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Morning low of 7 this morning. Scraped probably a 1/2" layer of frost off the windshield.

Score the trifecta!

so much changed. the lead wave was suppose to cut under the block. but this look now is completely different

My NWS point-and-click has a 60mph gust for noon tomorrow. I'm not sure I've seen something like that since the big March windstorm in the late 2010s.

Most will get 1-3 outside of it. Even Kevin’s 2-4 seems reasonable.

The Nam only has 12. Either way it’s going to be cold af

Consider them the outlier right now. Probably a bit too cold. Mid-teens in the afternoon is a better bet.

Central CT subsidence west of the IVT

I agree it will end up being a cold and possibly snowy month overall, but I do agree with the idea of a mid month relaxation period.

GSP really should extended advisory down further so this doesn't catch people off guard. The ground is prime for this to be a mess on the roads and temps keep trending downwards.

Agreed. I think many who don’t end up in the Norlun are going to be disappointed. And good look pinning down exactly where it will set up.

While there is certainly time left, many of us missed a golden opportunity to have a banger of a season. Places in all direction are well above normal.

Yeah I think that’s been modeled for awhile. It’s feeling the tug from that H5 low. We get a little meso high over PWM to start and then a lobe from that PV starts digging S of LI and seems to really help back the flow over ENE as we get sfc pressure falls near the BM. I think that’s why we’ve seen a trend on that fropa being delayed Saturday and instead enhanced precip along that slowing sfc convergence zone (inv trough).

Get a pair of these snow goggles:

JB created it in a lab. Frankenhecs

Not overlooked by me. Totally agree with you. I find people just don’t want to hear about it or pay attention to it at this time of year. We need to get into an above normal precipitation pattern soon or there will be significant issues as we head into the warm season. We have been in a prolonged below normal precipitation pattern for the better part of a year.

Potential for 1-3/2-4 is there I think. Looks like a narrow stripe of snow, with a whiff on the north side possible, and rain on the southern side.. If we get some redevelopment off the coast then we'd have a chance at higher totals around warning snowfall..

-SN in Cambridge/Boston out the window (office in Kendall Sq).

someone gave JB access to the google model making feature

Sunny here in Weaverville.

Agree

How good are HRRR surface temps? It barely has DC getting above 10 tomorrow.

Then we have our 5 day thaw potential..

https://x.com/raleighwx/status/2019772590475129058?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

I doubt it with the PNA going negative. The STJ should wake up.