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A lot of faith in Glen Plake... but he still rocks so Bob does too

I feel like I've been asleep at the wheel, just getting caught up on the upcoming threats. It was nice to have a cold / snowy Thanksgiving. Looking forward to tracking with everyone this season.

Those piece of shit (POS)positive snow depths are more worthless than clowns

If December ain’t rockin’, don’t come a knockin’

So close yet so far

I dunno, Bob with the mohawk avatar is good December juju.

The 12z CMC and Euro deterministic runs look very similar, and both have winter threats. I am riding with those right now as the ensembles(including GEFS to some extent) agree with those two. The 12z GFS is significantly colder than its 0z run which appears (hopefully?) to be a hiccup. Here are the 10 day maps for roughly the same time frame. Don't ask me how I didn't get the exact same time frame - LOL. I have no idea. Pretty decent agreement and cold signal for a time frame which originally looked this cold on LR ext modeling, then looked really warm, and has since returned to the original cold look.

I wouldn't change the thread title till Sunday PM if needed - IMO this setup is not set in stone as 25 -50 miles either way makes a big difference..along with the position of the HP and how the storm cutting through the Great Lakes this weekend adjusts the location of the key players on the field....

Back to the storm for next week. Latest EURO EPS and AI ensemble.

It's all down hill after he had snow to his napes in Feb 2015.

We went from a sunny forecast here today (which I figured would be wrong since Frederick is cloudy at least 60% of the time) to scattered flurries. I trust Tuesday's forecast like I trust DC sports.

Euro is close to something a few times the next couple weeks but there's just enough ridging in tne SE to keep it a cold rain for most.

Nooooooooo!!!!!!

That 12/10 system has a high pressure that Scooter can get behind....

Ya I’d take that euro run and be happy if that was it for winter up here haha.

He was down on the January 2022 storm

Man how did you know. Euro agrees with you.

That's how we know it's wrong. A lot of us would sign for that. No doubt about it.

Remember all those swears you learned when you were 2? That was your dad throwing a tantrum when he thought the January 2015 blizzard was going to miss us.

DTX is gonna have to go from no headlines to warnings at this point

Active right out to hr360.

Glad to have you back, man!!!

WSW up. I never dreamed November would produce another big dog this year after the 10" lake-effect event three weeks ago, but here it is. Some areas to my immediate northeast will have 18" on the ground thanks to last night's lake event.

Call it what you want but let's not pretend this was a big storm