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  2. we left that open in case it's 2027 or beyond
  3. I'm not sure why he is confused, but it's probably the same reason he was confused when I foresaw the BS that was the protracted interval of phase 8 in December. I'm just always leery of guidance being too liberal with time in phase 8 during this stretch we've been in dating back to 2018.
  4. NOHRSC I chose snow depth (24hrs) from latest obs. https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html
  5. Yea, not sure what DT was taking about...it's pretty clear.
  6. What's up peeps? It's about all you can ask for these days is to have one operational model giving a paste job and all the ensembles showing at least some snow falling board wide. Has potential for a nice little event!
  7. I also recorded a high of 41. Great day to calibrate those weather stations.
  8. My mom actually fell today outside on her walk...faceplant. Thankfully seems like just some bad scrapes and bruises.
  9. Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th? I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit.
  10. I have already told my wife that I am gonna start chasing the atmospheric river in the Sierra Nevada or big storms in the East.
  11. Fwiw, 18z Eps gives us an inch and operational just shy of it.
  12. @Holston_River_Rambler and Co...I have a hard time believing this doesn't produce 1-2" of snow for anyone under that.
  13. Yes, the PNA is far more important to Atlanta's January snowstorms than the NAO. Since 1950, the PNA was positive for 84.2% of Atlanta's 1" or greater snowstorms. The NAO was negative for 63.2% of such storms.
  14. It looks active wednesday-sunday with various short waves rotating through. It will all be short range / nowcast type stuff but could be fun and we've done well this season thus far with that.
  15. Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc
  16. Travis Kelce is available! Thank you I'll see myself out now.
  17. As long as the extended range looks active with hits that's all we can ask for right now. The extended shows plenty of cold around and looks active...can't ask for anything else really. Obviously we're going to want to see this continuing as we get closer but the look is hopeful.
  18. I'm frustrated but remain optimistic...this isn't last year IMHO.
  19. Im optimistic… but its just because all the let downs have led me to be positive even though i know deep down we cant score in the foothills circle of doom. .
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