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Haha if we had 6.5" reported here it would've required some extreme slantsticking.

Got cold quick. Mid 40s to 33 in about an hour. Good sign for tomorrow. Plenty of cold aloft to bring down.

We're entering the part of the pattern now that can produce snow and ice storms in the Southern Plains. My window for that was 1/15-2/15 this winter, its part of the cold retrogression into the Plains from the East. You can see the models starting to pick up the potential for these systems in the long range now. That's pretty much how I imagined it - big highs western Canada, storms moving east via Utah, picking up STJ energy as the La Nina dies.

Yep nice event Going to put me around 10 inches for the season. I had 12 all last winter.

the Euro had to play catch up this go around for tomorrow as of now

For the general idea of the patter even 200 hours out the Euro AI has been pretty darn good: There is a little bit of bouncing around with the northern stream for a few runs, but damn... I have noticed it has had a little bit of a progressive bias (note the NW trend on this weekend) from 120 hours out: But for basic idea of the pattern, it is looking sharp right now.

Its January not March

Nasty accident around the corner from here. Roads slicked up and someone flew around the on-ramp to the northern state

Up to about 4” here in Easthampton

LOL

You ain't kidding. But Dolan likes who he likes -- results don't matter.

1” here impressive I wasn’t expecting any accumulation

Nws now says 2-4 today and 2-4 tomorrow in their HWO, so now 4-8 between them, which is what the GFS showed a few runs back and I weenied it. God you never know. Second guessing the models is often times profitable but not this time.

still coming down nicely

Wow lots of heavy ice forecasts coming out from NWP but thankfully all well out in the extended. We can't have that crap! They are on different days on different models; some north of here, some right on us. If that happens it'll be a huge slap in the face. Other options range from heavy rain to cold and dry. It's beyond Day 7. Of course we hope for all snow.

24 hour snowfall is better

No 12z support

We will bank 4" here for this event. Time to get out and clean up which won't be difficult. It'll be nice having snow around for the upcoming cold.

yup, I'm at about 6 here myself, friend sent a report from new Boston up the road at 7"

just shows you how cold it is upstairs at all levels - good signal for tomorrow IMO

Around 5-6 am

3.5" total.p

They are in a tough spot with Panarin because if they end up moving him to a team he prefers, that could cut back the return. If he wants say Florida or Colorado the Rangers would be screwed. Mika will be difficult to move in-season. Curious to see what 18z HRRR has specifically for early morning. I think Scott mentioned this but there is def signal for a band of heavy snow early in the morning

Mmm no. That's a black box description. It doesn't describe the gears of the model. You can believe what you like. You are fundamentally wrong about the bold unless the exact "math" of the model machinery is describe, unambiguously. Stats and history don't describe the systems that produced them, btw - you're making my point.

100%. Snowy day for us today. We add to it tomorrow as well.