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this area had a derecho in july 97 and it was one of my spark events

NW of Route 2

You can tell this hurricane season is a lost cause because half of wx Twitter is "X hurricane made landfall on this date 13 years ago"

Union north?

Then we are in agreement

Thanks. Wow, your reduction of RONI peak (tri) to +2.4 to +2.6 is a good bit below my latest RONI prog of ~+2.8 and is only slightly, if any, above the record of +2.4 from 1982-3! That would be way below some still current model progs of +3.3 to +3.5 for tri RONI! They’re likely going to bust way too high as it looks now. Your latest progged ONI tri peak of only +2.7 to +2.9 compares to some ONI tri peaks still near +4.0! Ray and all, check out the following large cooling adjustments on the CFSv2 for RONI monthlies: 7/22-31: Aug was +2.35 7/26-8/4: Aug fell to +1.9; Sep +3.0 8/5-14: Sep fell to +2.85; Oct +3.65; Nov +3.75 8/15-24: Sep fell even more to +2.5; Oct fell to +3.3; Nov fell to +3.5 The trend is clearly down.

Definitely not interior CT.

I can see our last 90 occuring during this time frame. I think we easily hit 90 and high dews at the hot spots. Then hopefully kick summer out-good riddance.

This totally sounds like a Yogi Berra quote

Phillies/Birds. Summer is over, done, a "has been", kaput, no chance, winter school closings mid-November, fill up the snow blower... 74F/DP 61F

Don’t see anyway possible of your snowy interior SNE winter

Prep this

79/57 at 12:40. Amazing

Personally here I am prepping for an all time record low snowfall season

yet here we are out to the 25th and we're bouncing around 17

*Almost* unanimous model support for *some* development but it is apparent this system has serious hurdles ahead of it. There is likely a window for development/strengthening over next few days, but then it hits a wall of shear, so options at that time are dissipation or weakening. Beyond that, location will be everything. If the system survives into the SW basin, there could possibly be an area of lower shear allowing for development as it likely recurves. If the system goes into Caribbean, it will be heading towards its grave. You're starting to see even the GFS back off on its latest run to a more realistic scenario given the harsh conditions ahead of the system. I am fairly confident this becomes a named storm but I do not think it has much of chance to be a long-tracked hurricane, and it likely won't have much window to intensify at all unless it makes it through the TUTT intact. Probably looking a weak, sheared TS for awhile

September will have a heat wave

I’d really like to know what they’re smoking given how 2015 went…

In addition to some locally strong-to-severe weather potential both Thursday and Friday, there should be some risk for flash flooding as well

nah you gotta stand behind your forecast man. 100+" for CON. thanks.

Too late