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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
Ripe for Miller As? -
Gotcha Jeff the spc now has almost all of middle TN and east TN in marginal risk and slight risk for northern portion of east TN for 5-15% damaging winds and 5% hail also ikr also can’t forget about all of that and the iss haven’t seen anything about the northern lights or anything else yet .
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Just got power back from the storm that came thru yesterday around 6 pm. Had some pea to 1/2" sized hail, a 39 mph gust and 0.32" here, but LOTS of damage pics coming in on facebook. Trees down, powerlines down and several roofs and sheds either blown over/off or damaged. Currently have thunder/lightning and light rain from a dying line moving thru from WV, temp 68.8/66.9 at 10:30 am. Looking at Dominion's outage map, still 800+ without power in the county.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
He and they live and hopefully multiply. Need some damage in the region. Hopefully they can team up in the same year with the gypsies -
Just looked at the euro monthlies, no big surprises. Very canonical east based nino
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Looks very much canonical east based nino. Will be interesting to see how the -pdo base state interacts with it. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Snowedin replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I live in a very swampy area myself so once dusk hits, I know 9 times out of 10 there will be skeeters just randomly buzzing around and a few minutes later, packs of voracious bats pursuing them. At least they’re slowing down a bit now but I’ve had a few bad bites on my shoulders and leg in just the last week alone. -
87/72 yesterday. Backdoor “cool” front off Lake Superior made its way down here in the afternoon and knocked down the dew point. Pretty uncommon to get lake influence here.
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I’ve worked in management for some rich guys before. If one of them had said publicly that he had provided me with all the resources I had asked for, was embarrassed by the results, and considered the performance of the organization to be a threat to his legacy, I wouldn’t expect to keep my job. Elias is a smart cookie. Pretty sure he could read the writing on the wall when Rubenstein made those comments early last month.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Invasive and hostile to stone fruit trees. Squash them. -
They all depict basically the same thing. Hard to parse details with these seasonal products and much of it is up for interpretation. On the new Euro Feb looks a bit more like the CFS at h5 with stronger +heights from Hudson Bay and extending eastward. Is that the result of Pac puke across Canada? Some might say its an impressive NAO block, but its a bit too far south and the height line contours are bending the wrong way.
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Combine the euro cfs and cansips and we probably good lol
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PA is in currently 2nd place for the most tornadoes behind 1998.
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if a super nino can't give us a cool summer then nothing can
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A beautiful weather weekend on tap across the area lasting into the new week. Temperatures will be near normal today before falling to below normal levels tomorrow through Labor Day. We warm to a couple of degrees above normal by mid-week before we turn cooler again by the end of the new work week. We look pretty dry through the week. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A beautiful weather weekend on tap across the area lasting into the new week. Temperatures will be near normal today before falling to below normal levels tomorrow through Labor Day. We warm to a couple of degrees above normal by mid-week before we turn cooler again by the end of the new work week. We look pretty dry through the week. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Honestly I would not expect the Point and Click from our great team at the NWS Mt. Holly to get down to this level of a "backyard" forecast. My forecast uses calculated biases from historical model runs against the actual data from my station over the last 23 years. They have a lot bigger backyard to worry about than EN!!!! -
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super el nino banter thread
forkyfork replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Lava Rock replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
So much for prtly sunny. Clouds, cool, breezy. Can't get rain when its supposed to rn and can't get sun either. Piss off Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk -
Dew point is down. Feels better out there, but not as sunny as I thought it be. Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Overcast 73°F 23°C Humidity 71% Wind Speed N 8 mph Barometer 29.88 in (1011.6 mb) Dewpoint 63°F (17°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Last update 5 Sep 8:51 am EDT
