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0.25” of rain this afternoon .

Had a severe warning over here in Orange, not much wind thankfully but in the words of Forrest Gump some big fat raindrops, .67 on the day.

Maybe it’s acorns coming down

Most of the city in store for a 7-10 split based on the radar?

softball game nearby?

Softball sized…everything busted to bits.

Velocities to around 40mph in the storm approaching the Bronx. Maybe decent but nothing severe. Since it’s breaking up most of us probably end up with a few showers. The rain earlier today probably ruined our setup for now. Never really cleared out here.

Didn’t even get a breeze here before the torrential rain. Some bright flashes though and long rumbles. We inversion

The one in CT at 75 mph. NE of the watch area

The Euro is probably the warmest of the seasonal guidance. Remember that model was much too cool going into the 2023-2024 winter. This winter forecast is even warmer than that one was. So my guess is significantly warmer than the current Euro is showing.

Lolwut

quite the light show but the goods are a little south, been happening here for a while, severe is coming right at me then splits or fizzles last minute. probably the last severe warning we'll see this year

Pretty meh overall gust to maybe 25 and 2 minutes of torrential rain @weatherwiz FTW

Really cool mothership structure trailing the leading clouds

Temps plunging at IAD, but still warm and muggy at Solace on the Anacostia riverfront, with nasty-looking clouds building to the NW.

Excellent shelf cloud visible from College Park now! Too dark for a good still photo tho.

Woah just got a flash of lightning and thunder out of nowhere. Just before I was going to start video

You know Wiz…if a branch falls on a house, and there wasn’t a warning…god forbid.

Yeah, I noticed this too. That's Ural blocking. That block is actually a good feature to see show up if the hope is for a weakened PV this winter. Will be quite interesting to see if it keeps showing up. Especially throughout November. In fact, case in point, the weeklies today showing a little something and it's likely related to that same block currently modeled. Ural Blocking as a Driver of Early-Winter Stratospheric Warmings https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2019GL082097 "This study explores the early-winter atmospheric response to Ural blocking anomalies in November, using a nudging technique to constrain the temperature and dynamics in a high-top atmospheric model. Persistent Ural blocking anomalies in November are associated with a warm Arctic/cold Siberia pattern and increased upward planetary waves entering the stratosphere, leading to a warming of the polar vortex. This stratospheric response then propagates in the troposphere, leading to increased occurrence of the negative North Atlantic Oscillation in December and January."

that shelf is empty precip is still miles west of you and the heavier rain is starting to shrink in size will it make it too the city ?

That cell to your west is booking at 43 mph

I'll let you know how it is

Thanks for narrowing it down. And which model was that and which month's forecast?