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I mean I like where it’s at. Just juice that up a bit and that’s a really good run. As is I’ll still take 2-3” anyway

12z GFS and ECMWF showing similar solutions of a I-95 and NW hit. While it's still certainly possible, the chance that this storm is suppressed is appearing increasingly more unlikely and the main worry shifts to whether or not thing thing tracks too far north. The TPV over the Hudson Bay is so poorly sampled so this will be a high uncertainty event until precip onset, so don't bet all your money on one solution

Thank you @Carvers Gap and @John1122 I thoroughly enjoyed the game because I really like Tennessee too. Unfortunately only one can win. Frankly we should have been the championship game. Gonzaga? Then Michigan is just annoying! Kansas lost to Duke in Chicago and UNC there. KU may have righted the ship now. Tennessee looks good. They probably got tired 3rd day in a row with Houston in the mix too. I like Tennessee in the SEC! Happy Thanksgiving y'all!

Good blend right now hopefully euro mostly has a clue and we get a blend for most of the forum

Euro is actually quite weak. Looks like a 2-4” stripe of snow north and west of I-95 with mixing issues in Philly. After it passes our region it strengthens and gives New England a SECS.

It was just a poor model living off an old reputation it lost multiple "upgrades" ago.

Ya there was so many runs it showed getting hammered and was a bust or the one 7” storm we seen it kept showing its as 1-3” till like 24hrs out.

Yeah it definitely is. I wouldn’t want it anymore north than that. Hugs that mixing line right against me. Oof. My biggest worry is the marginal temps and ratios during day Sat. If rates are high enough it will help mitigate it somewhat but I do anticipate some level of melting and compaction. Hoping that warm nose can stay south enough to avoid a changeover. But that sfc low does get pretty north.

Gfs/euro mix and we golden lol

I'd rather the Euro be weak at this point instead of a bomb it advertised all last year to no avail.

its barely a precip event but its mostly frozen lol

randy's got his euro run. we just wait for him to notice

That's what an elevation difference will do to you.

Even works here. Highly skeptical but something trackable at least

Good spot right now for a lot of SNE imho. Plenty of time to tick north with a retreating high.

12z Euro works for me.

Well this is a different solution. Keep throwing those darts.

At the least we get the ground frozen the next couple weeks and build some ice.

East

12z euro has Rays approval.

I think he measured like 5” in November last year - then we had to wait 6 weeks for the lowlands lol.

The Euro is stronger/sharper with the shortwave at 500 mb than the rest of the models. I was expecting the 12z run to fade south and weaker just a bit, but it actually ticked farther north. Here are the resulting snow maps for the south UK, middle GFS, and north Euro.

In my exp in hardly ever goes back to snow normally the precipitation is already out of the area.And if it does go back to snow at all, it never really lays

Euro looks weaker out west and slightly more confluence in the east.