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Looks like we get a shot of warmer air after that, but the average temps are becoming cooler this time of year now so above normal can still be in 50s by the time mid month comes.

Is a +WPO common during a Nina Autumn? Without looking into it, I feel like we usually see low heights out there during a Nina Autumn which helps with the common mild October we so often experience in a Nina.

European even has not one but two chances for flurries next week! Obviously a long ways away and whatnot but still cool to see.

You do realize that Dr. Sacoransky is an intern radiologist and not a met? Not that one needs to be a met to post about weather as we all know, but you post him often as gospel it seems.

euro looks relatively wet/active in the extended

Inter-model guidance still showing a nice cool shot around Nov. 10-12. We'll see if it holds.

The GFS is the only model showing any real snow this weekend around here, but all models show the first big push of arctic air. It looks brief, however.

Will there be deer blow downs?

Once again, @WxUSAF is absolutely correct to be concerned about "wasting patterns", but it's somewhat comforting to see things slowly trending cooler as we near our first shot of late autumn weather. Not only more expansive cold, but better negative anamolies. EDIT: Euro also showing this too!

kind of a wild trend. hopefully we see more of this in the coming months... it's getting far enough into autumn that it holds a bit of weight. we saw the same -NAO trends last winter

How many hunters will be blown out of their tree stands?

Is there actually increased solar energy during the peaks of the cycle? From all I've seen those peaks are the peak of *activity* (magnetic fluctuations resulting in sunspots), not actually energy peaks. Wouldn't the actual solar energy received by the earth be *lower* during periods of peak sunspot activity? (Given that a sunspot is a "cool spot" where less energy is being output) I know there are more CMEs during the peaks, resulting in more-frequent aurora peaks; but it seems like that would be just noise in what might otherwise be a general lower level of overall energy from the sun. Not an expert on the subject - just putting out a "seems to me" theory.

And yet worldwide life expectancy continues to rise. https://www.statista.com/statistics/805060/life-expectancy-at-birth-worldwide/ Something doesn't jive. Methinks it's the information in these "reports". (So much for the "good thing" of mass die-off)

+WPO.

Yes, I have been here so long that I am running out of images that I care to delete, so I have reorted to copy-pasting from the blog.

Record negative phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole (-IOD). Yay for us?

Bring it. 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 to 50 mph expected.

https://nowcastjobs.com/ Filter by any of the industries listed, this site is made specific for the atmospheric sciences/meteorology

Maybe you hit your limit on attachments. If so, you’ll need to go your attachments through your account and delete some of the already existing ones.

Wind Advisory for Tuesday.

Like what happened? I used to could post anything here.

To be fair they get 2 nice weeks in Apr/May when they downslope off of our easterly vomit.

About time on freezing. Still have not had a hard freeze at the farm in Fallston.

Sounds like thr nrn Greens in the middle of summer.

Just finished with the first phase of leaf suck up. Man, those stacks were incredibly thick. Usually we don’t start getting this many piling up until the second pass but this years a different animal. I think all these wind driven rain events lately combined with a pretty dry summer are playing a role.