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18z GFS time lets dance!

november and february were essentially swapped.

Humans are awful but there’s very few people who have room to bitch. Unless you’re Amish, you’re most likely using technology that contributes to adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. My life along with most people in 1st world countries is significantly better than if it was 1886. I might even be dead now from one of my infections in my life that required antibiotics if it was 1886. Rant over now.

I guess I’m a dedicated snow weenie. I was spoiled this year, my house in the Catskills was getting lake effect snow in early/mid November and I was loving every second of it lol

That’s pretty depressing considering February’s minimal participation in winter this year.

I think is going to suck if the PV predictions are correct.

We deserve a nice, warm, early Spring after the brutal Winter we have just endured. Yes, it snowed a lot, which was fun at times. There were also periods of brutal, bone chilling cold and dry weather and more ridiculously windy days than I can count.

Roughly just over 4" of the current seasonal snowfall total of 32.3" was pure LES.

Yes thats definitely what I was implying with my post.

At this point pretty much everyone expect for the most dedicated snow weenies are fine with it.

You definitely deserve it. Enjoy.

Famous last words…

The gradient is real! It’s very noticeable once you cross through Chester. I think washingtonville had reports of 12-13”

EWR: 53.8 (season so far) Rank Season Total Snowfall (Inches) 1 1995–1996 78.4" 2 1947–1948 73.0" 3 2010–2011 68.5" 4 1887–1888 65.8" 5 2013–2014 57.3" 6 2025–2026 53.8" (To date)

This year it's over. I'm not saying that it won't cool down after the incoming torch but there won't be anymore snow after next week, especially near the coast.

This is directly from the SPC. They are going to use this new, potentially confusing, system for the SPC outlooks in about a week. Hopefully it's not terribly confusing. The chance for EF2+ tornadoes goes way with the hatching groups. The values are 7% of tornadoes are EF2+ at "no hatching," increasing to a value of 40% at CIG-3. There are two levels for hail. That's slightly confusing. Probability values of 75% and 90% for wind probability outlooks have been added. I am going to call these, little dashies, northwest-leaning lines, and hatching. (I made that up.)

Its not over until April. Never count out March.

It's over, and thank F*cking God for that.

After the threats this weekend and early next week, things really warm up. Both the GFS and Euro really pump up the Bermuda ridge. We could be looking at lower 70's outside of Long Island for an extended stretch beginning the end of next week.

No other models are close to the gfs for tomorrow

Getting to that point in the season where if you don’t get a substantial event it’s here in the morning and vaporizing by afternoon. Time to let go of any pack fetish one might have…