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29/28, another frosty one

Yes, 2 years ago, it didn't rain during the entire month of October.

Yeah, bottomed out at 30F. Gorgeous stretch of weather upcoming.

30 this morning with fog and frost. And almost 24 hrs. since anyone posted.

Down to 28F here in the valley while DIT has windows open on the mountain top

3 years ago the Orioles and Ravens were both #1 seed. Maybe you're referring to the Ravens going 8-9 last year and the Orioles finishing 4 games under .500? That's not that bad dude lol. The Baltimore market for attendance, baseball and football, is a little below average over the long run. Everyone wants their team to win 75% of games, but the difference from city-to-city is so small that you can't really expect that unless you are LA or NY.

Seattle looked real good last night.

The offense looks healthy: Zay Flowers is breaking out as one of the best WR's in the league. Lamar is still MVP material if he would run more. Henry averages 1 more ypc at the end of the season than beginning. I can't see them rebuilding when they have that. Lamar would go to a team like Miami and likely win a super bowl there lol. The O-line isn't as bad as everyone says I don't think, I haven't slowed the tape down and watched each one individually but it did seem like Lamar had time this season. The problem is Huntley can't throw beyond 5yds so they stack the line.

As @CoastalWx sometimes says, "too much Judah praising!" See screenshot attached. Not that Cohen does not know his stuff and posts good wx content, but I've seen lofted praise b/c he is local and has been featured on newscasts. One person I know who knows Cohen well keeps telling me, "he is so smart and a nice person!" Ooookay, but what does that have to do w/ fcst skill level or having valid/correct results? I see this a lot, the personal/subjective ("I know this person") interfering w/ the professional/objective. I don't care for his levity and cute quips on his social media posts. if you want to be taken seriously, don't do that, not for a general audience. A closed forum where everyone knows each other (like here) is different. Also, there is more to hemispheric patterns and winters in NAMR than the PV and Siberian snow cover, esp. when it comes to direct sensible wx in one region (i.e. New England). @CoastalWx can speak better than I on this!

TC Arnab (02B) going to town in the Bay of Bengal. 00z advisory has it 35 kt but it is a lot stronger than that now! Eye present and subsidence moat present as well, or “rapid filamentation zone.” 2006 paper attached - heavy on the advanced math but practical tidbits can be gleaned from it! When you see this immediately outside a TC core, that means business for intensity/RI! Linda in the EPAC in Sep 1997 (160 kt) had this. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Linda_(1997)#/media/File:Linda_1997-09-12_1700Z.jpg atsc-jas3595.1.pdf

Yeah I skimmed ahead. I lived on the west coast 1976-91 so I got pretty familiar with the climo. Also, when I was in my 40s-early 60s I was a serious runner and I had my eye on going up to Spokane to run the Lilac Bloomsday run in Spokane. So I explored the climate especially since it had winter which I did without for 15 years.

Yes, Mitch, the latest EW (10/25) is slightly weaker than the 10/24 run.

I’m enjoying the quiet weather…cold mornings, mild to warm afternoons, and no rain to dirty my truck…I like that. Washed it a week ago…still looks excellent. Not too often that happens around here.

@CoastalWx sez "BORING!" He can't enjoy the quiet periods. We all need a break from "KRAZEE" wx sometimes.

Maryland is the worst place for professional sports. All of these teams need to be ashamed of themselves. What did we do to deserve this? Smh I mean no joy to be found in any of them for 3 years. All have leadership problems or are trying to recover from leadership problems. I mean at some point it has to turn around I mean dang...historically Baltimore has always had at least one good team. But now every team in the state has been mediocre or plain awful.

There are minuses for sure. One can pick and chose what to focus on (negative or positive) and have a field day w/ that, but what matters is the overall net-net after all is considered. Concerning diseases/colds, they are less b/c ppl are outside more and open their windows in warm cool season wx, not confined indoors as much in closed spaces. My point is there is overall balance in the mean. The environment and life can handle it well long-term. It has for millions of years though much more radical times than recent decades. And for very mild winters? From a societal POV (lives and $$ saved/not spent), it is overwhelming positive. See here: Impacts of 1997–98 EI Niño–Generated Weather in the United States https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/80/9/1520-0477_1999_080_1819_ioenog_2_0_co_2.xml bams-1520-0477_1999_080_1819_ioenog_2_0_co_2.pdf

I have a feeling that the la nina will be delayed to 28-29, like 88-89. It will still be very strong, but I think there will be a 2nd year of dissipation. 27-28 will probably be a weak to moderate el nino, which peaks early.