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Forecasted low of 50, actual low of 37. They missed that one by a mile.

We ended up with incredible fall colors but they were all gone by the time the snow hit last Monday. They had about a week of vivid peak.

There has not been sufficient length of time. Many indexes are offered and even created but are dubious. We do know the negative NAO and AO remain big. Enso is not as strong a determinant as it was 15+ years ago. Pacific Ocean warmth cannot flood the nation and up into Canada. DC needs MillerAs and not phase job/transfer crap. We can get decent overrunning but the secondary rarely does anything for us . Mongolian high pressure sets us up well.

Looks like Jay’s claiming 34” at the summit for the cycle that ended last Friday (Based off them reporting 21” over the last 48 hours). Coverage up there was great on Saturday, but I would subtract 10-12” from that for sure. It’s not like it was 3 feet of blower that condensed down, the snowpack was dense and surfy with little room for compaction. Love Jay but these reports seem to get increasingly ridiculous. 55” in a drift up against the Tram House perhaps?

Ended up becoming sunny af here. I don’t know how anyone could tolerate living in NY state especially the northwestern sections. I know it’s got nature and snow, but I would say at least 70-80% of the time I look at satellite imagery, the majority of the state is cloudy. I think the Pac NW might even have more sunny days.

More than half of my leaves blew away lol. Much easier cleaning them up this year!

Not the start i would sign on too on the EPS.

I mean this seems pretty reasonable. Was at stony brook for the last four years and we got literally one decent snowstorm during that whole period. I certainly related to this sentiment coming from upstate New York.

6-10" in the eastern part of the county.

12z gfs/euro ai are torched to start December

If you ask me we've already sufficiently met the criteria or an early winter in the east so some relative warmth over the next two or three weeks feels like an appropriate 'balance'. Here's a comparison of seasonal snowfall vs last year at this time. Only the coastal and mid-atlantic areas that have missed out so far.

I said what I said. Have you not looked at snow totals in the city for the last 4 years? Any snow at all is pretty much a treat, now that we cant guarantee any given winter wont turn into 2022-2023.

That's a mild to warm look on the EPS. Only thing that might argue against it's surface wedging which you can't predict this far out. But the mid levels there are a warm look.

And it ain’t 65 plus either..not even close.

1/Kevin

I said op run showed that . It’s not a cold pattern

Fort Kent this morning.

From atop Peaked Mountain in Monson, yesterday: A cold sweep of graupel.

Lol you told us 65-70..but nice try.

nominee for post of the year!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Fall started early here, then paused, everything turned a muted color of normal fall colors, and then the leaves were blown off with several wind events. And yes, I did my leaves on Thursday and Saturday as well. By Sunday...couldn't even tell the difference! The wind was howling. I did look at the wind forecast prior, but Sunday's wind caught me off guard. I am not doing leaves prior to a wind event in the future. LOL.

Forecasting a seasonal total of 18" of snow along and west of I-81 is a sure sign they're leaning towards a bad winter for snow lovers.

Can not deny this pattern’s been going on for a few months now where guidance keeps wanting to push a ridge into the northeast and it keeps not happening. With our luck this will flip just when we need it to happen for snow chances. But look at our area and the northeast for Friday evening vs a few days ago.

LOL what