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anotherman started following Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
anotherman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Who are you thinking for his replacement? Rhule? Joe Brady? Cignetti? -
3k without power now on long Island and tides are now rising. Fire island go bye bye i bet
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Ya, just responding to the guy who said they didn’t update the AFD…so who knows.
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Dude! Where's my car?
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Giggidy.
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When looking at the hours, the winds are in fact increasing from south west to north east it would seem
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To date, among the emerging cases that could provide insight into Winter 2025-2026 temperatures is 2021 (ENSO, RONI, QBO, IOD, and PDO). Consistent with the lack of statistical relationship between ACE and winter temperatures/snowfall, ACE isn't considered. Solar flux is also a mismatch (suggesting perhaps a milder version of 2021-2022), but for now this is an emerging case. The evolution of the North Pacific SSTAs and continuing evolution of ENSO will be important factors. Here's the fall 2025 outlook using 2021: Fall 2025 (through October 10): Winter 2025-2026 using 2021-2022: ECMWF DJF Forecast: -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No rain to speak of here. 56f humidity 95% dewpoint 55f Wind NE gusting to near 40 mph. -
Really nasty out there now. 0.92 and winds roaring
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Who knows how his station is mounted.
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724 p.m. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BOX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
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Yep. I've been telling folks here how behind we are getting on the first frost.
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Yeah sad to see the changes. Descriptive and knowledgeable AFDs are the best part of the NWS (or were).
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Back in your hood:
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What? They issue AFDs like 4 times a day or used to? You hear from the NWS when it’s partly cloudy or when it’s a big deal. That is/was the value of it. I read the man updates almost daily and I bet many on here do too.
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Total US Customers Out 46,706 Outages by State Outages by Utility North Carolina 8,951 New Jersey 6,822 Massachusetts 3,223 Pennsylvania 3,107 New York 2,967
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Supposedly over 3000 in union NJ with out power right now
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Ill fix my post.... I understand its a gradient squeeze. Trust me, I do. Apologies, im about to watch many neighborhoods get exceptionally wet here, as this system doesnt necessarily deepen, but the net results worsen. If I didnt look at the surface map you posted, id describe an incredibly different situation.
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I was surprised at how high the water levels were in Bayside Queens, along little neck bay. Surveyed them around 4:30, and then around 7-8 during low tide. Even at low tide, the water was covering about 1/4th of the jetty along Bayside marina. Very rough waters out there, some gusts to 40 mph this evening. Just rainy and breezy away from the water, but along north Queens shoreline it’s a totally different story.
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Strongest wind of the day now. Couple solid house shakers.
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52 with some mist. Gusting to 21 here.
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This was not overplayed along the coast. Meeting expectations at a minimum. Especially for NJ beaches. LI power outages nothing to sneeze at either.
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