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  2. Had a high yesterday of 92°.... Got done with the yard work just in time as thunderstorm followed with 0.27" rain and 39 mph gust .
  3. Yea that’s a TS by looks on IR and vis satellite. Should get a name imminently.
  4. This -PDO being driven by the warm SST anomalies from Japan to north of Hawaii since 2019 is something new for us. The pattern has lead to warmer winters and record low snowfall due to the storm track through the Great Lakes and a faster Northern Stream of the Pacific Jet. Very amplified Aleutian Ridges have become the norm. It has also resulted in the Greenland blocking linking up with the Southeast Ridge. So strong subtropical ridges across the Pacific and Atlantic basins. The previous extended -PDO interval from 2007 to 2013 was more defined by the cold pool west of North America and a weaker warm pool east of Japan. Much weaker Aleutian Ridges and no Southeast Ridge in the East. So we didn’t have the Greenland blocking linking up with the Southeast Ridge. During the extended -PDO phase from 1950 to 1976 there was also a much weaker Aleutian Ridge along with much cooler SSTs in both basins. So there wasn’t any linkage between the Greenland blocking and Southeast Ridge.
  5. Not in York yet, a couple more weeks, still in Mass on the CT border so I see CT fireworks too.
  6. Enjoy this great weather folks, looks like we get days of rain beginning next Tuesday?
  7. How was it so cold in 1978? Raining all day? What was the low Chris? I don't see the high at JFK in this list, was it 65+ there?
  8. Wow I wonder what they would have recorded on July 22, 2011.... In 2010 we maxed out in the low 100s here (three days).
  9. The biggest anomalies in the extended could still be over SNE. Sites are already +5 to +7 coming in to today with big + anomalies Sun and Mon. BDL will probably be safe because the sensor is finally fixed but top 5 is still in play in most places. It only takes a few cool days to ruin it though.
  10. We need more rain like we need an STD. My goodness, it’s been feast or famine over the last several years.
  11. Looking good on the latest imagery. I would imagine it will be classified as a TD/weak TS at 11am.
  12. For you and nne, sure. Still AN for sne but that’s par for the course these days. We can forecast AN every warm season month and look like a genius.
  13. If you were looking SSW from York probably Portsmouth...between 9:15-9:45 or so. Actually may be the last time they have them here due to budget cuts. Would need a private donor to pay for it.
  14. Enjoy the 4th, all I got .15” rain yesterday in that little pop up storm.
  15. Happy 4th again! Below is an analysis of our climate here in Chester County for Independence Day. As you can see overall in our 132 years of weather records back to 1893 we have seen an overall slight cooling of our high temperatures and a slight warming of our low temperatures. Not surprisingly our average temperatures on the 4th of July have remained mighty constant with no warming or cooling on average over the last 13 decades of weather observations.
  16. Happy 4th again! Below is an analysis of our climate here in Chester County for Independence Day. As you can see overall in our 132 years of weather records back to 1893 we have seen an overall slight cooling of our high temperatures and a slight warming of our low temperatures. Not surprisingly our average temperatures on the 4th of July have remained mighty constant with no warming or cooling on average over the last 13 decades of weather observations.
  17. Looked like a decent chance of rain a hour ago, gonna rain itself out before it makes it here. Sigh
  18. Today
  19. Saw some last night, couldn't tell from what town, should be more tonight. I live on top of a hill so I can see them from all directions.
  20. overnight low of 61, very nice. currently 75/54.
  21. Happy 4th of July to all of you! It should be an outstanding day for all of your outdoor activities with family and friends. Several of our colder spots had low temperatures this morning in the pleasant 50's. Tonight we should see even more spots reaching the 50's for lows by morning. Today we will see much of the day with temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's - this is a couple of degrees below normal for the 4th of July. We start a slow warming trend tomorrow with our warmest day looking to be Monday with highs into the upper 80's. Still no 90 plus days in our future...in fact in looking at some of the longer-range models we might not see such a day through at least July 20th! The weather gets a bit unsettled with some shower chances almost each day of the new week - although no wash outs!
  22. Happy 4th of July to all of you! It should be an outstanding day for all of your outdoor activities with family and friends. Several of our colder spots had low temperatures this morning in the pleasant 50's. Tonight we should see even more spots reaching the 50's for lows by morning. Today we will see much of the day with temperatures in the upper 70's to low 80's - this is a couple of degrees below normal for the 4th of July. We start a slow warming trend tomorrow with our warmest day looking to be Monday with highs into the upper 80's. Still no 90 plus days in our future...in fact in looking at some of the longer-range models we might not see such a day through at least July 20th! The weather gets a bit unsettled with some shower chances almost each day of the new week - although no wash outs!
  23. Surprising lack of interest on this. I guess that’s what we get when everyone becomes a model junkie… As if very close proximity to CONUS wasn’t enough, I’m seeing the bulk of ensemble members on GEFS/EPS with a landfall within 84 hrs (assuming it gets named) on the east coast.
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