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Looking at guidance I think the storm Fri/Sat will produce more QPF over a wider area than is currently being forecasted.

Stein dead and buried on the 18z gfs

This all started because you said the cool early in the month was transient. instead of admitting you were wrong, you go on some ridiculous tirade about how warm March and April were and how warm the western US was last winter. WTF does any of that have to do with this month having below normal temperatures?

That's a large field. I'd plant wild flowers/shrubs too, and keep part lawn. Women love manicured lawns with beautiful gardens in the mix. As a landscaper for a few years, they really love to go wild with plants at cabins. Did a lot of work at sites like that. But in town, it's a little different. That's my experience.

I was talking to Scott about this yesterday ... there's a non-linear signal for ridge eruption along 90 to 100W coming from the numerical telecon spread (convergent), between the 6th and 10th or so. That's still the case. Since then, we're getting ensemble means burgeoning. This being the 12z EPS mean centered on 270 Notice the UK heat node's migrated to Scandinavia ... This appears to be a complete rotation of the base-line wave#. I suspect the operational more linear indicators may "detect" this physical constructive interference and start emerging a better heat signal. I'm also finding it interesting that the CPC's decided to flip the signal to an 'over-top' heat suggestion in their D8-14. They may be on to this. This signal would be above the climate signal - even though it's funny to zap Weatherwiz... I don't mean to devalue the necessity to do that -

Lmao looking at op run print outs for temps . Hammers latest forecast . Looks wintry

Euro and GFS hit 80 on Wednesday the 10th

Euro also 50's wednesday

GFS is 50's

I hope so. Might not even hit 70F here Weds.

Kevin seems way too optimistic about everything.

Just an insane amount of pollen all over everything this week . Clouds of it blowing thru air . Any open windows are caked with it on the sills and floor below

Good call

CT starts Wednesday

Thursday it starts.

Pretty much as expected. NW areas out of severe drought, with no change in eastern/southeastern areas.

Right about 2" for the month, and the same for April. Ooof. Plenty of sprinkler action over the next week with nothing but dry in the forecast.

Wednesday onwards is straight 80’s thru day 10

Hard hard pass

can do these dumb warm vs cold wars in a banter thread? Seriously if you don’t like someone’s forecast or analysis you’re free to do your own and contribute to this thread.

This is NOT my idea of post Memorial Day weather...

Have to bag mine. It's very tall 6 inches. Might even have some dollar spot. Been so moist and cloudy. Will cut it tomorrow as the soil should be firmer and dew point even lower.

(Whoops, wrong thread - will leave it here unless someone wants to move it) I finished my ski season at Mammoth on 5/24. Still a decent variety of terrain open - all in the 9-11k elevation band (and crucially, all north facing). Mammoth had a below average season, but not epically bad like the rest of the west. They were helped by a few massive storm cycles in December and February, but more crucially, their elevation and exposure made the Western US March heat dome less of an extinction event. Then, they had an above average April with nearly 100" of snow. Projected closing date is 6/7. The first photo is looking down toward the base terminal of Chair 23 from the top of "Scotty's." The second photo is near the Western entrance of Yosemite at Tioga Pass.