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May and June that year was really cold. I don't think it reached 96 in those months (I know it did in July and September). Of course, there was the freeze on May 18.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Who knows, maybe we'll get a nice rainstorm/mud season in October this time, when the high school football season is in full swing. -
2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Same thing with the strong la ninas. 1916-17 was the only one in the first 100+ years post-1850. (Coincidentally, 1917 was the year when global average temperature hit a minimum.) Since then, we've had strong la ninas in 1955-56, 1973-74, 1975-76, 1988-89, 1998-2000, 2007-08, and 2010-11. -
2026-2027 El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Are we sure these correlations apply in this new regime? If we look at April 1997, it was 5th coldest on record, but this year seems destined for back to back record warm months. The NBM numbers would bring us up to about +5.5F (1991-2020 climo) by the 18th/19th timeframe, whereas the current record is +3.4 in 2006. -
Early summer vibes!
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My water bills are looking to be outrageously high, but I have no choice if I want to keep the grass healthy.
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Pre-El Nino Summers have a pretty good correlation at being below average, especially around the Great Lakes -
SSGWDLT
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not in March. The DJFM NAO was close to +0.60, sustaining the decadal +NAO state Me and Ray said the AO would be lower than the NAO. That happened, the DJFM AO was -0.25 It's more accurate to say the AO cooperated this Winter -
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2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What I find interesting about the global average temperature, is that it has gone exponential, when mostly La Nina's have occurred since 1998. Per RONI, 5 of the last 6 years (20-26) have been La Nina. Per RONI, 7 of the last 10 years (16-26) have been La Nina. Per RONI, 11 of the last 19 years (07-26) have been La Nina. Per RONI, 15 of the last 28 years (98-26) have been La Nina. That's >50% La Nina since 1998. More than 50% of years have been La Nina since 1998. Had it been 33-33-33, global average temperature would have been higher over that time! The quick re-hit of Strong El Nino this year is going to push us back closer to the long term Neutral ENSO mark. -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Lack of understanding what ENSO is if it's constantly pointed out that Weak-Moderate is better than Strong+. I'm not talking about its orientation changing. It's funny how a few analogs can make people prisoner of expectation. Logic test: What's a super La Nina like? -
November? We all will be burned down to nothingness by then. This is beyond ridiculous.
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2 meter T/NAM graphics were just a non product it was so bad. Not sure what the MET had ... I seem to recall 67 at BDL ( I routinely check there, KFIT and KASH because that arc includes me), and 63 at KASH but don't quote me. I only glanced and tossed 'em. 77 was the high in town here and 76 at the Oxbow ob 2 mi as the crow flies/NWS site. bad. They may actually do better tomorrow in the d-slope.
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High of 76 after a low of 44.
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Made it to 74 today - gorgeoues day,
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- april showers bring may..
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73.2° for a high. Still 71° despite clouds.
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we underachieved temp wise for the city last few days even with bright sunshine..
- 295 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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Sell that as high as you can
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I’m assuming everyone will be installing this weekend with a week of 80’s..
