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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Blizzard of 93 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Absolutely perfect Summer day. Acceptable temperatures, no humidity & a refreshing breeze! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That monster warm blob has caused nothing but havoc with winter in the past several years in the northeast and mid Atlantic. If it takes a super ElNino to slay it while wrecking this upcoming winter in the process, so be it. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picking up some LEMP's on my am frequencies. Definitely things trying to happen to the north from my viewpoint here in mechanicsburg. Sorry for the reflection in the picture. -
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Tough for me to tell without monthly calculations, but it looks like 1957, 1982 and 2015 are good polar analogs. -
June has been well above normal. That’s not debatable.
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Unless your pissing money away irrigating, lawns are toast here.
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The lack of humidity has been great. Nice warm days and cooler nights. AC has been run sparingly.
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Picked up a quarter inch after midnight, with more storms incoming. I mean, could someone turn off the rain machine in my area please?? Send it east where it's still needed.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm really starting to miss the Daily Climate Composite maps, as current SSTA configurations could start giving us clues about the cold season NAO and WPO, and SLP maps over the Arctic, an indicator of cold season AO. -
How? It hasn't been bad at all yet and we had snow a few weeks ago
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Here's an interesting stat: 13 straight February's with +NAO (CPC). 10/13 have been >+1.00. For comparison, our last Winter month (DJFM) with any monthly NAO <-1.11 was Dec 2010. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
They still haven't calculated the QBO since February. What an absolute nightmare this administration is. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks. I'm new to this as I was just diagnosed a week and a half ago. I guess when I have my follow up appointment, medication suggestions and diet will be discussed. -
SLGT risk up for Monday on afternoon Day 3 @high risk @Kmlwx @Eskimo Joe ...Mid-Atlantic... Areas of showers and thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing Monday morning across the lower Great Lakes/upper OH Valley region. Ahead of that convection, a southwesterly low-level jet is forecast to migrate through the Mid-Atlantic, enhancing the poleward transport of an increasingly moist and unstable boundary layer. Increasing height falls/forcing for ascent coupled with convergence near and ahead of the surface low, cold front, and any existing outflow boundaries are expected to foster an increase in storm coverage and intensity by afternoon. Strengthening mid-level flow aloft will combine with backed, near-ground winds ahead of the surface low to enhance vertical shear across the DelMarVa region, supporting the potential for supercell storm modes capable of all severe-weather hazards.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Porsche replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I’ve been dealing with this for around 30 years. Under control with medication and no diet restrictions, although I pay for ice cream if too much. Need any info, DM me. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
WPO....it's usually + in these uber warm ENSO events, but 1982-1983 was negative....I could see us pulling that off again given the recent changes on the North Pacific. May be another notable difference between this year and 2023-2024. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The December forecast map shows the +IOD becoming more neutral following the fall peak with the SSTs rebounding a bit near the Maritime Continent So we’ll have to see how things verify once we get that far out in time. Also note the December forecast chart has warmer SSTs east of Japan and over the Atlantic. -
Looks like an inch of rain is possible tomorrow for this area. 2-3" rains possible south of I-80.
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acatt having a rough summer
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well true but if that stuff is what makes you to feel horrible at least you know! -
It will be warm but not hot and humid like some are thinking.. average to slightly below temps but also looks like we get into a wetter pattern..
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
All the January, 1998 -NAO/-AO did was trap Pacific air underneath the blocks
