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It was pretty clear this was never coming. The setup was a thread the needle act given the rossby wave configuration, widespread synoptic support was never there for such a coup. Models provided a little excitement but the ensembles stood pretty firm. Next! Potential blocky gradient look at the end of next week. Playing with fire a bit but I'll take it for now

Queue the it’s coming posts after the next run showing a scrape

Theme of the winter now you see it now you don’t. It’s all IVT and OE other than the one big storm

It would have to come back on the Euro for pinnage. Now we are tracking light rain withbthe chance if moderate rain.

Did the GFS come out already?

Storm is done Euro is a terrible model

What a waste

I doubt this since the WPO will become negative again. Take the weeklies with a grain of salt.

We can’t even get this thing pinned. What a disgrace.

Some models indicate warmer than that. 70s up into central MD.

Tell it to join the club.

50s are possible middle of next week I’m still holding out hope for rain Sunday to wash salt away but decent precip seems …. Skeptical

The March 2022 snow was a Miller A, just timed up perfectly with a cold shot. We were in the 70s a few days before it arrived.

lol keeps going south…. Can’t even get rain. What a crappy pattern

My biggest snow here was in January 2024... my second biggest was March 2022. Do you remember the setup? I think it was a bowling ball ULL that dropped down from the north, but I remember it being very mild the day before, snowing extremely heavily overnight and into the morning hours, and ending with 6.5 inches. Quickly melted away in the afternoon sun and the next day as it warmed up again, but an exciting storm of a magnitude I never thought I'd experience in Knoxville again (until January 2024 came around that is). But I definitely never write off March after that, even if the odds are low

From Wikipedia: “In Toamasina, where Gezani made landfall, buildings and walls collapsed, power poles and trees were downed, and roofs were blown off buildings.[41] At least 20 deaths, 15 missing and 33 injuries were recorded, with over 3,200 homes damaged or destroyed and 2,742 people displaced.[42] Malagasy president Michael Randrianirina said 75% of Toamasina had been destroyed by the storm.” :(

Icon says what storm Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Got 5.75" from this with a little coating on top from squalls earlier. Snow blower struggled a bit with the heft of this snow unlike most of the events this season. Actually not far from a normal season at this point.

The 18z EPS-AIFS are very snowy, which is suspicious. A few of the individuals continue to show a high end snowstorm, which skews the mean, but even the median is decent for snow. It's strange considering how far off most guidance looks in the upper levels from supporting a coastal SLP. It looks like there is a lot of sensitivity with respect to phasing of the northern stream. And a small amount of phasing could lead to a significant surface response.

Same thing happened to me just now.

Verification of Messy Tuesday Evening Forecast Strong Effort Here is the Eastern Mass Weather forecast issued on Monday valid for last night's minor event. The forecast overall was very accurate, although there were a few amounts that narrowly exceeded the 1-3" range over the northern portion of the forecast, it was by a very small margin and they were few and far between. The outlier 6" report from Gloucester, MA is dismissed as being highly suspect. Final Grade: A

Also March is going to start out in MJO Phase 6. Good luck trying to get a cold/snowy pattern out of that.

First day above 40 since the mild up in early January. Still above freezing at 10:45pm. Currently 34 IMBY. The melting continues.

Strong Forecast for last night. Grade that one an "A". https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/.../verification... Storm potential for Monday remains very dubious. Here is the Eastern Mass Weather forecast issued on Monday valid for last night's minor event.