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Are we ready for final winter grades? B- mainly due to early December and some sustained snowpack through January. .

If we get a strong el nino, the summer leading into the el nino will be warm in the Western US, and the summer exiting the el nino will be warm in the Eastern US. The only time that was flipped was the 1991-92 el nino, but that was due to Pinatubo. If the el nino ends in early 2028, then that might meaning cooler (more comfortable) weather for the 2028 Summer Olympics in LA.

12z euro AI is even more suppressed lol.

AI Euro running away with the precip altogether...allllll the way south

I do think it is a bit overdone... but it would be nice

Is GSP sticking with their “significant” to “extreme” snow risk this weekend lol

17 and 18 should have said that with the 70’s and 80 degree temps, and then winter roared back. Hard to say this on 2/10 in SNE.

MJO seems to suggest it is. What does @Chicago Storm think?

Yup…that would do it. RGEM has been steadfast.

Euro is a runnin

This is a real thread the needle situation with the borderline temps. Only a slight chance but at least it's something to watch.

By 4/1, we will be tired of precip. Droughts always end in floods or near flooding. Jmho

Ukie is lubed up to paraphrase Tom Brady

I don't think it's likely to happen, but we can hope for a 12z CMC type of solution with a wet snow event for the next potential storm Sunday night into Monday. Would be nice to get at least a little accumulation from that storm to assure that February won't be a shutout. I am glad that we're going into a mild pattern for awhile after that potential storm. We can use some 50 degree weather after how cold this winter has been.

Well only thing left so far showing a hit atm is the CMC lol everything else south

A balmy 36 IMBY. I think the 'tenor' of this winter opera has sung his last notes. The fat lady is in the back warming up.

Agreed!. I have an inordinate number of photos of trees/woods taken between 12/10 and 12/31 each year lol. Love that soft light. Even better the further north you go

I mean it’s likely overdone but the atmospheric river is coming for them.

Two weeks from now we're back in business IMO (assuming VD doesn't work out).

33° here and at Toll

Someone please show me the H5 stats for that model so I can print it out and shove it down their throat.

Absolutely great list. I personally like the sunny days within 10 days of the winter equinox as you get a very pastel sun/light which is very good for landscape photography compared to the more harsh summer light.

Anyone have the sleet map from the CMC?

I've seen two solar eclipses within the path of totality, do those count? August 21, 2017 (Simpsonville, SC) April 8, 2024 (Toledo, OH - sorry for the shit quality)

We average somewhere around 5” qpf between December and Jan and probably sitting about at half of that and into February.