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  2. NAM wasnt that far from a boom...fix the northern stream like the GFS.
  3. @SnowenOutThere nice synopsis. People were saying it merges the two, Not really it just partially phases them early on enough that the main energy rounds the base and is focused on the lead SW. At 72hr you can see the trailing SW still there but unlike all other guidance because of what happened around hr24-36 the lead SW is the more amplified one and taken on a negative tilt. The trailing wave being the main one is useless because the timing is all wrong. The lead wave takes the surface low way OTS with it and there’s nothing for the trailing wave to amplify. It does activate the IVT connected to the departing coastal and we could score a consolation that way but unless the lead SW becomes the main player any surface wave will be long gone OTS.
  4. Ugh. Hoping the HRRR > Nammie for my area.
  5. I hope we can get the 18z models to go back in the right direction.
  6. raining nicely, it's much needed that's for sure
  7. Ji doesn't like it I bet? And the back edge is approaching quickly even though it's thousands of miles West... 41F/The melt is on...can't step on "grass" without a big smush sound.
  8. If you extrapolate beyond 84, you can clearly see that it is about to head due north towards MVY.
  9. If I channel my inner INS weenie, I’m feeling a boxing day 2010 coming. Lets go Korea.
  10. 9-10:1 on the WAA and then fluff on Saturday. Similar deal to the roided SWFE in Jan. Although toss the 30-40:1 ratios yielding another 6+. But yeah, maybe we average out 11-12:1.
  11. Mitch is 105 years old and has been on these forums for 42 years, at least get his username right.
  12. WPC has placed most of us in a heavy snow risk in there most recent update
  13. I have a feeling the gfs will hold onto the big storm until tomorrow 12z or even later, then do the most spectacular cave we have ever seen. By that time, the damage will have been done.
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