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- Past hour
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0.09" added to my 0.10" this morning. Lame.
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Anvil cirrus will be epic.
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Subsevere rocking and rolling IMBY at least. Plenty of lightning and thunder though.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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upton has a better chance of storms tomorrow vs Friday but who knows in the end convection is always a crapshoot
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Great thunder going on -
wiped
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Congrats Litchfield county CT to BDR tomorrow.
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Might some convergence on the line as it approaches Elburn, IL area
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I’d expect it to briefly intensify as it gets closer to the lake, then gust out over the water. The low level shear is not so great here in Michigan, but the CAPE will still be there for some pulses to be strong.
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Fairly impressive winds as things rolled through here. Nothing major, though. Happy to see some action. Some reports of 80mph+ gusts with that line before it got here but not sure we saw that at my location. I'm guessing more like 50-60mph
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I think i need Noah and his ark. It is pouring.
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I hope this line holds together for the entire region. It’s legit rain.
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Legit heatwave possible here starting tomorrow...tenuous, but would not be shocked
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Deluge 0.5” in 12 minutes
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The air is pretty stagnant and gross today. Give me some heat anyday over this crap.
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Has been torrential rain here at Coppin for the past 10 minutes
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Narrator voice - “Hell of a line coming through Chicagoland, St Thomas with occasional clouds shading my beer” Nice to see us rocking and rolling back home.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I first noticed it in 2005 when -ENSO/-QBO December's were cold. Even cold-neutral ENSO fit it, as 1989 was an analog used for 2005. It seems to work in the reverse too, which is what you like to see for a solid correlation. Early season Stratosphere was of importance in 25-26, so maybe there is something to Dec. -
Well that line escalated quickly in N IL. Curious to see if the winds intensify in this southern part of the MCS.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
74/73 with .55" of rain. In a lull but another lighter cell moving in shortly. -
the reverse jinx worked.
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currently right underneath that cell moving through the Germantown/Gaithersburg/Laytonsville area, not much T&L but big time downpour going on for the last 10-15 minutes (and counting), with more behind it this might be flash flood territory if it doesn't move out soon?
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Summah!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I mentioned it a week or so ago, but +QBO/El Nino (regardless of strength) Decembers are an extremely strong signal for warmth. Since 1980, there have been 6 +QBO/Nino Decembers and they were all warm, some were all out blowtorches
