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All joking aside a 1-3 or 2-4 type event south of pike is very much on table Sunday night

I actually thought the phase looked a bit better on the 18z ai-euro

This map is close to a bonafide “woof” I’ll really bark once we get it to day 7 lol

Yep

18z EPS improved a bit

It also has a nice CAD event around the 23-24th, which is a time period that’s starting to look fun

Not horrible, I actually though H5 looked better than 12z, but it was a slight step back with snow totals

"Boston’s average temperature sat at 27.6 degrees for the period of Dec. 1 to Feb. 11, tying 1977. But the even colder winter? That honor goes to 1959, which saw an average temp of 27.3 degrees." It's been winterish.

8.2” final, which is absolutely incredible. 122.0” on the season and 2’ snow depth. It’s amazing.

Still does

The runs are actually fine. Ji on his bs

It’s harder to tell what’s AI anymore but this looks real and wild.

Virginia is for snow lovers.

Weak and south wont do it. This has always been about a strong low, which requires a damn near perfect phase at h5, and a perfect LP track, with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. A lot to ask for just to get it to snow moderately. The antecedent airmass is pretty bad.

This according to JI is devastating

18z euro Ai really close to a big dog here. As is still a good run with front end frozen. Solid confluence HP in the lead up This time range is starting to get interesting

Euro AI and Euro are 1% worse, which translates to a small shift on the surface. Basically a hold.

Today was downright chilly! Looking forward to a pretty cold evening walk.

Actually the 16th being forced so far south may be an indicator that our parade of SWFE type systems will also feel the block.

Not much different to me

It sucks…I wanted a good rainstorm to wash away “whatever you want to call it” that’s still on the ground.

I’m confused. Does this mean the skies have not healed?

Despite the 16th being useless, there definitely seems to be a pretty active look going forward. We may play with fire, but lots of chances and lots of cold lurking north next week and beyond.

devastating step backs from the 18z runs......onto 00z---it might be time to call it by 12z tomorrow. The low pressure in the south is just so weak