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GFS has us rocking from about midnight - 7:00am.

I use 10mb anomaly as a base. It had to clear +1000 over a 8+ day period to qualify. I think that includes some weaker events.

Agreed. I added this sentiment to that missive, " It resulted cold loading into the N/A either way so ... who's quibbling. " But also, the Pacific --> N. America total wave signature is what creates the NAO btw. Not you per se, but folks may save some frustration if they finally get their minds wrapped around that. It's the mechanics downs stream from the PNA domains idiosyncratic wave distribution. Just sayn'

That’s what i tell my wife every night.

My dusting got washed away as I was watching old man winter walk up behind me with the chili pepper condom.

@The 4 Seasons3.2” today, season is up to 11.8”.

I’m going to go with 3.2” as well, which is what the wife measured at noon. I’m sure it was higher but I can’t verify that, melted to .23 although that includes some drizzle this afternoon.

Pistol to head? this January will be very close to:

Things whitened up quickly.....had a burst of moderate snow with great flakes. Short-lived and now down to steady inefficient ones. At least we dipped below freezing. 31.6*

Oh good, now it’s raining!

Turns out a couple of storms from midnight tonight through Friday night may dump upwards of 4 to 7 FEET of fresh snow all up and down the Sierra! We shall see.

I might even whiff if the models dont stop trending south.

Same result, though...still got the lagged NAO.

I think he likes the warm weather that's why his picture is a heat mizer lol

34.5 could flake better if we had rates

Irony is I specifically made a note of your lag periods last off season, and then got the opportunity to practice it, and didn't. lol Do you still use it even if there is no reversal?

Surprisingly good snow growth so far. Somewhere between 1” and 2” so far and a nice looking band about to move in.

Rather a whiff than rain.

Live and learn. I love techniques that have that kind of a lag time (>+20 days).. It should be noted that Stratosphere cooling events do not have a lag. They correlated with +AO at Day-0. This is for all times of the cold season.

Thread started. Figured it was safe to get one started as NAM is now in range.

right, not an SSW

Yea, typo.

Which shade of grey/blue are you upset about?

Safe to get this started as NAM is in range and 18Z GFS rolling. Happy Tracking!

A wennie's got to do what a weenie's got to do! Lol