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Seems like we went through this about two weeks before Christmas… Back then the models were abandoning winter. Could have a warm period out there as was probably going to be a negative EPO begin to set up… But it would be transient under those circumstances

Almost like if he “only” bargains for 1-3… the coating will magically turn into one. I’ll give him his credit though. He was right about the weekend deal and the NAM runs, but this is a completely different setup. It’s a blossoming coastal, you’re going to want to be east, and likely SE for this one if you want to hang your hat on something more substantial.

Trend friend

I’m mean…

Hope the dental surgery goes very well with a quick recovery. Have the doc give you some nitrous oxide, that will really help you and the appointment will go by quickly. Happy New Year!

Haha. Very!!!

22.3/11.0 at 8:30 pm with STILL NW at 8 gusting to 19 winds. High was 26.2 degrees.

Measured about an hour ago…0.8” of fluffy snow through the day to push my event total to 3.9”. Light snow with the first little clipper has picked back up over the last half hour. We haven’t had too many stretches like this where it just wants to snow in recent years, this is good stuff! Glad the band that flared up this afternoon helped make up for lackluster totals last night to my north.

There was plenty of whining...yes, I do partake at times, but I also contribute a great deal...not like I just spew garbage endlessly.

Hazey might like these runs.

Very timely observation.

I'm done...I vent every now and then, but I'm not carrying on. Just a quick burst this AM.

Just felt I needed to mention a fallen Ski Patroller at Mammoth, Cole Murphy, he got caught in a wet snow avalanche and tragically passed away a few days ago after the conclusion of that massive snowstorm in the Sierra. Mammoth will have greatly reduced operations on Wed Dec 31, 2025 as many team members and friends and family will be honoring him. Perhaps I should from now on be fervently hoping for smaller snow storms up there in light of considerations for the ski crew on those ski resorts who risk their lives every day in order to safeguard all the other resort guests' lives. I got pretty excited about what I saw the last storm cycle but will hold that back for a change. Instead, I hope storms in the Sierra will be smaller and drier in hope of no more avalanches in the future.

Quite a bit more support on the 18z EPS for a bit of snow but its still a longshot

It’s a statistics term that doesn’t mean what the layperson thinks it does. In statistics, significance on a correlation plot doesn’t necessarily mean the relationship between two variables is strong or important. A significance of <5% means a p-value of <0.05 (>95% confidence level), not that the correlation is strong. Two different things.

So you need more evidence to conclude that February and March usually suck in a La Nina??

You hype up every bs event

What happened to 1-4? Meh

We stayed at whatever hotel is first one on right in Pulaski off81 in epic Feb 2007 event

Nailed my spot...8"

Hope this really overperforms for you guys to start out the New Year!

35.5 for high and 29.3 currently

I’ve been the only one sniffing and tracking this for many many days. Most had a fropa . A solid 1-3” event will be great

That’s a pretty big jump. These are the systems that sometimes we score out of no where.