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This will have to be very wrong if the torch is real . Eerily reminiscent of December

Someone else posted it. Thanks anyways.

I remember that scenario from I think 2023 or was it 2022. I did look at the euro AI which has a couple of minor events until something potentially bigger towards the 15th or 14th maybe. Then something that looks like it wants to cut on the 16th or 17th.

Looking forward to increasing my YTD total to 7.1". 9 more of these storms and my seasonal total will equal what MYB got this morning.

We definitely don’t need this type of airmass for sure, but if it’s like 540 thickness into NNE as a low approaches then that’s not ideal either. I just hope we can get back to airmasses that are serviceable.

Hmmm, I sense a bizarre correlation!

I can already see my yard again. lol.

34.9°. This is nuts! I’m going to make a run at 40. On the bright side, leaf blowing the driveway last night worked well and the sun is doing some work.

It could. But it doesn’t always. Sometimes the NAO will link up with a SE ridge which will torch us. We’ll have to wait and see as we get closer.

Some photos of the Hudson River this morning. Note: I edited out the intrusive light posts from the Henry Hudson Parkway on the photo looking toward the George Washington Bridge.

I don't have to. That's Huntingdon. Just in NC.

ORH was -2.9F edit: ninja’d by Will

BOS was -1.9F on their January departure. But it was def an outlier compared to other parts of SNE. ORH -2.9 PVD -2.8 BDL -3.1

They were -1.9F

But what about Bering vortex paired with -nao? Wouldn’t nao help maintain highs to dam and or force redevelopment?

There are legit risks for a true mild spell mid-month. I wouldn’t be going all Torch Tiger yet about it due to the -NAO blocking throwing a wrench in there, but we shouldn’t pretend it’s just going to disappear automatically. Bering vortex is a very warm signal usually.

Hard to believe that Boston was only 0.4 degrees F below normal for January. I'm sure many suburbs around the city were much colder than that.

All the models show some milder weather as we head into February . A nice thaw. Hopefully it doesn't last long .

All Good points. The tenor marches on.

Lets take one weak ass event at a time, okay?

Did you check the ensembles for that time period? We don't really go by op models beyond day 5-7 or so

850 was a big component for the snows over Charlotte and Triad. Strength and placement-

I believe we will get warmer..And that’s actually a good thing. Don’t need 13 degree highs and below zero lows. As Will said…if we are near climo in the heart of winter, it’s not a bad thing at all. I’ll take my chances with that look in February.

I've been lurking for years (had an older account that I couldn't remember my password) and rarely post, but I would like to say: I temporarily moved in with my folks last week, because my father's fight with brain cancer is nearing it's end. 20 year Special Forces medic and range instructor, loving husband, amazing father and best friend to me, who has fought this whole time like a mf. All of you folks have kept me distracted from the down times here and have been a huge help, wether you know it or not. Cashing in on a little snow this weekend while making Pops laugh and spending quality time has been EVERYTHING. I'll remember this week for the rest of my life. Thank you.

https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/2018005302247931955?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg