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Is the RNA preferable for snow chances after mid month, or just less detrimental?

Same here for Iredell, but teachers (wife) going on 3 hr delay.

If I were to break Feb roughly into thirds, this is how I would lay it out: First third (1-10th): Very cold/well below normal Second third: (11-20th): Milder risks, but not well above normal. -PNA Third (21-28th): Potentially return to colder than normal with established -WPO + blocking (this period more TBD). Not nearly as cold as the first third. Still -PNA

1/4in of snow here and falling steadily. I wasn't expecting that!

right now the GFS is alone with anything significant that ain't a cut or whiff, but all have something in that time frame that can pop, we'll see and maybe a convergence comes about for something good, at least we track...

@ravensrule you call my posts "shit" but you will eat your words when you spend 10 days with a bunch of nonsense analysis tracking a cutter rainstorm. Whereas my simple climo analysis will verify. We will revist this next week

6z GFS for next weekend has a snow to to mix/rain back to snow long duration scenario for CTP. Long way to go & many developments still to come in the upcoming days as we continue to track the potential.

Hopefully not. We'd be dealing with a lot of pot holes and even ice jams Not sure how bad the overall icing situation is though compared to 2015

Low of 7 in Marysville.

Yes, it sucks to not wake up to pretty snow maps, but it doesn't mean winter is over.

That Euro run last night makes no sense screaming a low like that the block . You’d have to think secondary at least with icing and probably even colder than that. That run is tossed

February 16

He probably puts the same amount of shit in his toilet every morning.

Imagine losing Stoutland and Fangio in the same offseason. Thank goodness Fangio decided to stay another year. Sounds like last year's dysfunction got to Stoutland, though, which is extremely disappointing. What a waste.

This has been some stretch of cold and snow pack. It will feel nice when those first mild temperatures arrive.

I had a quarter inch of snow myself. Roads are horrible in Haywood until you hit the interstate. Smokey park and Patton Avenue are very slick and roads in Arden are bad.

Not really much BN. They’ve just been torched.

Boston harbor 39. But that’s out there and I think 5’ down or so. Definitely less of an issue vs December.

Anyone get the feeling with the WBN SST’s that it’s gonna be an awful long cold spring?

After an early week thaw, cold punches back back late next week in the East ?

Looks like SSTs are around 35-36 BEFORE this weekend....man, please get a juicy hugger in here to lather me up with deep layer east fetch.

I don't have the snow mean but this doesn't look like a cutter to me.

sued: 12:49 AM Feb. 5, 2026 – National Weather Service ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Dangerous wind chills colder than 20 below zero possible. * WHERE...All of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...The dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An arctic front will bring cold air and strong winds to the region Saturday morning. Below normal temperatures and blustery winds will result in wind chills dropping well below zero Saturday morning. Wind chills will remain below zero through the rest of the weekend.

Looks like we head into warmer and rainy next weekend per euro and gfs though still cold

Low of -2F 15th morning below zero this winter!