All Activity
- Past hour
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GFS still has it as of now...but I could see that disappearing or missing south
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Let the EF0 and EF1 show begin
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Consistent thunder for the past hour or 90 minutes with downpours. Nothing severe or overly exciting besides heavy rainfall.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
CT Valley Snowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Tor Watch here. I'm skeptical. -
super el nino banter thread
Cobalt replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
amwx has a strict limit of 5 twitter links per person per day, obviously -
T-watch Envious threat primarily N of Weatherwiz
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I might be issuing a BUST WATCH for Monday as we get closer the way things have been verifying here lately.
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Low Pressure Lunacy started following Tropical Storm Arthur
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Holy crap, the wind downtown Baltimore is stupid right now. Absolutely howling. One of the vendors in the Thursday food truck dealie at Pratt between light and Charles had their canopy go 20 feet airborn. Like living on a cliff on the sea howling wind.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Nice low-level jet today. If something were to pop, there may be a flying cow or two. -
Interesting all the ltg is way up in VT for the most part. Shallow stuff currently near and SW of Albany. That or better instability in the graupel/hail zone with cooler temps aloft in VT.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Blech. I think we've had enough wind for one lifetime here -
What is going on atmospherically East of Farmville, VA where the precip just dries up? It's really obnoxious.
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Some beefy qpf showing up on some guidance. Euro has been depositing a swath of 2-4" for several runs. Might need to have the grilling get togethers Sat this year. Sunday might be a day better spent on the couch watching the US open lol.
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Winds howling, skues clearing and temps climbing!
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Kind of shocked we haven't seen a downstream MCD or watch extension yet
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few days of paradise weather and then NAM selling another defo band soak job on father's day
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Warm boundary slipping thru now... 75/68 sky light breaks 69/64 under schmutz last hr
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Upton's changed AFD as of 11:45am: -- Changed Discussion -- Have increased wind gust potential to 40 to 35 mph for this afternoon in evening, and decreased thunderstorm coverage for late this morning into afternoon
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Region 3.4 is off the charts for this time of year, region 1+2 has pushed over +3C. And this is with more strong WWBs and DWKWs to come. And there’s +8C anomalies in the equatorial subsurface in the EPAC, just staggering. If the EURO Copernicus is correct, the 30C isotherm gets all the way to 140W by November, which is record breaking, totally unprecedented. The current all time record for that is 155W….. -
Disappointing to watch radar returns disappear once they make it to Bath or Highland county.. Looked so promising this morning only to morph into well nothing - zero raindrops- not even a decaying sprinkle...
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Really not a worse look for the falls lake watershed
- Today
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Seems like a flash flood threat too… we are over 1” on the day and every one of these pulses is just cranking water. Looks like there may be some training developing within the line too. I bet we can do another 1” with what’s coming.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
CT Valley Snowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Relying on some type of renegade development on the southern flank doesn't exactly give me goosebumps. I guess we'll see what happens.
