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  2. tough to ask for better here. textbook aloft for significant impacts
  3. Honestly, I’d probably throw out the Ukie at this point. Seriously doubt the inland low plows into that high pressure like that. I’m going to continue to root for the others to come north. The GFS was just a correction. It’s not going to continue to jump at that pace given the other guidance out there. We have a lot of wiggle room on the others
  4. Euro AI slight shift north, but absolutely ZERO worries mixing!
  5. Yea, it’s one of the more wild storm outputs I’ve seen lol.
  6. EURO is starting up now on the Pivotal site. Sent from my SM-S931U using Tapatalk
  7. I can't look at Fantasy GFS land, I'm currently in another relationship at the moment. It's going pretty rough.
  8. If the 2006 JMA can predict a record-breaking blizzard for NYC 2 weeks in advance... you never say never about any weather model. Though, the chances of the UKie verifying are statistically improbable.
  9. I’ll take the CMC and Ukmet runs as an off ramp for myself to block amwx and all model sites so I can get work done tomorrow. I’ll be back sometime around 18z or later.
  10. Actually stays too far east for you or me verbatim. But we have a couple of minutes before it's a threat.
  11. If it snows 18”, I won’t care what happens after the last flake falls :-)
  12. I was never on the ledge, I've been reading other area forums
  13. i couldn't care less if some pellets mix in after 8-12" of snow
  14. Uncle dumps double digits on most of us. These systems inevitably are really good with the cold dome and not enough of an amped low to scour it. Just deep gulf moisture into a gelid arctic dome.
  15. Let's just relax and have a look at the other models. Look, it's only a blip. We got this.
  16. Spent all afternoon lurking in the MA sub. I now have a severe case of whiplash. Holy heck, that used to be entertaining but I just can't keep up anymore down there. Still gonna go out and get the bread and milk tomorrow though. Oh btw it's 3.0°F outside my house right now. It hit 5 this morning, and one of my dogs was trying to do a kangaroo poop because the snow was too cold for her front paws, poor girl. Might try to put on her booties tomorrow morning but I'm not sure that'll be any more comfortable for her...
  17. you've passed me - I'm at 19.8F
  18. Euro has begun. Here's to one more good time before bed
  19. The GEFS has a single member that takes a UKMET-like track through NYS. The 12 GEPS has 2. And the 18z EPS has 4 or 5 including a few that are more amped than the UKMET.
  20. I guess we may not want a full phase and pump the se ridge too much. Not sure if these big changes happen due to recon missions. I would hate to have 18 inches then rain on top making the snow so heavy. But I would love 18 inches... Gonna be anxious next few days wondering how each run will go. Guess gotta stay up for EURO.
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