Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. Birds~69
    Saw Twisters the other day for the first time. God that was awful. Acting, CGI, Plot, and using big Met words and looking stupid saying them because it sounded as if was being read from a script. Overall, it looked like a B movie... IMDB 2.6/10
  3. Storm Clouds
    Excited to report the first true “rain event” today since installing my Tempest and Tropo rain gauge! .91 in the Tropo and the haptic rain gauge of the Tempest recorded .87! Pretty darn close to each other!
  4. WxWatcher007
    15% chance of an area within 25 miles seeing rainfall that exceeds flash flood guidance. Kind of similar to SPC outlooks of having a certain percentage chance of seeing severe within 50mi or whatever it is. Flash flood guidance varies depending on recent rainfall (among other things, probably). Caveat is moderate risk on rainfall is not the same as a mod risk for severe. When I see a mod rain risk it’s noteworthy but not uncommon. A high risk is serious though—they almost always precede catastrophic flooding somewhere within the zone.
  5. vortex95
    What about the warm front position!!!! You were all over that and dogmatic last event! LOL.
  6. vortex95
    Or in "Team America: World Police!" F-yeah!!!!
  7. mahantango#1
    Much needed .60 rain today.
  8. vortex95
    "Life-threatening" -- most inclement wx is life-threatening in some way. Why not just "dangerous?" That is all-inclusive for being injured and a fatality. Yet we see "extremely dangerous and life-threatening" in the same line en masse now. Superfluous wording and redundant. More is not always better.
  9. wishcast_hater
    A period of heavy rain in Dutchess County around 4 pm otherwise just showers. Nothing to speak of. .
  10. wishcast_hater started following July 2026
  11. BoulderWX
    2.65” - over an inch in the last 45 minutes
  12. Great Snow 1717
    And another one lol...too funny lol
  13. Golf757075
    Im wondering if the pdo stays negative will it make a difference or do we want to see it positive for the winter to have a better chance at colder outcomes? Just a question
  14. Picard
    3.4" and still counting. I'm currently under my third heavy thunderstorm of the day with rain and thunder since 2 pm. Pretty wild day.
  15. vortex95
    Something that *really* stands out for this event and why I think 10"+ is likely in some spots. Let's see if @CoastalWx and @WxWiz know this excessive rainfall rule of thumb! CAPE for a nor'easter is outstanding, esp. for New England. The entire time for much of cntrl and srn New England, the values are 500-1000. These are *ideal* values for maxing rainfall rates and droplet collision/coalescence for high rainfall efficiency. Warm rain process rule. The CAPE provides additional lift on top of the synoptic-scale lift, but it is not too strong as to push a lot of drops above the freezing layer or at least above -40 C where spontaneous freezing occurs. So look out! Also, w/ CAPE present, it is going to be windier, esp. inland, b/c of good mixing of the BL. And likely a lot tstm activity for a Nor'easter. This happened on Oct 23-24, 2014. A lot of tstms and I recall it was windy from the NE even before the rain moved in b/c BL mixing was excellent. Up to 6" of rain from this event (does CoastalWx recall it?).
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    QBO is a great forecasting tool....I've been killing it the past couple years integrating the QBO with solar cycle.
  17. ThePhotoGuy
    Seems that the Riviera Beach/Pasadena area got hit hard again (same area as 10 days ago). Reports of a lot of trees and wires down. It looked like the power was out at my house for a few hours.
  18. Prismshine Productions
    Parking lot flooded at work for a bit earlier Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  19. pazzo83
    pretty bad damage just to my south in Cathedral Heights over to Cleveland Park and further east in to Petworth. Ian thinks it's a microburst. About 1" here - finally some good rain. I was downtown running when it hit - minor street flooding.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I understand all of that....and I have tried to explain to you that you are taking that composite far too literally....it's not a forecast composite....it does't even incorporate the extra tropical Pacific. It's literally just a composite derived from solar, QBO and ENSO data, as that is how I assess the polar fields.
  21. Rhino16
    It can be impossible to see tornadoes when they are rain wrapped during the day, and it’s especially hard at night. We don’t have a ton of storm chasers constantly out watching around here with trees and terrain. If the rule were to wait for the radar to show it’s picking up debris, then it’s already doing damage and by the time the radar has actually scanned it, and the warning is issued, someone may have had no warning and potentially has been injured or worse. I don’t see why it’s an issue to go to safety and come back uninjured and resume life as normal. I also don’t know what technology we have if any currently that can change the need for caution besides maybe radar improvements which I hope are coming like phased array.
  22. tiger_deF
    I’m over it. It feels like there was a better chance of getting lightning from one of the blizzards last winter out east than this pithy severe season. Bring on the Fall!
  23. zwyts
    not yet. probably November
  24. BoulderWX
    Hardest rain of the day in Morristown and cell looks to be back building a bit.
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Duke outage map confirms it, 17k out in this area alone. This is telling: https://outagemap.duke-energy.com/#/current-outages/ncsc
  26. SI Mailman
    Pouring here in North Edison
  27. steve392
    Sussex county been the jackpot all day along with orange and rockland counties.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...