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Beware the Ides of March:

I give winter an B in southeast Tennessee. Snowfall was slightly above normal IMBY which lifts it above C. A is reserved for a six inch thumper. B means I'm not complaining. I'm actually quite satisfied. Fighting the trend is hard too, so really a C would be a win. Temperatures are about half-way between the coldest and the warmest in Earth's history. Warm periods include tropical forests on Greenland and Arctica. Ice Ages oscillate between glaciation periods (what the public refers to ice ages) and interglacial periods which we are in right now (within the broader Ice Age). Will we glaciate, hold, or climb out of the Ice Age? If the latter it would be an order or two magnitudes SLOWER than the current trend of warming. What has happened in the last 150 years and what is very likely in the next 150 years is 10 to 100 times faster than natural warming driven by Milankovitch Cycles. Rate is the problem, and why we assign the cause to human activity. I'm not calling for extreme action since cheap energy is the fastest route to end poverty, but I want to acknowledge the research. That's probably enough outside of the specific Climate forum, but that place is a hornet's nest. From this point forward, look for me in the Severe Weather topic of our Regional forum.

Seriously The 11 inches we had in January looked more.

Your street reminds me of my own, where I grew u, in Dyker Heights 75th street just off 11th Avenue, over seven decades ago. As always ….

They missed alot of spots that received more. Awful.

@Amped Here is one for you. March 7, 2018 My notes: Schools closed. Heaviest snowfall rate ever witnessed, from noon to 1 pm. 5.5" total. [The schools in Perth Amboy were closed based on the forecast. It had looked like a bust, with only light snowfall in the morning. Then, came down at a rate of around 4 inches per hour for about an hour.)

Cracked 50 today!!! Currently 51 in the backyard.

Christ that map is terrible. There were dozens of 20+ reports in westchester, eastern rockland, and southwest ct.

Looks like BWI had a 60 in Dec, and a 62 in Jan., so they came dang close too. Still, quite a cool overall DJF winter for us.

47 / 26 and bright sunshine - full sun and snow disappearing before our eyes.

I believe so

I haven’t seen the PSU graphics in a long time. That was my go to site circa 2006-10.

Agree - gimme good rates anytime any place

I’ll take the warmth since this last threat fizzled. Maybe we can pull one more decent one together. Either way, I think we will still scratch our way to 50”. Can’t complain.

40" happened in ORH county in Dec 1992....42" in Princeton I think. We had 35" on the level in Holden about 300 feet lower. It will happen there too....ORH county has orographic enhancement to help make up for being a bit inland....and it has the benefit of being the highest terrain between them and the Atlantic in both the easterly and the southerly direction.

Appears that the first third of March could be active for severe. We have a remarkable signal for west trough and east ridge, with a strong jet stream driven by the still cold Arctic. SPC already has Wednesday in their Day 6, and that's probably just the beginning. Sometimes it's easier to infer long-range things from the heavy rain outlook(s). Grey flooding is pretty much the 3-7 day outlook from WPC, but this is the long-range from CPC. Period below could feature record high temps from the Mid-South through Tennessee to the Mid-Atlantic. Heights look particularly anomalous over the Mid-Atlantic. Less extreme heights over the Mid-South with still near record surface temps could open the door for severe. Surace details are always TBD, especially a week out. In this situation one can be more confident than usual about week two moisture with the temps (CAPE) thanks to pattern recognition. Several troughs pass without driving the surface front south. That's a recipe for building moisture. All that said, those severe weather anxious should not worry 10 days out. Storm chasers though, need to get ready to roll. Both can be true. Chance of one place being hit is low. Chasers can go to the forecast area though. My spring mode is activated.

in two months.

What units are those? mm?

Weekend looking great! It's a good thing too, as Monday looks miserable...

There does seem to be some surface connection trying to show up in the longer range when this does occur so I would not be surprised to get a blocky colder pattern as we head to mid month. Ill enjoy the warmth ahead of it though!

Update for late reporting cooperative observation sites. Falcon Dam recorded a high of 106F yesterday!

Took a peak at 2015, they definitely had deep pack.

My snowpack

I guess it will finally 'split' coming up here, I feel a little too late anyway for any big fun but whatever Many have gotten solid snows this year. As far as a final warming it does not completely obliterate the SPV coming up here so technically it is still intact in some way. When you start to lose the idea of any cohesiveness of the SPV then it is considered done which does not look like it through at least mid March. Typically the final warming happens from the last week of March through 3rd week of April but as we know can happen before or after that timeframe. Sorry been on vacation starting to bring things back to normal for the work week coming up. Edit: Wanted to add this because this does show the overall structure does split besides one random layer. So this should hit the troposphere rather quick. https://www.stratobserve.com/fcst_ell_vert

The event I was referring to was the Tues/Wed storm, which looks good for snow. Beyond that VT could be flirting with mix precip and minor freeze thaw