All Activity

I can't believe they are allowing me to view this porn at work....

I think @WxUSAF hit the nail on the head. These bigger storms need general phasing pieces to really allow for a significant mid-latitude cyclone and we haven't seen too many due to the fast flow from the N/S and more chaotic nature of faster low amplitude waves. By the time they rendezvous, it's usually too far north in latitude to matter for these parts. We value blocking as that slows down the wave train and allows for greater amplitude in trough patterns as they migrate east of the Rockies. We've been on the outside looking in for years now, but hopefully some signs of the AMO shifting could bring back more periods of blocking across the North Atlantic. Until then, it's going to be tough to generate significant east coast storms at a higher frequency. Those that can develop could still be very strong, however so something to keep in mind when we do have signals for a major mid-latitude cyclone.

.57 so far here today

1.54" on the day with light rain now, 56/55.

Hartford is below normal for the month. 15 out of the first 20 days have been below normal. Humidity has been at an all-time low for the month of August. Did it get warm early in the summer? Sure did, especially June.

Phoenix is on track to record its fourth hottest summer on record. All four will have occurred since 2020. The ranking will be as follows: 1. 2024 2. 2023 3. 2020 4. 2025

About .9" and 52°. When did October start?

I guess we're all bored with Erin. Hurricane Isabel 165 MPH winds with a bizarre rotating eye in the eye. Never before, never again.

The waters are freaking high everywhere

2 hours ago: Unfortunately, Hurricane Erin's storm surge was too much for NC12 tonight. We will be CLOSING NC12 from Oregon Inlet to Hatteras Village at 6:30 p.m. Conditions are too unsafe for people to be driving in. If you come across any flood waters, turn around, don't drown. #ncwx

.18 rain today.

Definitely no at BDL tonight, 1.21" for the day. HRRR did a good job at least up here.

No I don't I'm saying it's been way too warm and humid this summer (Torch and DIT type weather) with the exception of a few days here or there. That's why I don't get why everyone is this excited about one, albeit exceptionally cool, day. We all know the drill, it'll be 70-80 right into November.

Moderate coastal flooding expected along the south shore tomorrow evening. Definitely enough to flood the low lying spots in Freeport, Lindenhurst, Island Park etc.

Interesting read on another weather anomaly happening in the Indian ocean. https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/new-iod-event-developing-winter-pattern-forecast-united-states-canada-fa/

Erin might be the most overrated hurricane ever.

There are some signals that December can be a cold month here due to a weaker early season PV, displaced SE PV, and as you mentioned, a -QBO.

.56 with moderate rain. 55/55

It hasn’t strengthened at all based on that first pass. Winds probably still a bit generous. Think the opportunity to regain 3 intensity is rapidly fading. It does appear to be kicking east some. Based on buoy reports between the storm and hatteras I’m not certain tropical storm force wind will make it to land. I think the models may have overdone the western extent of TS force winds somewhat really unimpressive buoy reports anywhere near the coast

Yep, up to .89 for the day with over a half inch in that hour

TTTE

Erin is kind of boring now. Hurricane Andrew landfall radar: https://imgur.com/G5IB3vI

I would say yes. But I also just wired some Nigerian Prince 300 k from my savings account.

Nope!

Up to 0.59 for me in Lindenhurst