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  2. Wouldn't that be what "he" said?
  3. did i not say this was going to keep tucking!? I knew it! i think the tucking stops where the SREF is depicting
  4. Been saying it for 2 days now. It will trend another 50 - 100 miles NW tonight then tomorrow once the in range NAM shows the same it will be a wrap. Whoever is saying only about 6 to 8 inches of snow needs to update their forecast within 12 hours. Should be an easy swath of 12-18 inches NW of where it currently shows it.
  5. So I'm going to say this one time and one time only - I love the trends. It's always a special thing when we get those situations when models move towards a favorable outcome and not the other way around. I'm genuinely getting excited... To balance that though...I to this moment can't shake this nagging feeling of a last minute rug pull. Seen it happen a few times too many. You know, there was a discussion a couple hours ago regarding the sharp gradient. This is a hallmark for this pattern. And another hallmark is a sudden shift east at the very last minute. I follow a met that I respect a ton (NOT MU) and he said about an hour ago that he feels strongly that the gradient is going to end up even sharper than is what currently shown on guidance. I could see that playing out. I honestly don't know what to think or expect. Literally nothing good or bad would surprise me. I think I needed to say this for my own sake more than anything. Be prepared for something special, something heartbreaking or anything in-between. Don't discount that gradient. Moving on.
  6. And yea Channel 4 was talking the big B word for you folks out on Eastern LI.
  7. This almost happened to me last year when a potential HECS showed up for the second week of January while I was away. It sucks because you either have to miss a storm you’ve waited for years, or be seen as antisocial. In the end, the normie social obligations win.
  8. I wonder if that depiction is showing a potential stall or loop as it is the furthest west of all the models.
  9. It seems that whomever made the map lost sight of the bigger picture in his/her obsession with the minor IVT. The map will be verified for major cities in each of the zones. I've listed them below and also included my initial estimates for comparison.
  10. I was living in Shelton and it was like 5-10miles east of me and up along I91.
  11. Kay, I'm working that angle hard. The United text is helping me. I'm trying for a noon or before departure on Sunday since we probably won't have stickage for a bit. Wish me luck.
  12. Euro has a superior initialization scheme but they receive the same data as far as I know.
  13. Blizzard coming for Cape Cod, I may need to chase from Falmouth.
  14. I'm never doubting the GFS again when it's insistent. If this happens, it really is the coup of the year. Every model trended toward it
  15. They will slowly increase the totals. I can see 6-12 in the morning forecasts, but by tomorrow night, you might see 12 -18. Some are already saying 12+ on the Jersey shore...
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