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yep and somehow we are only 1.5 games out of the Wildcard

Was under a severe warning earlier. Nice surprise, wasn't expecting much action here. Lots of thunder and gusty winds. Picked up 0.16". Perfect for new grass seed.

Orioles roster construction is a mess. It's Home runs or bust. It's been this way for a while. This weekend shows just how bad this roster is when compared to a contender. It's sucks we went through multiple 100 loss seasons for basically 1.5 seasons of contending baseball. Most of their young core has been busts or not able to stay on the field. And Elias's unwillingness to actually sign a proven front end starter long term is frustrating. Baz doesn't look like a 1 or 2 at this point.

Tuesday 5-5-26 and Wednesday 5-6-26 Severe Wx Potential As mentioned in my previous post, Tuesday was going to be challenged for me to chase due to logistics reasons. In addition, there were are some questions whether the cap will break or not for storms to develop or not. Model guidance throughout the day has given increase confidence that storms will develop off of either 1) the cold front or 2) the dryline across AR/OK and even in TX pending which model and model solution. For MS/LA Delta, model guidance still has a low confidence in seeing any discrete storms worth chasing and will likely not be able to chase on Tuesday. However, Tuesday's storms could provide key insight on where old or lingering outflow boundaries could reside out for Wednesday. Pending on where these outflow boundaries are located at will likely determine my chase location and if the decision to chase will be worth it as well. Earlier model guidance did show potential for a lone discrete cell to develop near the Yazoo/Rolling Fork, MS area for Wednesday evening. However, the most recent model run of the RRFS has pulled back on this solution and will need to see what the other models show over the next next several hours. However, both the RRFS and the FV3, show storm development being consistent along I-40 where the frontal boundary is expected to stall out come Wednesday. Also, model guidance shows low confidence that the sfc Low will be present, but also weak. If this were to pan out, could very well see eastern AR into North MS and West TN being the main part of the action Wednesday night. However, just as I stated in my previous post, Wednesday could end up being more linear. This is also evident in the Bulk Wind Vectors as those are appear to remain more parallel than perpendicular to the frontal boundary. I do think there could be some discrete cells on both Tuesday and Wednesday, it looks like it will turn linear very quickly or at the very least a messy Congo line (as I like to call it) of storm cells along the frontal boundary. For Tuesday, chasing will be out of the question for sure as it will be out of reach for me right at this moment. For Wednesday, I am going to wait and see what the other CAMs will show and perform before making a decision. As of right now, chasing looks doubtful given potential storm mode and location of storm development as well. Date: 5-4-2026

Why can’t we get that?

O’s are demoralizing to watch

Lol just tell Chris eventually he will be right

Will it heat up? lol. Feels like the new normal isn't warm, it's windy and dry. Tomorrow looks nice, though.

My grass is fairly lush right now despite the dry and hard ground. The moderate temps are helping slow the moisture loss, but once it heats up it’ll be toast like normal.

HRRR shows "PT time." Over 40" in the mtns. Thought it seemed high but GFS/ECMWF/UKMET all show 30"+ same area. Why not? Upslope flow this time of year w/ a lot more moisture available than even March (DEN snowiest month). Scott probably still "MEH!"

Mmmmmm….bullshit your theory it is…brah ha ha haha

They’ve got a gravel bike event planned for the end of August that I hope to be prepared for.

Yes, note the large 546 thk pool over much of the NE. Tons of SHRA/TSRA w/ hail to marginal svr levels across the region 6/30 and 7/1.

Return of the Judah

Week 3? Week 4? We just don’t know.

Turned into a great afternoon. Got up to 67F and sunny after 40s and rain this morning.

Yeah I am getting a nice soaking 0.23”/hour steady rain. Temp is down to 40.

This one's looking pretty juicy. Not sure how long temps will be cold enough for snow, but I don't think precip will be an issue.

Haven't been there yet. Hope to go on Sunday. Caroline's, which is an upscale restaurant in Denton, has a food truck there on weekends. Looking forward to getting some foodies in addition to the beer.

Everything points to Big pattern flip post mid month. Energy Mets also all over it . These silly tweets

That looks two days early at least.

We cold.

We roar

Some storms dropping NW-SE in Chicago. A while ago, a heavy storm tracked along I-80

77 for the high today. A much more enjoyable day weatherwise.