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Yeah clearly an error with the graphics, the transition zone is usually 70 miles. Could be bigger this time cause the waa is even higher up.
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Map still coming, but most of us pushing warning criteria by 5am Sunday
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Lets see what actually happens... -
“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
The 4 Seasons replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
suck on that tailpipe -
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AIFS / Euro AI doesn't have a direct ice chart, but here is what I discern from QPF and time the sounding is ice for KCHA. Might start as sleet but goes FZRA pretty quickly. Through Saturday night 1 to 1.5 inches QPF is over 1/3 inch ice and possibly a half inch ice accretion here. Anything greater than that (and it's definitely on the table) gets historic. Points to my northwest (Middle Tenn not necessary BNA) have over 2 inches of liquid rain locally 2.5. Some of that has to come as sleet. Still could be well over a half inch of FZRA with plenty of 3/4 inch reports.
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Henry's Weather replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
This is a region-wide 12-16 assuming 14:1. First since major since March 2019 -
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Not ready to say how much of what. Waiting for high definition models. "Wintry mix"
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6z actually had more QPF
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
Chrisrotary12 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Caution flag? -
I feel like a lot of the time with these things, the timing of the dry slot and the period in which we would mix tend to align
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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco
40/70 Benchmark replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Wow -
Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
AlexD1990 replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
At least we aren't heading into a bad pattern- there should be more chances after this one. -
Euro never handles sleet well on the precip type maps
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
SACRUS replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
1.00 - 1.25 now centered in the NYC/NJ area -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
stormwatcherJ replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
That would be a ton of ice... or are they changing to rain? -
Anybody got the 10:1 Euro output?
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
you can't be serious -
low 20s
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Know it isn't a forecast... but that has to be one of the widest swaths of 12-18in that i have ever seen
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One thing I can say with a lot of confidence...... When we absolutely don't need a phase to happen, it will happen. When we do need a phase it won't.
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Man. That is a catastrophic ice storm for southern VA. Temps in the low 20s during that freezing rain.
