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Hopefully kids indoors and grilling just inside the garage this weekend in South Weymouth.

Looks like verrry subtly there's a tendency there to weaken the whole weekend morass too - maybe that'll continue and it'll deconstruct into just daily convection around a dying front. Sunday still looks good - seems to be the models are still spraying solutions wrt Saturday. The flow is weak/forcing is weak, so the model physics get more chaotic Before then ...looks a 89.4/91/89.5 "unofficial" low grade heat wave type. First truly elevated DPs though. Even if T's hold to the mid 80s a DP above 65 is a circumstance no one in NE that hasn't traveled has experienced since last summer.

That type of winter would almost certainly be a blowtorch winter in the Eastern US in today's warming climate. All you have to do is look at 2016-17, which was a similar-type winter to 98-99, and that torched in January and February. If not for March, this would have been a low-snow season in Philly and NYC. In places south of Philly, 16-17 was a Top 10 least snowy winter in Baltimore and DC.

The most smoky day yet, the sky is entirely blotted out with the modest orange ball. Now instead of streaks of overcast we have this dreaded blight!

48 for my Marysville low today. I will miss this until it returns hopefully in September.

Let’s get 6z euro to flood Dendrite

Another chilly night, low was 40.5 degrees, close to a record but no cigar (38 in 1994). Currently up to 44.2/43.0 at 7:30 am. It was pretty hazy/smoky yesterday afternoon and evening but doesn't appear as bad this am.

Totally agree. Hopefully humidity will be low and won't be uncomfortable first thing in the morning.

NBM blend wouldn't be awful for most. Not that we need more rain.

Very smoky rain this morning. AQI over 200, visibility under 3 miles. The smell of burnt boreal forest in the air.

Our first 2 days of June have featured temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal levels for the start of June. The good news is this should turn around starting today with temperatures reaching 80 degrees in some of the lower elevation spots across the area. By tomorrow through the rest of the work week we should all see temperatures in the low to mid 80's. Sunny skies most of the week before rain chances increase by Friday night into Saturday. We clear up but turn a bit cooler by Sunday.

Our first 2 days of June have featured temperatures almost 10 degrees below normal levels for the start of June. The good news is this should turn around starting today with temperatures reaching 80 degrees in some of the lower elevation spots across the area. By tomorrow through the rest of the work week we should all see temperatures in the low to mid 80's. Sunny skies most of the week before rain chances increase by Friday night into Saturday. We clear up but turn a bit cooler by Sunday.

May toss the euro for down here but nervous.

Models have lows in the mid 70s Friday morning around NYC, I hope you're all happy! Nothing do I dread more than high minimums. I'd rather have mid 90s every day instead of lows near 80 at night.

I need a dry Saturday in Westchester. That's not looking likely is it?...

50 degree low here this morning

Yeah, the warm up this week turned into more of an over the top one than the models were showing last week. So the warmest departures will be up in Canada like we have been seeing so often. The usual warm spots will see their first 90° potential. But the onshore influence remains east of NYC. June 2 to 9 new run June 2 to 9 old run

I agree with all of this.

I don't remember this smoke from Canada ever in my 46 years of life. Maybe the haze in the 90's was smoke? I'm definitely not saying it's some conspiracy. I'd like to know why now and never before. Or was i just not noticing it years ago? Cloudy with thick smoke and 56

Yup. Yesterday was last day till mid autumn

The global temperatures that I am citing are directly related to the ones experienced across the CONUS. The days are long past when the concept of a warming climate remains an abstraction. Now it dictates the ranges of winter temperatures and patterns along with other seasons.This is why the winters across the globe and the CONUS are much warmer with each new jump in global temperatures. The idea is that these baseline jumps in temperatures are permanent across the globe. But the door is always open for very high end volcanic activity which would shift us back temporarily to colder regimes of the past. Though after a number of years we would revert warmer again. This storm track shift to warmer and further north is still a work in progress after 7 seasons with the record low snowfall totals. I think it’s possible the there could be some shift in the way the Pacific is warming which could lead to benchmark snowstorm tracks returning from time to time. But I don’t think it’s very likely the record 2010-2018 with the 50 to 100 year concentration of KU Benchmark tracks will return absent major volcanism. Through the 1970s the world was still in a much colder climate. This allowed the CONUS to have the #1 coldest winter since 1895 in 1978-1979. The CONUS also experienced their 7th coldest winter in 1977-1978 and 12th coldest in 1976-1977. The Northeast recorded their #5 coldest winter in 1976-1977 and 11th coldest in 1977-1978. Our first baseline jump in temperatures across the world occurred in 1982-1983. Across the CONUS the coldest winters of this era were 1983-1984 at #18 and 1984-1985 at #19 coldest. For the Northeast the coldest winter of this era was 1993-1994 which ranked as #13 coldest since 1895. The next global baseline jump in temperatures occurred in 1997-1998 and was much larger than 1982-1983. So the coldest CONUS winter of this era was 2009-2010 which ranked at #22 coldest since 1895. The coldest Northeast winter of this era was 2014-2015 which ranked as #22 coldest. Another major baseline temperature jump happened in 2015-2016. So the coldest winter of this era was 2018-2019 at #84 coldest for the CONUS. The most recent even larger baseline jump in temperatures started in 2023-2024. Our coldest CONUS winter so far was 2024-2025 at #104 coldest. This past winter was also the 27 warmest on record for the CONUS even with the coldest temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere focusing into the CONUS in January. But December was so warm for the CONUS at #4 warmest that is balanced out the winter average to much warmer.

There's a large area of below normal SSTs east of us into SE Canada while drought conditions are present in the plains and western regions. I wonder if modeled heat waves in the LR will keep getting muted for our region because of this.

It was nice for like 3 hours between the morning rain and then the stinger on the back end, and then misery mist the rest of the day, even for central areas. So phail overall except for maybe the bluefish in Nantucket sound. It's not going to be great in either nne or sne this weekend. One gets drenched, the other gets clouds with frequent showers.

Yeah, looks like a brief warm up this week before we get another cooler weekend with onshore flow and rain. So a continuation of the May theme into June. The upper low keeps returning to the Northeast.

February 1983 Megalopolis event was very good for my area (about 18"), but January 2016 was a fringe job....I got like 2" of pixie dust. Too bad the southeast ridging wasn't as strong in this "new climate" as it was back in 1983 ; )