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Not a bad day today. At least it will be nice going into Hartford to see the shitty Wolf Pack play. Only reason I was going to go tonight was see Hagens play. Now I'm going to be stuck watching the awful Wolf Pack.

GFS maybe? a few showers around on that

Welp ... I was wrong about March when it comes to predicting the product result, below. I had presumed recently that we'd result a more obvious local geographic ( 'local' relative to the entire world) cool zone/island anomaly relative to the whole "inferno" that is clearly and coherently, unarguably the product's character below... eh hm. Said island had been a persistent leitmotif since late last autumn... Still, you know, it really didn't sensibly come off that way? I recall seeing March colder locally comparing to the whole country on a lot of days... In fairness I think what is actually going on is that this product below is the "anomaly". What we experienced may have technically been a warm anomaly, just not as demonstrative or obviously so as everywhere else... SO, in that vein and sense it might still qualify. Also, having that impressively deep cold garland lording over top the Canadian Shield while there's a quasar spanning the conterminous U.S., definitely helps explain why we've been getting these wild 40 to as much as 50+ F air mass whiplashes, too. Anyway, here is the tabulation and mean for March provided by https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/ Quote

Looks like the heat coming is back next week with many of us, possibly hitting 90.

I hope the sun burns these clouds off this morning...

what an idiot ^

The fact you are on here indicates you have the same hobby or profession as I do! Plus tell me what you know about my life. family, economic position, happiness etc. - I bet you know nothing yet judge another person's existence as sad based on one's weather hobby/passion! I am pretty sure the sadest existence is one who criticizes another's existence or life without any deep knowledge of any aspects of that person's life. Be better!

I'm with drought guy @Albedoman though growing a bit concerned about the lack of rain in the forecast. April is typically one of our wettest months and the long range looks mostly warm and dry outside of a few brief frontal passages. No mud season this year.

1.2" total. Here are my notes on that storm: "N30 6:43pm. Snow at dawn changed to rain and then back and forth, all snow in the afternoon but then stuck in between bands. Central and Eastern OC missed out while other areas got rocked."

Welp ... I was wrong about March when it comes to predicting the product result, below. I had presumed recently that we'd result a more obvious local geographic ( 'local' relative to the whole world) cool zone/island anomaly relative to the whole "inferno" that is clearly and coherently, unarguably the product's character below... eh hm. Said island had been a persistent leitmotif since late last autumn... Still, you know, it really didn't sensibly come off that way? I recall seeing March colder than the whole country - in fairness I think what is actually going on is that this product below is the "anomaly". What we experience was a warm anomaly, but just not as demonstrative or obviously so as everywhere else... SO, in that vein and sense it might still qualify. hmm 'Sides, I've been quite right about every other month since October...so, meh. That's a decent grade in anticipating these temperature layouts, nonetheless. Also, having that impressively deep cold garland lording over top the Canadian Shield while there's a quasar spanning the conterminous U.S., definitely helps explain why we've been getting these wild 40 to as much as 50+ F air mass whiplashes, too. Anyway, here is the tabulation and mean for March provided by https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/

Charlie again you are not following! If after the 1948 move it was colder than the City of Coatesville riddle me why they continued the same chilling adjustment to the newer chillier location? Not just for 1 year but for every year but 1 from 1948 through 1971. Even more bizarre can you explain why those NCEI number in 15 of the 20 years from 1952 thru 1971 were actually adjusted by NCEI to averages even lower than the high elevation station in Morgantown? Where is the control arm station that figures let's cool down the new chiller station location to even colder than a higher elevation further north station? There is absolutely zero support for these adjustments! 1948 51.2 50.0 (1.1) 1949 53.4 52.6 (0.8) 1950 51.1 50.8 (0.3) 1951 52.2 51.2 (1.0) 1952 52.4 51.6 (0.8) 1953 53.7 52.8 (1.0) 1954 52.3 51.8 (0.6) 1955 52.3 51.9 (0.5) 1956 51.3 49.6 (1.7) 1957 52.6 52.0 (0.6) 1958 50.2 50.2 0.0 1959 53.5 51.8 (1.8) 1960 51.7 51.2 (0.5) 1961 52.3 50.4 (1.9) 1962 51.0 49.8 (1.2) 1963 50.7 49.5 (1.2) 1964 51.8 49.8 (2.0) 1965 51.8 50.3 (1.5) 1966 51.4 50.3 (1.2) 1967 51.1 49.6 (1.5) 1968 51.9 50.8 (1.1) 1969 51.5 50.2 (1.3) 1970 51.5 49.8 (1.7) 1971 51.7 50.7 (1.0)

