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Should have posted my flurries ob here! Storm thread verified!!

You're right. I was proposing more the convection -> latent heat release -> amplified PV, so a feedback amplification of the remnant vorticity. But you'd expect that more downstream rather than upstream of the convection popping up. Anyway this is academic, not the biggest impediment to this system.

There isn't destructive interference if it's through Michigan, though...has to be the MJO.

pictures or it didn't happen

I mean, this pretty much sums it up. A humorous cliff note edition of one of Tippy’s destructive interference tomes.

Rgem hmm…

Oh don’t worry. It will. It always does.

To mirror that game, we'd need to be 25" AN by Jan 31 then nada for the 2nd half of snow season. We're enjoying low 30s RA/fog so far today. GYX forecast for the "legit storm" is 0.5".

Funny how the EURO is the most skilled model out there when it's solution sucks for SNE...remember that December 2 system? It was snow for all, then inexorably marched northward right up until go-time and it mixed up to MHT. Of course it nailed the vort impotence here at hr 120. Unreal.

Boy this place is teetering. I’m with Will. Trends—not great. Skepticism—totally warranted. But a full on punt isn’t quite necessary yet, spoken from someone that was never in on this threat to begin with.

NAM must of had a glitch issue around Hr 81. The precip dissappear but then came back lol

Thought people might enjoy this The temperature is based on recorded max temperature for day and the percentage is out of all the days preceiptitation was measured Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

And yet this post is allowed…

I would take that in a heartbeat. I wish we could lock it in. Too many model runs to go.

Really hope this doesn't fall apart 3 days out when yesterday things were looking pretty good.

you need it to go to southeast Canada - its needed there along with a 50/50 low

Had 2” when it ended at 1,500ft and 5” at 3,000ft. 3K depth went 63” to 68”. Skiing felt even deeper above 3000ft. Top of Gondola might’ve had 6” but we don’t measure up there.

OH BOY. I'm like a kid in a candy store.

Ill take the NAM! Timing will be an issue, hoping for earlier start so maybe we can get some of it to stick. In the bullseye there S-SW of ATL.

who cares about what you think

i would look for that high circled in red to either become stronger or move west if we have any chances of this going west!

agreed

the one kid i know who has a met degree is working at mcdonald's.....but don't laugh, he's been there for years and is not doing badly as assistant manager.....not joking.

NAM had BL temp issues for about everyone even those areas in that snow footprint. It was also earlier which does not help as it doesn’t give enough time for arctic air to bleed over mountains. It’s hour 70+ NAM so I wouldn’t look too deep into it but just another in a long line of growing thermal issues trending for everyone outside the mountains

Ok, but when you leave, don't forget to take your diaper bag.