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It looks like most places in North Carolina outside of the immediate coast and CLT and the southern Piedmont and GSO have gone below 40 this season.

Yep, BUT figuring out how to win being down 10 with 8-9 minutes left in the game does say something. I KNEW there was no way UVA was gonna cover a 17 point spread lol. If you are/were a betting person that was an EASY pick, to not cover. Wa ST isn't a bad team, I can see them going 7-5 and bowling with their remaining schedule, heck they almost pulled off a win at then #4 Ol Miss the week before.

GFS is later with the big cold, but still doesn’t deny it’s comingg

Plentiful 30s this morning in North Carolina

I know of WindBorne. When I heard about what they do, this thought went through my mind. That’s wild.

Chemtrail right through the windshield

Winston got down to 39 this morning, but GSO only got down to 42.

Looks like boredom until the Christmas week screaming Sou'Easter

The old weather balloon excuse, right out of the Roswell playbook...

Rumors of a Sandy redux may be exaggerated, but something big is brewing around Halloween and All Saints Day.

11 hours too late for my forecast but them’s the breaks.

Wish the Euro/ EPS had something

Local media and social media pundits are banging the "cold and snowy" drum; with a lot of comparison to 2013-14. Would def take the Dec/Jan of that season again.

That’s pretty wild

0.79", with about half coming from a 5-minute downpour in mid afternoon. Eight miles WNW, West Farmington cocorahs reported 1.42". They must've had 10-15 minutes in the RA++.

http://AO PV Blog Summary The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is currently negative to near neutral and is predicted to oscillate around neutral and possibly go negative again the next two weeks as pressure/geopotential height anomalies across the Arctic are currently mostly mixed and are predicted to remain mostly mixed to mostly positive the next two weeks. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is currently negative as positive pressure/geopotential height anomalies dominate across Greenland, and the NAO is predicted to oscillate around neutral the next two weeks as pressure/geopotential height anomalies are predicted to mostly mixed to positive across Greenland. The next two weeks, weak ridging/positive geopotential height anomalies across Greenland will support transient troughing/negative geopotential height anomalies downstream across much of Europe. The progressive flow pattern will support normal to above normal temperatures across Europe including the United Kingdom (UK) with a brief flip to normal to below normal temperatures first across much of Europe including the UK next week. Ridging/positive geopotential height anomalies are predicted to dominate Asia with the exception of troughing/negative geopotential height anomalies across Eastern Asia the next two weeks. This pattern favors normal to above normal temperatures across most of Asia with the exception of normal to below normal temperatures regionally across Eastern Asia the next two weeks. The general predicted pattern across North America the next two weeks is widespread ridging/positive geopotential height anomalies centered on Eastern Canada with troughing/negative geopotential height anomalies along the west coast of North America and the Eastern United States (US). This patten will favor widespread normal to above normal temperatures across Alaska, much of Canada and the US with the exceptions of normal to below normal temperatures in the Eastern US this week and then next week normal to below normal temperatures will sweep into the West Coasts of Canada and the US and then eventually in the Eastern US. I continue discussing my thoughts about the upcoming pattern across the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and continue with some preliminary predictors for the upcoming winter polar vortex (PV) and weather. Plain Language Summary So far for October, it is a tale of two continents, extremely mild in North America and fairly widespread cold across Eurasia, especially in Southeast Asia, Siberia and focused now in Mongolia (see Figure). It has also been chilly in Central Asia and in Europe, especially in Southeast Europe (see Figure). No joke but Mongolia has the most resilient winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere. It has been a forgettable month of October for me here in Boston but at least for me the cold is where it should be in October. And the forecast can be summarized as mild weather reigns supreme (see Figures 3, 6 and 9). Longer term Greenland blocking could become established in early November that could finally bring cooler weather to North America and re-establish some colder weather across northern Eurasia. I am also closely watching the snow cover advance across Siberia this month, a rapid advance suggests a more severe winter and a slower advance a milder winter.

Not every day a passenger jet smokes a weather balloon… https://onemileatatime.com/news/united-boeing-737-hit-weather-balloon-cracking-windshield-bruising-pilot/?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR5AqWqARKi7Vtyd8XP1QnL6YIpIPy3yxK1sQL2Bkk4Q9Dm78GXKB2kgWqDzGw_aem_nQyt_Obm5uU4t4q4YpI1cg

what a rarity. the jack zone is actually north of DC!

The 12Z position is estimated to be near 14.3N, 71.3W, per this:AL, 98, 2025102112, , BEST, 0, 143N, 713W, 45, 1003, LOThus we now know with more confidence that the 6Z GFS’ 6 hour position near 14.3N, 70.4W is ~60 miles too far east. It’s likely going to be designated as TS Melissa at 11AM per this: ```AL, 13, 2025102112, , BEST, 0, 143N, 713W, 45, 1003, TS, 34, NEQ, 100, 70, 0, 40, 1009, 150, 35, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, MELISSA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 035, TRANSITIONED, alB82025 to al132025,``` Melissa’s center is on the W edge of the convection meaning nearly half naked as has been expected initially while the shear is strong.

Five years ago today I woke up to this. 7.9” at MSP the 2nd largest October snowfall on record.

Damp and chilly today. First sub 50 high of the season likely.

Some areas in western and northern New England will get a decent drink again tonight. Stein slowly releasing his webbed hands from Dendrite's crotch.

I may have to lock in the Canadian just because. I'm so sick of the boredom.