All Activity

Agree. I have no idea what the hell he’s talking about…but whatever.

It’s ok-you don’t have to send one to me…

Got 2.5” on Sunday…I’m hoping for 1,5” more this go around. Just going by what that model showed. And I didn’t wear a vest pal?

The miracle White Christmas in 1998. Temperatures really torched that month, with 2 days in the 70s in the first week, and temps in the mid-60s as late as the morning of the 22nd. Then, temperatures fell throughout the day, leading to the snowstorm on December 23-24, 1998.

You get 4", and I'll send everyone on this forum a Xmas card with me wearing nothing but one of your skin tight vests with a turtle neck.

They’re still called Weeklies because that is based on their own extended maps being for one week at a time, not based on their release frequency. Today’s Euro Weeklies run/extended EPS mean was the warmest run yet this season for the E US overall. Today’s extended GEFS doesn’t look much better for the E US its entire run if you prefer cold (like I do). But obviously I’m hopeful they will bust badly! A year ago at this time, they were cold for the E US and NOAA’s weeks 3-4 products were about the coldest on record for the SE US. I was posting a lot about those outlooks as well as the cold Weeklies and was very excited. What a difference a year makes! They often have a decent clue as to the general upcoming pattern. But not always. So, we’ll see.

Thanks Steve…I’ll take my 4”.

lol jsut saw. I’ll sell that.

The inverted dong for you and I. Beware.

Can you post bro.

WTF are you talking about Bob? This is a f’n weather forum. I want to talk about weather. If T Blizz wants to keep being a negative fool…I have no time for that. If it sucks, fine. But if there are some positives, before verification, then it needs to be pointed out. I don’t come here for mental health…if you do, and he does, I’m sorry.

ICON looks pretty good up here.

In RRFS we trust

The most concerning thing to me is the lack of region-wide snowstorms (not this nickel and dime, hit or miss stuff). It’s become a thing.

Icon went from a solid advisory at 12z to flakes in the air at 00z

Today was another nice day for a walk here! Mid to low 60s, sunshine, a light breeze, and dewpoints in the 40s. Due largely to the great walking wx, I’ve taken walks every day since Nov 29th per my phone’s fitness ap. According to it over the last 10 years, I’ve never taken anywhere near that many days in a row of walks! Usually something (wx or other) gets in the way at least once a week.

0z GFS keeps even the LSV in the game for the chance of a little snow on Tuesday.

The changes from 12z to 00z on gfs pretty much sums up the last 5+ years here. We get one good run and then it crumbles until verification

so far going back through this winter the temp forecasts have not been very accurate when it comes to 1 how long cold or warm would last and 2 overall temps have busted lower then forecasted many times.

To be fair, December 2021 in December 2023 we’re quite warm and mild for much of the country which was not similar to this month because this month featured colder and sometimes well colder than average temperatures for the eastern third of the US and the northern tier. And of course there were several snow events as well, which is also unlike December 2021 and December 2023. January 20 22 and January 20 24 got off to a rather stormy star, however remain generally stormy and colder for most of the country (although the impact on our snow totals that season is debatable), there was still plenty of cold air and active weather traversing CONUS. My only point in saying this is that the pattern can truly flip on a dime, like it did in those two instances. However, much of the warm and mild conditions during December 2023 in December 2021, I believe, was due to a jet extension which flooded the country with mild Pacific air. This month, there is an omega Ridge over the central US, which might make the pattern flip a bit more delayed and a bit trickier because it will require whole scale changes in the pacific in order to knock that ridge down and allow some storms and cold air to come back across the US. That being said, unlike December 2021 in December 2023, our source region (Canada) remains quite cold and snowy, so anytime the polar vortex becomes a bit disturbed or a ridge forms over the Arctic, it should force the cold air from Canada down into the US. So maybe we will see a big pattern change like January 2022 in January 2024 hopefully

This graphic epitomizes the past 7 years for me....I reside right under that "x"....

It usually means our weather is winter warm, but I can at least live vicariously when they get two 3+ feet snows 3x a week.

It moved north...actually a bit better than 12z for MBY.