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SE MA the thunderstorm capital of eastern MA
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rumor is that we are perhaps getting a bump to ENH next outlook. Guess we’ll see.- 673 replies
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We're def getting widespread rain and at least embedded thunderstorms. Just a matter of whether there will be any embedded strong/severe storms, and if so, is it rather localized or more scattered?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
If we get a bit more clearing then I’m feeling it today. Last week I got back to back days of legit severe storms. One of which was stronger than anything in the past couple years. Something to remember from both days is some CAMs were anemic the day of, so I’m not too worried about them. Additionally, both days last week produced that in spite of no shear.- 673 replies
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Mesoanalysis showing strong CAPE tongue building into the areas east of Frederick or so.
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I thought for sure last night that cell coming from chapel hill would get western wake but alas nothing! One bright side with the drought is that I don’t think I’ve had to kill a mosquito yet this year. From that perspective it’s been really awesome
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Trash night, let’s see what happens. 87F/DP 64F -
It’s pretty sultry out there. I’d be shocked if storms hold off too long.
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
WxWatcher007 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
For those still watching, the last two Euro runs do something very weird with our area of interest. It tries to organize it well inland and treks it across the south. Can't say I've seen that before lol. Still a chance for some marginal development later in the week as a front tries to get involved in the NW Gulf. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Despite a few camera malfunctions, I got some video of the Union Pacific Big Boy in Nesquehoning this morning. When I get them edited and uploaded to YouTube, I'll share them here. -
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Most stuff is very meh for most of CT. The way things have gone probably the way to think . Even for more than a tenth or two -
Looks like it's about to pour up at WXW2.
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WB 14Z HRRR: not much going on during the day. Thunderstorms hit around sunset east of the mountains.
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Yeah. Hope it is not just some gusty fast moving showers. I have a feeling it will be more along those lines with not much in the way of significant rainfall totals.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
wxmeddler replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is an issue with MADIS. The 83 mph gust is from a sonic anemometer on top of the Bay Bridge. That is the first report. The second 83 mph report in Parole is false, it’s due to a bug that duplicates the Bay Bridge sensor at SHA headquarters in Parole. The lay/lon is wrong in MADIS. The 75 mph gust is from a buoy at the mouth of the Severn.- 673 replies
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Saw the announcement when it happened. Congrats! Will push some local friends y'all way. How is the network paid for? State funding?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Time would be my guess. - Today
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I'd take the high res depictions in a heartbeat. 3k and HRRR looked juicy overnight.
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I hope you're right. It would be a shame if a good setup gets messed up by very late timing. Hopefully models like HRRR and Nam3km are wrong about the timing being that late. Still a good chance we'd see some heavy rain if it does happen that late though. We really need the rain so I'm keeping my fingers crossed.
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I wonder how much elevated CAPE we can get into the region tonight. There will be some sfc CAPE but there also will be an inversion probably so we probably or may not tap into the sfc instability. The NAM tends to overdo elevated CAPE but if it were to be right...it will be a very loud night, at least across CT, RI, and SE MA.
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Dews have crashed to the low 40s. Love this dry summer air.
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Similar to every other severe event this spring the greatest threat is the wind
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Area on 6/13….8.66 million sq km Heres how other years faired on the same date (I.e, 2012 had 420k less area than this year on the same date) 2012: -420k 2025: -130k 2019: -60k 2016: -50k 2007: +150k 2020: +190k 2011: +230k 2010: +240k 2023: +250k 2022: +280k 2021: +300k 2017: +310k Still a lot of time left in the critical month of June. We’re lagging 2012 decently but it’s definitely possible to catch up. On the flip side, if we continue to lose ground to 2012 over the next couple weeks, then we can rule out a new record this year. Most of the cake gets baked in May and June in the arctic sea ice workd
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Well well. Look who it is. I hate these screen names who only log in sometimes or only in certain seasons. You only see them around when…. wait. Nevermind. Hey Ian! seriously tho, glad yall are independent.
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0.17" overnight. Nice swath of 1-1.5" about 15 miles south of here. Up to 4.20" for June.
