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What a stretch of weather! Couldn't ask for more. Chance of some boomers Thursday afternoon and then beautiful through the weekend. Even next week looks like it will cooperate. Finish off the month with some summerish weather. Take all day.

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites · · Patchy fog will burn off this morning and give way to partly sunny skies and warmer temps. Tomorrow sees severe weather chances return with flash flooding and damaging wind gusts the main threats, particularly in Eastern PA. #Pawx

60 when I left the house. Another nice morning, to go along with a McD’s breakfast. Let’s get it.

Tiny wedge of slight risk of storms for north central MD tomorrow

After joining @katabatic last year (such a gracious host) for a taste of mountain snowfall, will definitely be considering an LES chase. Hope you all have so much fun!!

We'll be up there all winter. I'd love to get a crew from the board up there for a big LES event. It's a free place to stay. Just bring food and some recipes.

Awesome, congrats. With an AN temp winter likely up here I think that opens the door for something juicy. There’s nothing like LES. Yeah we gotta do it at some point. Last year got away from me with my wife’s new job and all but boy did we hit the jackpot. Just over 150” here at SLK with numerous periods below zero. It was heavenly. But yeah we definitely need a chase. If we went down to Buffalo we have the benefit of food, good road infrastructure, and meeting up with the guys out there that chase every year locally. And of course, Watertown is Watertown.

Extraordinarily tough sledding across the basin this season. I kind of feel like this one is important to my peak season forecast.

95L is out of time.

Funny, but from the 27 minute mark on I never remembered Lurch working for TWC.

I wonder how often the PDO state keeps ninos from affecting the N HEM 500 pressure surface? Or gets close?

She was very loved especially in Tennessee where she helped a ton after the wildfires tore through there.

Early this evening here in the overall still very dry CO high country I saw this at a distance down the road I was taking a leisurely walk on, a first for me to see in the wild anywhere! The drought is so bad here that their natural food supply of berries, etc, is way below normal! This was surrealistic:

NINO looks still strong to me,you even see another strong WWB into Sept with hardly any EWB,start seeing EWB around South America should be one of the first signs the Walker Circulation is breaking down,until then

0Z UKMET delays transition to a TD for 4 days vs the 12Z run but still has it taking a similar path and gets to a TS quickly as it moves WNW a little NE of the Bahamas: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 20.3N 67.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2026 132 21.0N 68.5W 1011 32 0000UTC 01.09.2026 144 22.4N 70.3W 1009 38 1200UTC 01.09.2026 156 23.0N 71.7W 1006 43 0000UTC 02.09.2026 168 24.1N 73.4W 1002 39

Note the lack of actual crisp air (SUB 55 DEWS) on this chart. 2025 had 290 hours under 55 DP (3rd best), 2026 has 14 hrs (all time worst). Here's hoping Saturday brings us our first crisp day (low 50s dew) of August - fingers crossed!

That not true to some extent,while the 82-83 strong NINO showed a -PDO into srping it went positive into summer.That 82-83 winter was quite uniques alone which had the help of a EQBO and not a WQBO this year