All Activity

i had central park at 1.3 i'm a good prognosticator

From my morning commute. Also, finishing up blizzard footage. Will post later today.

It never looked good

Its not official until I get text messages from IPhone users asking me if we are gonna get 8+. I wonder what Apple weather is saying.

What exactly did you expect from a clipper?

Moderate snow. Over an inch already. Temp jumped up quickly here, 31 now. Still only 16 at the hole that is IJD.

I thought this is an every year thing when it's late season? Like a modeled SSW that leads to the polar vortex shrinking and going poof because of the season.

They might beat by a little bit but not.even home to check.. don't worry maybe ill get my march 2023 again this year

Light snow with a quarter mile visibility lol

I agree with you in that I think there will be opportunities here. I'm just trying to set expectations in a proper manner. Realistically here are the return periods for different snow levels along with the last qualifying event. I would be hesitant to believe any storm snow maps going forward that paint more then 6" unless we get situated and a historically cold air mass, -25+ departure from normal, or we have a bomb perfectly of ocean city. I love l looking at some of the true late March / Easter bombs from before the satellite era. It's tough finding hourly data at times but I remember one from I think early 1940"s where it was snowing from DC to Harrisburg to Philly while raining in North Central to north east pa. It was 31-32 in dc while pushing 40 in Williamsport and Allentown. Pure dynamics driven as the low bombed out and retrograded. The ccb eventually made it to Allentown. The undisputed king of these storms is the 4 day March 18-21, 1958 storm where the low bombed out and was cut off. Snow was super elevation dependent and dynamic dependent. Philadelphia received 11.4" spread out over 4 days. Harrisburg was 1958-03-18: 0.0" 1958-03-19: 4.0" 1958-03-20: 4.7" 1958-03-21: 0.2" Total (Mar 18–21): 8.9" Morgantown, Pennsylvania 50". I'm sure some of the high spots down in Adams and York counties did absolutely amazing. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Yup…good csll to shut em down…winter rules.

Great summary. I agree the forecast was spot on and a 75 mile difference is minimal given the window. Thanks for sharing.

6z Euro looked like it would have been good next week

Roads are worse this morning then anytime Monday lol, and a lot of traffic with a normal commute spin outs galore here

Re the blizzard, it in fact made a late adjustment toward reality. It was just slightly too far NW of what actually transpired the day-ish before, and then made a 'within error expectation' bump - which is obfuscated by the fact that there was theoretical room for NW adjustments prior to that. It was a bit of journey, the total error of which - to me - was irrelevant really ... I guess I'm saying that late bump was a no fault - considering that the other global runs were pretty bad until just 60 hours or even 48 hours out, comparatively. Not accounting for the rest of the winter/other events.. .just the blizzard. I was rollin' eyes and annoyed when the bump back SE triggered street trash.

Plenty down here too…lol. Just busting ya. But it wasn’t meh here. Over performance for sure.

Snow on snow. 1.1”

And just like that we closed today. Knew it. Closing in on 3” here..no way they can get the lots and walks cleaned in time.

Islip was reporting light snow lol. Prob had 2" in 30-40 minutes.

Yeah like that ^^^^^^

If it was rain down there he’d be posting multiple emojis.

Not at all plenty of snow up here

They making up for the blizzard measurements lol

.6 total