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https://isotherm.rsmas.miami.edu/heat/weba/atlantic.php for updated TCHP maps. Sadly, many of the old NCEP and CPC sites are MIA these days for oceanic and atmospheric data.

Got chilly pretty quickly! 29.5° at Canaan NWR

wishing away? let's ramp that baby up and get a severe LA/MS hit, up and into the OV/NE

I think my Syosset station runs higher with its DP and my Muttontown station has a more accurate DP compared to ASOS stations. If winds are calm I can see upper 30s happening and potential for mid 30s in pine barrens, etc. Syosset has a DP of 41 compared to Muttontown with a DP of 33 currently.

Let’s take her out well south. Watch for east trends next few days.

Anyone have latest links for Tomer Burg super ensemble and TCHP maps? Been away during the CONUS tropical respite over the past couple of years and some of my links seem to no longer be valid....Tomer seems like he is moving his stuff around. Found this one for TCHP, but don't love it. https://cwcgom.aoml.noaa.gov/cgom/OceanViewer/index_phod.html# This was my go-to, hasn't been updated for a couple of years. https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/goos/gliders/images/tchp_conditions_latest.png

I was at 53 at 7am at the house at 4360 while 1.5 miles away it was 41 at my office at the bottom of the mountain at 3200'. Never ceases to amaze me. Sent from my SM-S948U using Tapatalk

Yea, should be more a hydro concern than a wind issue....strikes me as a system that will be weakening well before landfall.

Not going to lie, thinking on flipping the heat on tonight, it got cold in the house last night.

Mid 70's today. Beautiful early Oct wx.

Sure…not saying it was cold overall. Just that there were still periods of record cold east of the Rockies and within a Std Dev of snowfall. Summer 1816 had some 90s up here too. But yeah, there weren’t many cold shots in the upper plains and midwest that winter. Blowtorch.

Also, @uofmiami dewpoint is also 42, so im going with 42...

Does Freedom Fuel sell home heating oil?

the 5 closest Davis weather stations and my own are all at 42. i guess all 6 could be wrong...

Yeah no kidding. These microclimates around here are fun to watch.

Great photo. What's the snow level....4,500 ish?

We had our first 30s of the season at 39. Was 38 down on the river below me and 45 a few hundred yards up the hill. Wild how big a swing you can get with radiational cooling in the valleys this time of year.

As strong as that Nino may have been, one would assume that the implied RONI was off the charts compared to the upcoming winter.

New York City will see the temperature again dip below 50° tonight. Lows should fall to the middle and upper 40s in New York City early tomorrow morning. Some distant suburbs could again see lows bottom out in the 30s with some scattered frost. Thursday and Friday will be milder days with the mercury returning to the lower 70s across much of the region. The week will be dry. The next chance for precipitation could be Sunday or the following Monday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.2°C for the week centered around September 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.92°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -12.51 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.195 today.

I am so sorry for your loss. Praying for you and your family, it's so hard to lose a parent.

I’ll take my vitamin D while I can. Low stratus and 30s will be here soon enough.