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Long range on the models looks dead... good. Lets get something to appear within 4 maybe 5 days, instead of chasing fantasies

For all those looking to water their lawns in March.

The northern and southern jets are dead, we stein

MJO forecast was forecast for this time period to be in phase six, and is. It won’t be any where near phase eight until the end of this month

Only hope for widespread snow is a NW amplification trend on MLK day for the next 7 days.. Guidance is still all over the place after that in terms of where the cold goes and where the gradient sets up .. There also seems to be an overrunning set up the end of next week in the 9-12 day range .. But again have to see where the gradient sets up

Very boring on the models. This is awful .

Although WPC still has some risk of storm 18-19th

I have a list of Southeast Region snowstorms and just checked the dates last night. The date range is where the Southeast was receiving snow.

Except for a bit of rain and snow midweek, all precipitation gone from 10 day. Pretty much the worst case scenario from where this looked to be headed. Quite a surprise to me tbh. Cold and dry sucks. Much prefer cutter to wipe it clean and be warmer outside. otoh this will probably change but seems like quite a fail for mid range models. Or maybe just a perceptual bias based on large number of models and frequency of model runs?

This is a winter of Stein . Water bans by Morch

Almost no QPF for two weeks as well

No keep him.

IMO neither Ravens nor Steelers should have been in the playoffs. Neither was that good this year and certainly were not among this season’s elite teams.

Hold me

Joke aside--it is showing really cold.

I spy a little -PNA the last week of Jan. I hope models are still biased too low on PNA

Poor Karen Rodgers. He got smacked around. Probably should retire.

Exciting

Looking like another dry month with just 0.71" here so far and not much on the horizon... Last Jan was my driest on record with 0.58". Not gonna get alot of snow with those numbers regardless of how cold it is. Since Sept 2024, station running a -22" precip departure.

Woodstock 10.5? No

6z Nam getting on board for tomorrow night...sort of.

Should have waited for the Euro.

Euro is frigid in the long range

Euro is frigid in the long range

Meanwhile driving back from Yellowstone tonight it was 60-degrees at 9:30 pm. At least another week of above temps and I’ve got new skis waiting to be broken in.