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  2. It may not reach max forecast levels, but it's far from dying. There's another westerly wind burst coming in about a month, which will be the strongest if modeling is correct. After that passes it'll be November and we should have a decent idea about when it weakens and how fast. Probably won't be fast enough in my book unfortunately. Lol
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  4. Significantly stronger vertical wind shear than 2015 and 1997.
  5. Nino is dying . 65-66 is becoming more likely
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  9. Today
  10. Another really impressive thing about this event is how effective it is in shutting down the Atlantic hurricane season. So far it has been at least. Record high wind shear for August. This is following a record high July also. These have led to a record low ACE value in the Atlantic for this date currently.
  11. Nobody knows, but IME usually a significant pattern change comes about with a big storm ushering it in.
  12. It would actually stick and not be a head fake like in May?
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  14. You can always count on it for the fantasy canes
  15. It’ll either be October 20 or November 20. No in between.
  16. Darn, my 90% chance for rain tonight is gone. It's getting dry here again
  17. What a joke of a model. GFS with weenies for all.
  18. Ahhh back to the GFS seasonal love affair with the CAG
  19. The Weather Underground and TWC can't agree on the position of the front. Is it over Erie or Morgantown??? This is important for the next 48 hrs. Absolutely amazing for what is supposed to be high tech in September of 2026.
  20. Fun to look at fantasy range global runs, but will be watching the ensembles for any hints of a tropical hit.
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