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Whats the difference between Miami and Jacksonville..... Jacksonville is further north but gets hotter in the summer, why?

Beautiful sunrise this morning. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

It will probably be like Miami. Looking at a linear regression of 90F+ days, we can see an increase from 31 to 117 such days since 1960. In 1972, there were only 3 days at or above 90F for the entire year! So it went from about one month of 90s to about 1/3 of the calendar year in the 90s.

I always had this benchmark for high heat going back to the early 90s.... if we hit 80 by 10 AM we stand a decent chance of having the high hit 90. if we hit 90 by 10 AM we stand a decent chance of having the high hit 100. It worked well in the 90s and even in years like 2010 and 2011 too, but not since then because of onshore flow =\

Maybe, there were some inside runners, too.

we have decent lapse rates today, maybe we can get a strong storm or two later

what is a "Pit8"

Man, we hate analytics, the three most boring outcomes has made the game very very hard to watch (similar to basketball). Thats a completely different topic though.

Maybe because of the warmer Great Lakes?

Well, that is interesting, as the Atlantic seems to be warmer closer to the East Coast and the Gulf. Plenty of SST juice if seasonal models are correct , already those areas are above normal. Threats may have shorter lead times and develop closer to the EC and the Gulf, but why does the superblend not indicate that, I am not sure at this time.

It's going to happen anyway, it's beyond our control :-(

Just hit 80 here - going to be close for first 90 here and 2nd other spots.

It was a dry winter in general, but it was wasn't dry over the lakes as it was along the east coast.

To clarify, I was referring to the mean high temperature for all of meteorological summer. As an example, a linear regression for Newark shows an increase in mean summer highs from 82.9F to 85.8F between 1960 & 2024. So the mean summer high should reach into the upper 80s over the next couple decades, at which time, July averages would probably be near 90F.

Yes, we in the lowlands are blessed to have late-arriving summers. But it sounds like you just can't beat @wxdude64 in VA with temps and dews both in the 50s. Beautiful. Clear, blue sky here at mid morning.

It was amazing meeting you in person. Usually it's not quite that busy for myself at lunch. June & July can get a bit nuts due to budget. Fun fact, like 8-9 years ago, not long after I started I had a group of 25 house and Senate representatives walk him to the bar at 1145 and proceed to order 2 shots of Blanton's each. At 1.5oz that's 75oz; each bottle being 25.31oz they kicked the 3 bottles we had in stock in 15 minutes, just as we closed. We used to have a copy of the $900 bill tacked to wall on the office. Regardless, when I asked if they were celebrating getting the budget passed they said no, that they were actually at an impasse and thought this may help. Apparently the liquor did the job, as I read the next day that they reached a deal within an hour of leaving. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Interesting "dry" look to the western Atlantic/Caribbean as the heart of hurricane season approaches.

Low of 64. I wonder if MDT can make a run at its first 90 of the year today.

You keep saying this but outside of the lake effect snow belts, this area had a dry winter which is very uncharacteristic of a Nina winter. The Nina winters that are dry here are usually the ones that have the giant vortex over Alaska that keeps the entire country mild. This past winter obviously didn’t have anything close to that.

Can’t wait for Pit8

Feels like DC summer is fully set in here in the inner burbs.

Yeah. We saw the -PDO hold in what was I believe technically a super Nino. So it’s not like it’s never happened before during a very -PDO regime.

To be honest, it hasn't been all that hot so far this year with all the rain, and cloud cover. What it has been though is HUMID!

DP up to 66 this a.m. Temp about 68. Summer knocking on the door.

Congrats Eeyore. Enjoy bro you deserve it.