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  2. JonClaw
    Absolutely nasty looking cell on radar. 65+ dbz.
  3. WxWatcher007
    Definitely at least 50kt based on recon so far. It's interesting how despite getting blasted by shear we're still seeing gradual organization and intensification. This would have probably been making a run toward "minimal" hurricane status if there were even slightly lower shear. Still going to be hard to get there with shear expected to increase further. Hard to intensify substantially with the vortex so misaligned though I guess Barry (which I chased years ago lol) did. You can see despite the organizational trend that it cannot wrap convection around the center. That's a pretty critical piece for significant intensification.
  4. KakashiHatake2000
    SPC has slight and marginal out for TN today all hazards 2% tornado with 5% tornado in ky 5% hail and 5-15-30% wind non hatched also not all of TN is in each hazard either except for wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html .
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Sure thing. 12z HRRR: Around 3/4pm - Puts a couple of decent pre-frontal discrete cells from MDT south to DC, looks like one cell gets beefy east of Baltimore along maybe a bay breeze boundary? Around 4 - 6pm - Develops a respectable line of storms along I-81 and runs it from MDT down to RIC around sunset. That would be a solid slight risk day in these parts. If folks hold their expectations to that, then no one would be dissappointed.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    I haven’t looked a ton at the setup and won’t be able till past midday. It seems similar up Monday but with less CAPE traded for better shear both upper and lower levels. Considering we got some supercells then, I see no reason why we couldn’t get them today.
  7. Typhoon Tip
    nah... sat and rad trends expose a massive cosmic dildo pounding the bum of convective hopefuls
  8. weatherwiz
    maybe because its a bit elevated but surprised no warning or at least a SPS on that cell heading towards Fairfield County/Danbury...decent wind signature on velocity
  9. canderson
    Mind posting? On mobile so can’t look easily
  10. PghPirates27
    Looks like most of the heavy rain is going to be south of I-70
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Looking upstream, if we can get these debris clouds over West Virginia to fade out, we should be okay for at least some thunder. The cluster of storms coming through Columbus, OH right now has an uptick in CG and seems to be drifting southeast. Wonder if that's our show for later?
  12. weatherwiz
    Could be a nice line that organizes early tomorrow afternoon for E CT and points east
  13. Go Kart Mozart
    At least they drive on the right...that helps when you are not focusing on the road!
  14. BobbyHolikWillFindYou
    Some of the most intense rain that I have ever witnessed. Deafening. Oakland NJ.
  15. IronTy
    The Huntingtown split was in effect yet again this morning. Feels extra gross out too.
  16. Typhoon Tip
    Bad Gateway -related delay/ping failure has returned. Check for another wave of foreign shitheads Also, probably could have been a part of the enhanced severe stuff today if it were not this piece of shit useless timed nocturnal garbage waste ... just exquisitely timed to make sure nothing happens but light mosquito rain
  17. dendrite
    That’s beautiful though. I could live there if it wasn’t for the lack of light in winter
  18. Cyclone-68
    Looks like southwestern CT will be having some fun in an hour or so
  19. canderson
    The good news is it looks like any above normal / heatwaves will be muted until at lest middle August.
  20. Elim72
    That cluster out west looking good. Hopefully, it ramps down a little on the instability.
  21. AccuChris
    Lebanon area has had highly localized heavy rain totals this month but my station in North Cornwall Twsp has missed the heavy stuff so far this month and only at 2.20” and 19.44” on the year .
  22. Itstrainingtime
    Yes, it's been a good month overall. I'm at 5.92". I just know how quickly things can dry out with any extended period without rain.
  23. yoda
    12z NAM throwing out some nasty hodographs and STP numbers between 21z and 00z KFDK at 00z DCA at 00z
  24. Picard
    Looks like a hell of a drive on the thruway, even if it only lasts a few minutes, that's some serious precip.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    If you liked the 11z HRRR, you'll love the 12z HRRR. Legit squall line.
  26. Torch Tiger
    if that's the case...it's barely BN
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