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I thought everyone was just glazing this dude... lol

That map you showed Steve did not inspire confidence lol I'm fine with Miller A. They’re preferable to me because they’re simple. I was agreeing with not wanting occlusion too soon, which is a risk here. More than OTS imo.

Icon trying to shift west with trough

Out west looks similar - but the trough is positive tilt this time out - I posted approx the same time frames on the current 06z GFS 500 and the verified '96 500 vort.

This is not going to happen, I don’t think. Euro being entirely a whiff on the mean is pretty much all I need to see. Nice fodder for a day or so, but chances were always low

Talk about huffing the copium

No we aren't. The piece of energy that is responsible for this storm signal hasn't even made landfall in the US so models are basically guessing at this point until it can sample it.

Get that southern energy a little slower and/or that northern energy a little faster and I think the ICON would have been a hit. Right now it runs that southern energy ahead of the ULL over the SE which takes over too far east

More like one day.

this is what he said: by the way, his 10/31 GEFS members are west of the mean is a typo, i think he meant 10/31 are east of the mean and/or 21/30 are west of the mean

Still in on this one.....Looking at the surface on these runs sucks right now but its the smallest changes that can make this go from Bust to Boom.....would like to see things hold or trend back in next 24 hrs

Like him or not, he’s really been on-point since at least last summer.

Beautiful!

Two more days of “ Check back in every 12 hours” mode till we close the book for the I-95. Ocean City maybe a day after that.

96 had a much different look in the days preceding it’s approach up here than this system appears to have right now.

Are there 'western' models?

Yea, that ridge position is ideal...said the exact, same thing in my write up.

Florida Freeze

Not sure if the 6z model froze at hour 57 but the Euro results on pivotal sure did! Sent from my SM-S926U using Tapatalk

So we like Bam again? Just want to make sure I am not hating the wrong people...

Icon is Igone

A place to share photos of the late January snowpack, of hopefully more snows to come, and of our mid-Atlantic winter scenery in general! Photographers and non-photographers welcome. Beautiful art shots and sooty parking lot piles, it's all good. Here is a shot of the Bush River, covered in ice and snow.

Yea I can't see it this time. At least last week pretty consistently there was moisture being shown. Consistent accum's etc. Almost universally since 12z yesterday it has been OTS.

The amazing, incomparable, infallible, always right, never changing 6Z Weather Next took our light snow away, too.