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The last 4 GFS runs decreased the snow output specifically in Knox Co. The ratioed 8” line moved from I75 east to the Knox/Sevier/Jeff line. Only 10+ miles crow fly but it’s worth mentioning. Not sure if it’s an east jog or just a decrease in QPF. However the AIGFS actually increases the snow over Knox Co. .

Could This be a south fork LI special where east Hampton or MTK get 6-12” and west of say Riverhead sees 1-3?

It's cooking up a monster for us

Was that the heavy snow squall at rush hour day? I forgot about that. I barely missed that myself.

Euro seems delayed

Still thinking this is a 1-3” or 3-6” type deal for ISP east

And we let 'em off the hook!!!

It seems like it was a problem during the cold spell last January. My forecasted highs were in the high 20's. I had drip drip and 34 every afternoon. Yesterday my forecast high was 26. When I hit 30 I figured drip drip time was coming. I'm seeing clouds coming in from our afternoon possible afternoon flizzard.

"44 new replies since I last checked a short while ago? Something intriguing must've.... oh we're reminiscing about the blizzard of '78" Never change, fellas.

Euro is late again, 12z starts at 12:12 pm on SV.

You know the threat is on life support when we've devolved to '78 and 2005 discussion

We are who we thought we were.

Still running just about 5 degrees above modeled temps around Baltimore. Had me topping out around 21 degrees around 2 PM. It’s already 25

That map is a winner. SLP over southern Louisiana and Mississippi. A cold hp over the top. That cold front dragging into the Gulf is often a spark as well.

Weren't you out yesterday lol

I moved down to Waxhaw, NC from Western Schenectady County in Upstate NY over 3 years ago. While living there, I was active on americanwx, and before that, easternwx, for storm tracking. Since moving down here, we've barely had a trace of snow in 3 years. I was beginning to think I'd never have a use for this board again. Well, it's like Christmas Eve ten times over with this storm! I'm thrilled to have a need to stalk this forum once again! A weenie giddy with anticipation. Let's go Euro!

Not entirely true given certain circumstances. People still go out on the roads even in big storms. Did you see how many vehicles were on the road even on Sunday, never mind a workday Monday-Tuesday back in 78.

Been wondering about this too, specifically whether models may have "misjudged" the snow/ice cover contribution (? I have no guess, question for mets)

I remember the one almost 16 years to the day back in 2010 while my son and I were attending the commemoration of the 125 year anniversary of the Blue Hill Observatory. Kocin and Uccellini during their lectures were wondering if they were going to be able to get back to Baltimore/DC with a massive storm down there while we were sucking extreme cold and cirrus. Maybe we weren't that close on that one. But at least we got signed copies of "Northeast Snowstorms".

My sister had a summer house on Falmouth, but I didn't go. Never forgive myself...large event at home, but nothing I haven't seen 10x.

I will say, you for sure brought the mojo to this thread. MUCH more active than the last storm. This one has most people very excited!

Those of us who witnessed ‘78 in the jackpot won’t ever forget it. And those who were on the coast. Oof.

euro AI loading. If this thing don't show at least 3-6 i'll be real surprised!

After last week East TN summed up on these models right now