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You have one of the most studied watersheds in America in your backyard relatively speaking. 1966. Produced some of the most cited and best done hydrology research in the world to this day. https://www.tucson.ars.ag.gov/icrw/Proceedings/Gburek.pdf They have minute by minute rainfall data since the 1960s!!! Only a handful of places in world have that Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Oh they can, and have. Location! Mostly east of me but there have been plenty of 6-10" events here in Nina winters since 2017. I root for Ninas now. Sure there is always the chance of a ratter with a persistent SER but lately most have been on the cold side.

Those who know, does that complex coming out of Canada make it into eastern SNE for later this afternoon/evening? Does it hold together like that storm that barged across the Midwest yesterday?

Nope the park hits 100 easily im not that type to hype shit but this has the makings of an historic heatwave

Maybe for you, but rain is never a lock here. Personally, I've given up on snow around here. There hasn't been a 6" snowstorm in Stephens City since 2016. I watched it sleet for hours this year at 11F. Outside of some miraculous fluke, a true snowstorm here is a thing of the past.

Then we had July 2018 when the GFS was trying to paint 110s in the region with the overmixing. Ended up being high 90s over mid 70s dews. Pick your poison there.

What I mean is the elevation is accounting for less than 10% of that difference. Everything else is due to what type of area it was placed it, canopy location, if it had good radiation shielding, if it used an aspirator, location of it to buildings, decks, house, rows. Realistically elevation is almost certainly less than 5% of the difference Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

ahh... good snark needs to have some truth to it... Not sure you're on point this time. Ha. Seriously. 100? It's not as common to reach that. Perhaps that's getting easier in recent decades. Granted. Almost has to. But even in these later decades, we're not doing it often enough to justify snark. It's coming though. Much to the chagrin of the assholes that will one day actually be dying from heat while setting confused emojis to anyone that dares talk about it.. that's unavoidable.

Day 3 marginal risk issued for parts of Ky sc nc al Ms and ga .

Perfect track rainstorms

Are they good for nor easters? I’ve missed having big storms in general.

naso sure we get enough sun/mix enough to hit the mid 90s today

That’s a fully developed MCS with a nice trailing cold pool. Could survive the trek, we’ll see .

I your defense... I remember these summers since 2020 as having 101's on the car dash driving around during heat waves. Depended on where one was. It was like that kind of quantum oscillated away from the tarmacs to hide it, heat. hahaha. Anyway, point being ...when your 98 in a lazily flag waving sear, it's sort of like "close enough" ? That sort of puts this thing in coming up a notch because good luck hiding from this. Ineedsnowcocaine'll be all giddy to tell us how his elevated wooded residence is only 94 so I guess it fails, huh - 2021 had a June bizarre kind of DP heat wave. It was 93/81 ... I remember this specifically because both my kitchen refrigerator and my main living area window AC both crapped the bed literally within the same hour at the apex of that motherfucker. It was like the week after the solstice. Holy hell. and of course... because it was afoot, I had to skulk around the country side for hours to find both on emergency. I pulled it off though. Sat in a blast of cold AC air stream by 8 pm that night, and the refrigerator was picked up the following afternoon.

Forky's head will pop off in delight if EWR hits 107

Yeah EWR has to hit 107+ for the park to hit 100. My call is 98 .

Not sure why models are weakening this but sure does look good.. lots of tornado and severe warnings with it

Maybe I lied…close but no cigar in 2024. I know it was modeled. But 98-99…similar deal.

BDL at least 89. Probably 90 so day 1 should be in books

Wait, you guys have running HVAC systems?

Showers into the HV maybe touching N-NJ otherwise clouds pushing south. 2nd 90 of the heatwave here

It may be that we've been "playing with fire" ( n'yuk n'yuk ) in having missed this kind of multi-day integrated heat type. I mean seriously.

This would be the 3rd straight summer pulling hundies.

I would think both as long as it doesn't pull any of the cooled air out-attics can get to 130+ easily

How dare it get to 100F in summer