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I’m just trolling, but the 3k isn’t always north.
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When the NAM is the only Hi res that rains.. you know to toss
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There is some logic in expecting the NAM to be north bias without its ongoing performance… Has to do with a negative north Atlantic oscillation particularly on the western limb. With that being the case the forcing is south so the suppression similar to the GFS is probably a better tele connection for that particular index state.
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2026-2027 El Nino
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
U all ready 2 torch? -
Nam is always north of all of the guidance at this range 228th time stated I guess once in a blue moon it’s right, but most of the time it comes south
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I notice the April likely mean temp departures are going down lately. Tomorrow and Sunday will knock 'em down another notch. Today was gorgeous though, got in a hike on Jayne's Hill and West Hills.
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- april showers bring may..
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A new record through April.
- Yesterday
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91.7 here. No thanks I’m tired of this shit already. 0.01” for the month
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Snowpack is definitely not created equal depending on area. The exact same amount in different areas and the same conditions will do different things.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Game time call. Sounds like his stick hand and ribs are banged up. -
- 847 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
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2026-2027 El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This should even kick off phoons once again,even tho this is 360 hrs out by the GFS from Rossby and plus Kelvin waves. -
A second brief downpour upped me to 0.47” for the day. 1.23” for April.
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Little bit of rain with these latest cells.
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.03 Hopefully the forecast for around an inch tomorrow night into Sunday comes to fruition
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Not a drop.
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Run off NAM parameters and replacing the NAM. post the others that are totally dry
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Nam vs world . Can see the dry air press even on these “wet” runs . 0.00
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Now post 12k and H Rcubed
