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This is why it’s not science. It’s example giving guesswork with so many outcomes that one will surely hit and funding for status quo can continue. Now the chest puffers who never otherwise pist here will be whistled in soon but models are not weather forecasting tools. They mostly exist to perpetuate themselves. It’s fine that many many more than me enjoy that modality just as it’s fine that I think it’s bogus
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March has a very different feel to the other months. Temperature-wise it's like late Nov into early December but with a much higher sun angle. So yes it can snow, but it almost always melts quickly. Elevation makes more difference in March too. Albany, NY tends to switch to Spring pretty quickly in March most years, while the high country of southern VT and the Catskills can still feel like deep winter. It's very location dependent but almost always categorized by freeze-thaw, mud, and residual salt grime.
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They’ve been performing quite well this winter, gotta say. They did well with the December clipper threats too.
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Maybe you...
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Its cutting back rain amounts for sure. Don't like that
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I had no idea sunny and 40 could feel so warm! It's gonna take a long time for this ice/snowpack to melt
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
ineedsnow replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
up to 31 there's a chance we might hit 32 today -
The AI is pretty good at sniffing…it’s been down on this, so probably gotta say this doesn’t look to good.
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Weird mix of rain and sleet just came through lower Manhattan.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hard to believe it was -5F yesterday morning! Must be one of the bigger day-to-day swings on record. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I see a possible event on the 24th/25th. If that doesn't hit, then it's probably lights out for the winter. The first half of March looks very warm. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
The pretty common theme here is people along the coast and in central New Jersey and the city are often pretty quick to call and end to winter in late February. For those of us 30 miles or more north and west of New York City latitude and longitude, most of March is just thought of as another winter month. -
Euro back south even more than 06z. Mostly rain for everyone. Low was weaker and didn't pull as much cold air into the system. Not a terrible look, just need the High stronger and the low a little stronger. It's pretty much looking like a Miller A rainstorm at this point. If this trend keeps up that low may track right across the Gulf.
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yep just a rain storm this go around....
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
TheClimateChanger replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Up to 50F now. First over 40F reading since January 14th (48F), and first 50F since the 13th. -
We got less than 1” QPF from both big storms combined here. Severe drought and in serious need of one of these events to not dry up 48 hours before
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Well- at least we won’t be envying Norfolk getting another 12” blizzard.
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Yeah AIs wanted nothing to do with this system from the start, red flags
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The map doesn't show a snow hole over central Union county NJ
