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Yeah i jumped the gun. Was half paying attention and compared it to 6z. In the beginning they had me, ngl

It's a CAPE and @AlexD1990 special

Yea mid to upper 40s yesterday and today then low 40s tomorrow and thursday.

Spoke too soon on that. Not a terrible run

TECHNICALLY the jackpot would be NJ… but yeah, I know what you mean lol

This isn't that bad?

Looks pretty good

Wouldn’t be Surprised. I’ll say it again and again; 4 TIMES this winter, people got more snow East And West And North And South of Me. Impossible. But here we are. Last time was the Mini-Fujiwawa a week ago.

AIGFS. further east than 6z fwiw .

41F here and have a shot at touching 50 for the first time since December 19th. Telling all my friends winter is over and it's safe to put away the shovels!

Don't think his OP brother will be joining him for a Steelers game...for now.

GFS will probably be worse. Less intense vort/upper low over the plains

Only model to take it that far north....at least for now.

Classic look. The AI models have performed well this winter so that's encouraging.

Maybe. But that run most definitely wasn’t.

Aigfs north op gfs south

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Need to weaken the confluence to the north of here on these next two

this is all I can think of when greyhat posts

GFS remains quite robust. Not sure if it's overdoing it, but the QPF numbers are good.

AIGFS looks very similar to 06z. CCB goods/greats are a tad east but I’d categorize the small change in low placement as noise at this range, unless the deterministic and other guidance do the same thing. But again, very minor shift. edit: did not see the temps, that would suck edit 2: I still think a massive latitude difference like that between the primary and coastal is a little much. Just have to hope it ends up meaning the primary tracks further south rather than the coastal further north.

ICON LBSW

Yeah, but takes primary slp pretty far north warming us. Still turns to snow, and heavy for a while, but accumulations would be reduced due to temps.

Primary to Pittsburgh is no good for temps on the AIGFS lol

Looks like rain quickly to hvy snow - liek the ICON