to be surprised at the impact that the TPV visit this weekend will have.
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If the season ended today, this decades CPK average snowfall would be 16.78 This is ahead of the first 6 years of the 70s at 15.85. This decade is also ahead with 1 above average snowfall season (0 for the first 6 years of the 70s). The 30 year 70 through 99 average was 21.91. Still behind that by 5.12.
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Ugh, sobering progression
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LET'S GOOOO!!!! Im still on for a late season storm, but im ready to thaw out completely for now.
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could be potential for some decent OES across the Cape Sunday/Monday
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Hi res AI models are available if you pony up.
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The period around mid February is quite intriguing I think, at least in terms of the evolution of teleconnections which I know Tip has touched upon. But during that period the NAO is forecast to become less negative over time with the PNA becoming more neutral. Will be very active in the shortwave department. Obviously how everything evolves is a different story but that is a period to 100% watch
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Windex city with a Norlun possibility. Why winter rocks so many elements big and small
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Whats going on in Northern MD? Radar looks like it's increasing. Anything falling out by the Catoctins? I'll ride out and do a hike.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some very light flurries here in EN temp at 25.2 -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Yardstickgozinya replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That would be classic. There's a special place for guys like us.I'll be waiting at the gates for you. -
Yeah I'll take your word for it. I don't personally vibe with them yet... I just don't have enough of a feel for their bias typologies/under what circumstances and so forth. All a keep hearing is that they are 'primitive' ...which has to be the case because we know the did not exist a minute ago. I can tell ya, this latter aspect doesn't exactly make it move for me... the only times I looked at them, they give the appearance of circa 1990 MRF solutions, with fuzzy QPF that is cartoonishly large looking for events only 48 hours away. It didn't impress me. I'm more "intrigued" if we want to call it that ...that the Can ens cluster has such a bright signal from 270+ hours like that. Should that hold and the GEFs and EPS ante in ... no one will remember.
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NorthArlington101 started following February Discobs 2026
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I think you can be a snow weenie without being a cold weenie. I want it to stick around for 3 days. Then I don’t really care. It’s nice looking, but I’m cold!
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For you?
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Weather Will replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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So finally creeped just above freezing yesterday with a 33.0 high first time in 10 days. Was above 32 for about an hour. With only 10 mph winds it felt like 60 lol. MUCH warmer overnight, never went below 20 degrees here, that also is a first in about 10 days.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks like the main PV lobe is headed to Asia. Looks like the airmass grows rather stale on this side of the hemisphere beyond about Feb 10th. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MickeyTim6533 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Feb 4-5 significant SE snow threat
WinstonSalemArlington replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
