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Crazy bust by all models on the surface temps. Most had my area getting to around 30/32 at 11 pm. It’s currently 22! 10 degree short term model bust by all mesos. Doesn’t matter for shit, but still a lesson to be learned when it comes to surface temps in a SWFE, always over estimated
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Chicago916 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
So we do this LE again end of week? Looks favorable this side of the lake again interestingly -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
jayyy replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not good at all here in the sticks. My brother down in Ellicott city said his neighborhood hasn’t even been touched since last nights salting -
I'm 50/50. On the one hand, it's been generally cold this winter and we've got a historic (on some level) cold stretch coming up. On the other hand, it was cold af leading into this storm and the majority still ended up as pingers. Warm air intrusion has been a thing the last few years and this storm was no exception. Long story short...tbd.
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We now have very light dust like snow falling in Knoxville.
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I don't think I've ever used an umbrella in a good winter storm... Maybe if it's just a total rain or ZR storm but never for snow and sleet. Cant enjoy it with an umbrella .. but that's just me
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Take us home for PBP, and take that umbrella out of your BF's hand.
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Pivotal weather showed pink briefly up to 84. Later runs showed it further south. And I know melted flakes (indicating a warm layer) were observed in Sussex and Putnam. I'd love to see actual balloon soundings to compare to model forecast soundings. That's the only way we can really assess the model performance. Pivotal weather's ptype graphics are a bit of a black box.
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Huh? Pay attention Maestro! Bf.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
monadnocks replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yes, our plow person gave up early on and just brought in his construction company's front loader. Several times. It was an expensive plowing bill but I was really glad that we didn't have to snow blow our long driveway. -
Ok, loaded up the GFS...so far at 105 it's comparatively like the EURO with some small differences at H5
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I like that where it is for 7 days out!!
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
pazzo83 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
how are folks' streets? We got plows all day so our streets are actually pretty clear (we live on a street corner) -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
ineedsnow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
after this one taking a day or two off from tracking to rest then its LFG
