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Roger that. Hope everyone is ready for this one.

I had a total Ji meltdown with that storm. For a while there, I thought we might surpass Blizzard of '96 totals. Then at some point late Sunday night/early Monday morning, I heard pingers mixing in. Even with 20+ inches on the ground, I was thinking the storm under performed...lol! Seems things have slowed down for this next storm. Wasn't this looking like a Saturday event a few days ago? Gotta think the slower evolution is a good thing. Let's get the CRAS onboard! Bottomed out at 9F this morning, currently 12F.

Well at least when it does trend N they’ll get a crippling ice storm so he’s not wrong lol .

Yes, it was 10/10 following PNA- regimes of 25 or more consecutive days.

-5 this morning, nothing to write home about so far.

Don't think we've seen that much pink on an NBM since it started, lol (when did it launch, btw?)

WPC Increased from 50% to 70% to 70%-90% probabilities now.

Why... just because it is cold at the surface... Doesn't mean there will be a warm layer up high.

Siggy

Like the higher heights on the latest run.

Very cool that it's correlating with a good pattern for the 2nd time this Winter

AIGFS shows a complete miss!

Kiss of death. Its coming north.

Does that really say 15 inches of snow for me on the Euro? Wow, this might really be happening. I don't like the freezing rain, especially those totals to the south of me.

I think there is a better chance of it trending south than north.

No, the northern edge of the heavy snow.

I just unpacked my decorative lawn snow measure thingy. I don't dare put it out yet do i?

Quantify "have"....

In Strong ENSO events the PNA usually holds the same state through Dec-Jan-Feb and sometimes March though

Expect a rebuttal from Beavis

Low sat night out here is 12, high Sunday is only 19. DC will be a bit warmer, but I’d expect ratios way above 10. I suppose it’s a safe bet to stick to 10:1 the way things go around here.

Do you mean in terms of big snow -> big rain -> flooding ? Dusted off the account to see what you folks are saying about this big storm. Could be a fun one.

In this case, given the impressive blocking, there is a limit to how far north the system gets. However, mid levels are a different story with strong WAA driven by how strong the low becomes. That’s why you’re seeing surface temps remaining steady or even falling while mid levels keep ticking warmer. As long as the HP is close to what is modeled, plain rain will be an afterthought for most on the board. This is an anomalous cold setup at the surface and the battle looks to be in The mid levels

Yes, you pointed that out way early and it was correct. If I recall correctly, it was strong like, 10/10?