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WB RRFS last run compared to this run through 3pm Sunday.

Our piece of energy is now coming ashore in northern Canada, so hopefully some clarity is added soon

May the bourbon-barrel-aged stouts summon a happy-hour digital blue blizzard straight to our souls. LFG!! Oh—and unleash the goonie goo goo!

Icon is east of east lol

Rgem is so far west wtf is the deal with these models man.

Icon with a move east.

I'm in a similar situation both this year and in recent years. And I agree about the anecdotal observation. The RRFS is prone to wild swings (i.e. errors), especially beyond 48 hours. But it's still better to see it shift west than east. It's showing a significant snowstorm for NYC east and south on Sunday after an appetizer for some on Saturday.

Think it is supposed to this year.

Yes but, that's a solid area in Kentucky. They seem to dodge the Valley like we do Pedestrians crossing the Road.

Nice shots! There’s been a blue snow goose hanging around Centennial intermittently the last couple weeks. Need to unleash a wolf pack to clear out those Canada geese.

Maybe so, I've seen this type of overrunning event really pump precip more than modeled due to WAA down south many times before. Might not be a thing here as much though. Probably putting too much hope into it at this point, but I was out of town for our two NY snows this year, and haven't seen a true winter storm in probably 4 years!

They should put it in the trash can before that cause it’s worse than the Nam from what I have seen so far going back to December lol

Look at Kentucky ! If things don't change, it's just not the Great Valleys Year. Man.

Yore

Is this replacing the NAM?

I’d like to think with that upper level look, the cutoff wouldn’t be that sharp.

Southern Upstate SC: “Check Please!” I’ve been at my place for 10 years and have yet to see any decently measurable snow since I’ve been here. We are due!

The RRFS is very expansive with the precip. shield to the NW of the SLP. It's probably too expansive. I'm guessing a lot of that would end up as virga with that surface depiction combined with a weak 700mb low. The RRFS, NAM12km and NAM3km have a frontogenic banding signature on Saturday.

So basically, what I hear @Carvers Gap saying..............is we need to start researching how to cloud seed in our area. lol

Even the NAM hates the foothills

Big un ‘ coming

I remember your children loved playing in the snow!

In our area it makes sense if there’s bands or streamers after one of these cold shots. For the Deep SE-yeah I ain’t got no explanation lol!