CMC is in the low to mid 90's for the city and surrounding burbs Euro keeps the 90's towards DC and only gets us up to the upper 80's. GFS says no one on the east coast hits 90.

Signs late April into early May might not be terribly warm in New England.

Light fog lifted fully by 8:20.

Graph/data provided by https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world

Models suggest lower heights / cutoff low after next weekend around Newfoundland, with blocking near Greenland evident. Would kinda suck in eastern areas if thats true. Still plenty of time for that to change, and until then we enjoy the next 10 days.

You don't understand how adjustments work. A single station move triggers adjustments for every year before the move. The City of Coatesville was warmer than Doe Run Road in 1946, 1945 , 1944, 1943 and so on. Clearly seen from the chart. That's how we know the cooling was move-related. The effect is persistent.

Eps continues to have the main moisture axis centered right over us

An April month this dry is even more anomalous than super dry fall months. Lots of brown grass this summer

Bounce back to warmer again following the colder temperatures this week.

1.23" in my gauge this morning... 3.53" in April so far.

where are they getting "soggy" for on Sunday?

Maybe in terms of temps, but I doubt in terms of snowfall. 1982, 1997 and 2015 all had one great storm.

Low of 42. My trusty ‘ol push mower fired right up yesterday. Splendid weekend ahead before we turn hot for next week. Happy Friday, all.

Not really sure yet what would happen to benchmark storm tracks following another rapid warming event so soon after 2023-2024. Would probably depend on the SST state across the rest of the ocean basins. The record early SSW back in November really got the ball rolling in the right direction this past winter. Around NYC metro we have been in an all or nothing snowfall regime since the mid 1990s. So every year with a benchmark KU like this past winter has gone to at or above the long term average snowfall. Very few 18-30” seasons anymore which were common from the 1960s to 1990s. Most years without a benchmark event like 22-23, 23-24, and 24-25 finished up with under 18” across multiple locations. Back in the 1840s to early 1870s a recently discovered excellent set of long term weather observations showed the average annual snowfall at Newark in the low 40s over a 30 year period. This gradually declined into the mid 20s by the early 1990s. We had a big bounce back decade during the 2010s which was built on a record number of benchmark KU snowstorms. From 2019 to 2025 the benchmark track was largely absent so we had numerous very low snowfall years. This winter started out with an outstanding clipper pattern in December which pretty much maxed out the potential of what the Northern Stream could do if everything went just right. Then the Northern Stream finally relaxed for around 30 days from late January until late February. So only one month of relaxation yielded the record KU event in late February. March reverted to the dominant Northern Stream pattern which had resulted in the lowest March snowfall over 7 consecutive seasons around NYC Metro from 2020-2026. So taking the very long view has given us a steady decline since the 1840s in seasonal snowfall around NYC Metro with bounce back periods from time to time. No matter how warm this El Niño gets next winter, I will never give up hope for bounce back seasons and potential benchmark events from time to time. The big question is what type of interval of reoccurrence will we be looking at? Warm winters like 2015-2016 and 2016-2017 were proof of concept that we could get great benchmark storms even in a warm season. So it will just come down to having the benchmark tracks pushing back from time to time against the strong Northern Stream tendency we had since 2019.