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Nest weekend starts off nice on the GFS though

Rain... 40s low 50s for highs. GFS is better though but its close

Yesterday the afternoon was really nice to be out. My high was 73

Rain? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

It does. Monday looks a little iffy.

47° Nice cool start. Coldest until Thursday. Heat's coming.

Widespread 40s this morning. Canaan NWR down to 26. Looks like it’s going to be a banger of a day.

Maybe some leftovers from Midwest convection get into the area around sunset?

I said it a couple weeks ago, and here it is. I truly believe we're going to have a roller coaster summer of heat for a few days, then a period of much below temps, then warm up, then go 'cold" again... Friday Partly sunny, with a high near 67.

Memorial day looks great on the CMC and Euro

i would not mind a brief warmup its been so cold lately even with the heat on i feel cold..

Some good replies on this one (especially the one about banks): https://x.com/mazemoore/status/2055376238345076837

I’m really interested to see if the AI guidance on balance continues its usefulness (originally I wanted to say dominance but that’s probably a bit too much) in TC genesis and forecasting this season. It’ll likely be a quiet season, and that’ll be a good test of how it sniffs out favorable windows. Last season some of the AI was exceptional, especially GDM.

I've really made a concerted effort to factor CC in after the 2023 El Nino handed me my ass.

I know spring is prone to temperature swings, but I don't think there has ever been a more bipolar spring than this one. I hope this doesn't continue into the summer. Imagine it being 100+ degrees one day in July, and then only in the 50s at the same time the next day. I can't do that!

Yes, the last real multi-year drought in New England was in the 1960s, and yet the media has turned the word "drought" into a fear-mongering term, acting like its very existence is somehow atypical. Every time we get into a extended period (up to 6 months) dry here, it always seems to correct itself after this time. But that's not good for the fear-mongers, they just invented "weather whiplash" to still be negative/gloom and doom. What, do they expect gentle April showers all the time and no drought conditions ever?

How about "hot?" Somehow temps in the low 80s now have become "hot" on local TV forecasts. It all falls in pushing the "hot" narrative overall. 85-90 or upper 80s historically has been hot for New England in forecasts.

we had above precip the last few months and this map hasnt changed. winter was a tad dry but I feel like they just keep releasing the same map cause they dont want to make a new one cause not many people even care about it. no way we are even close to any of this drought color.

Yep its way off it hasnt really been updated in like 2 months at least. I got close to 1.00 of rain in the last week that would put us even for the year.

Given the sfc low tracked/developed right over SNE, are you surprised? Scott needs to look up his 700 low track rule for dry slots!

So WSR-88Ds can now go as low as 0.3 deg for BREF1?

One other thing, and this is biggie. The NAM has always been useless when it comes to TCs. It sucks w/ track and intensity, doing all sorts of odd things. It never was designed to handle TCs. The HRRR seems to handle TCs well, and no reason to think the RRFS will not be the same. I'll check further on this. Everyone seems focus on the negative for the "new stuff," but leaves out the shortcomings of the present, like the NAM guidance, that has sig drawbacks. One thing I will miss, the NAM MOS handles low-level cold air much better than the GFS MOS. Which brings me to another point, is there MOS-type output for other models, CAM and global? If so, what is a good site to view it? W/ NAM MOS going away, more and more will likely just look at 2 m temps (some do already), and run w/ them -- not good in the longer ranges!

CoastalWx *demands* a Weymouth specific fcst!!! LOL.

So it seems that only the 24 hr state record was set. They noted 38" storm total at Woonsocket for the Blizzard of 78. So the PVD storm total falls just short of the state record it seems? If we had the degree of detail for observations in Feb 1978 like we do now, you'd very likely find lots of 40"+ amounts storm totals (Scott would see to that!) both in RI and eastern MA. 44" was reliably measured in an open field in Woburn MA, and from pix I have seen people shoveling out walkways and standing next to "snow walls" the morning of Feb 7, about 3 ft had already fallen, and it was S/S+ for another 12 hr or so in eastern MA.

Wasn’t expecting a watch this far east. Probably won’t even get here until 4-5am and I can’t imagine it’ll stay together but we’ll see. I’ll take a few rumbles even if that’s the most I get out of it. edit: ended up being nothing as expected but some good c2g so I’ll take it