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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
stormtracker replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah i jumped the gun. Was half paying attention and compared it to 6z. In the beginning they had me, ngl -
It's a CAPE and @AlexD1990 special
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Is we back? February discussion thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
Yea mid to upper 40s yesterday and today then low 40s tomorrow and thursday. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
stormtracker replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run -
TECHNICALLY the jackpot would be NJ… but yeah, I know what you mean lol
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
TheSnowman replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Wouldn’t be Surprised. I’ll say it again and again; 4 TIMES this winter, people got more snow East And West And North And South of Me. Impossible. But here we are. Last time was the Mini-Fujiwawa a week ago. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
anthonyweather replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
AIGFS. further east than 6z fwiw . -
41F here and have a shot at touching 50 for the first time since December 19th. Telling all my friends winter is over and it's safe to put away the shovels!
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Don't think his OP brother will be joining him for a Steelers game...for now.
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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
SnowenOutThere replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS will probably be worse. Less intense vort/upper low over the plains -
Only model to take it that far north....at least for now.
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Classic look. The AI models have performed well this winter so that's encouraging.
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Wednesday Feb 18 Mixed event. NoP refresher?
HoarfrostHubb replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Maybe. But that run most definitely wasn’t. -
Aigfs north op gfs south
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Friendly request: if there’s obvious trolling going on from posters, please report it. Us mods aren’t always here, don’t always read each thread and catch things. If it doesn’t get reported, then we don’t see it if we come in a thread pages later. So report it, even if the mods in this subforum don’t see it, another mod elsewhere may and may act faster.
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Need to weaken the confluence to the north of here on these next two
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this is all I can think of when greyhat posts
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GFS remains quite robust. Not sure if it's overdoing it, but the QPF numbers are good.
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AIGFS looks very similar to 06z. CCB goods/greats are a tad east but I’d categorize the small change in low placement as noise at this range, unless the deterministic and other guidance do the same thing. But again, very minor shift. edit: did not see the temps, that would suck edit 2: I still think a massive latitude difference like that between the primary and coastal is a little much. Just have to hope it ends up meaning the primary tracks further south rather than the coastal further north.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
ICON LBSW -
Yeah, but takes primary slp pretty far north warming us. Still turns to snow, and heavy for a while, but accumulations would be reduced due to temps.
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Primary to Pittsburgh is no good for temps on the AIGFS lol
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Looks like rain quickly to hvy snow - liek the ICON
