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Wow, that's wild.
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I'd actually be shocked if the ICON wasn't -
3.18" for the total at CEF. -
i love the rain because i am pure of heart and soul
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Despite a short heat wave near the 4th of July, this month turned out cooler and drier compared to last year at my cooperative observation site (RSTM2). July 2025 - 16, 90 degree days & monthly precip total of 6.5" July 2026 - 10, 90 degree days & monthly precip total of 3.6"
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Euro also has something just not as robust.. ICON also faintly seeing it -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
97-98 was not half bad for the Great Lakes/SNE if i remember correctly. December ‘97 was decent here while it was a total shutout in 2015. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1. The July SOI comes in way down at -26.8, by far the lowest July SOI on record. The only lower ones during met. summer were the -27.7 in June of 1905 and the -27.0 in June of 1896, both incoming El Niños. 2. This brings us to 82 straight days of -SOI. Going back to when records are readily available (since 1991), this is second only to the 100 days of 1998! It’s too early to tell whether or not the current streak will reach 100 days. -
Hit 59 last night, fall is coming!!
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WB 6Z GEFS and EPS thru Day 5. Rain chances moving back in later on Sunday through Tuesday on Eastern shore.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
CANSIPS now getting close to a +4C ONI peak… -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I buy that for the mid atlantic but even up here? I’m concerned it will be too warm for sustained winter and we aren’t going to get the nickle and dime events we normally get. -
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Monday looking rainy
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Couldn't agree more. Very disruptive and destructive in places.
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Dewgust 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Pretty classic wet microburst look on soundings if we can get anything to materialize -
51.6 this morning. Depth, orientation and slow movement of ULL over OV in opposition to HP off the coast will determine who gets how much rain from Sunday - Tuesday. We need to start August as a wet month! I have only received 62% of normal for July.
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After no measurable rain in the last 9 days and the low dews over the last few, the lawn is crunchy. Sprinklers are on full send this morning.
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Dewgust 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Monday could be interesting. We are juiced to the teets as far as. Moisture goes. If we can get decent shear like gfs has, could be severe in spots. At the least could be prolific rain and maybe decent ltg with those dews. -
Monday could be interesting. We are juiced to the teets as far as. Moisture goes. If we can get decent shear like gfs has, could be severe in spots. At the least could be prolific rain and maybe decent ltg with those dews.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I was still editing and added an opening paragraph. This is projected to happen during climate change. I am not certain about seasonal variations, though June 2026 has been quite wet. A Finland publication describing climate change refers to increasing winter rains. https://itameri.fi/en/state-of-the-baltic-sea/climate-change/ This year, January-February were drier than normal in Scandinavia, but March was wetter than normal. -
Looks like a typical GFS fantasy storm
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Thanks, Don. But do you have any comments on the wet W, C, and N Europe (~+7”/year) averaged out year-round 2016-25 per the map I posted and how it does or doesn’t relate to CC?
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Monday seems kind of meh
