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I’m in Italy right now and not quite as good but close second. They put a lot of effort into it there (Uncle Giuseppe’s)

Judging by the HRRR looks like round 2 starts around 2 pm or 3 pm and goes until about 7? Game for that. Also looks like we’re probably going to at least flurry all day in between.

I did find it interesting seeing the Day 8-14 CPC analogs and noting some of the Januarys/Februarys that would unfold as a result of this pattern. It is important to note that these seasons' ENSO states are different from year to year and what drove their corresponding storm tracks, moisture transports, and cold air available all differ to some degree. Also not every year listed caused a big storm. But just a 40,000ft look from above, seeing some of those events that unfold either during or say ~1-2 weeks following this analog pattern makes you go "huh...".

Those returns over ENY kind of rotted and got wrung out W of the Berks. Mostly just light mood snow here this morning. Very wintry morning nonetheless.

Agree 100% with everything above. To me, the biggest takeaway from this storm won’t be the models though. We all should’ve known better because there was no semblance of a HP to our north. Truly a cold chasing moisture event and out of 20 storms, you might score on 1/2 of those setups. Moving forward, I’ll be discounting any storm that doesn’t have this. It’s a minimum requirement around here for snow.

I should add the bonus of that it’s actively still snowing lightly.

Snow map plz?

I can’t even get below 40 degrees an hour from the VA border

almost half inch new, light snow and dim sun, hoping later is better once the sun goes down and it gets closer, think it may shunt east for my area anyway for anything meaningful

3/4 of an inch of new snow this morning

i’m waiting for the dry part of the CAD to show up.

Still snowing lightly in Telford. 1.75"

This is what I was talking about earlier on a lot of these runs this evening. That heavier stuff is slamming the DGZ pretty hard…this is the latest hrrr but NAM has been showing it pretty consistently for several hours….so there could be some pretty efficient QPF to accumulation ratios if that pans out (and as a rule, you can lower that DGZ a little for us in SNE since we tend to have a lot of salt nuclei in the clouds here versus much of the country further away from the ocean)

Latest HRRR looks pretty good for round 2 tonight

Disappointing how this unfolded for all of us, that's for sure. Looking at the pattern ahead its easy to feel optimistic. We have found every way possible to miss in the past 4 years though, so it's hard to get too excited. Anyways glad I can post my thoughts here without a bunch of crazy. This is a good group of people!

Have about 1-1.5" on north shore Queens, tapering down now. CPK was around 32 for most of the time, so maybe they picked up an inch

Light snow continues in Marysville. Beautiful wintry morning! One of my favorite things in Winter when the opportunity arises is shoveling snow while tracking the next chance. This is happening in my next hour today.

Looks like locations along the shore remained quite warm with round 1. Some of those mesos yesterday showing rain for round 1 weren't off. I'm glad NWS hasn't triggered a winter storm warning for anywhere. HRRR isn't most accurate with this one IMO, it showed there barely being a lull at all, but we'll likely lull until 4 pm or so and then we get into the heavier stuff. Luckily, the sun will be down by then, so it'll be easier to accumulate as long as its colder.

Any reports from Central Park?

33.2 id say we got about 0.25 inches of snow so far today.

14z run def looks healthier. Hopefully it’s catching a real trend.

Running a couple errands, but mod snow and untreated surfaces being covered quickly.

14z HRRR coming west again hopefully the east trends are done

Feb 2023 was bare ground. But we had snow pack for Jan 2019, late Dec 2017/early Jan 2018, and Feb 2016. Any other arctic outbreaks since 2016 that I didn’t list were prob pretty meh so they don’t stick out to me. But that Feb ‘23 outbreak was so impressive considering it was bare ground and yet it fell in prestigious company for all time lows at some of the major SNE sites.

I usually go to Stew Leonards and then Uncle Giuseppes when i go to Long island.