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Its over lol. Changes must be made tho. Ridiculous this is how it ends.

I’m feeling pretty good about this. I would favor the lower end for Boston and the higher end for NYC because of how December played out, but I don’t see any reason to deviate from the general idea of a great winter but not historic (eg 95-96, 14-15, 10-11) in terms of snow totals. Cold air has not been an issue, and there are signs the pattern could turn more stormy in early Jan with hints that the STJ will become more active.

Blizzard to the north of me, tornadoes to the south, here I am, stuck in the middle with you

Henry on the bench for the last 12 mins of the game last week sealed it. The AFC championship game where he refused to run the ball was the 'hint' that he had no fucking clue what this team was about. Wrong guy.

Def seems like blizzard conditions will occur along the Lake Michigan shoreline in Western Michigan on Monday. Locally, the highest winds may not quite coincide with the best snows. Probably end up with an advisory IMBY.

UVA wins, Caps win, I'll take it.

I think it’s over. Although Henry should have gone down before the end zone.

FIRE MUTHAFUCKING MONKEN. Thank you.

I’ve been quite curious about what phases the MJO would be in during the heart of the widespread historic US warmth of late Dec, Dec 23-27. We needed to wait due to several days of reporting lag. Would any of it be in typically chilly in the E 1/2 of the US phase 8? Well, now we have the answer for the first 3 days, Dec 23-25: none of those first 3 days were in phase 8. It turns out that Dec 23-4 were in very weak phase 7 while Dec 25 was in very weak phase 6, which I consider intuitive: 2025 12 23 -0.28945175 0.37228486 7 0.47157007 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind 2025 12 24 -0.12800699 0.45807526 7 0.47562456 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind 2025 12 25 0.16766728 0.36077648 6 0.39783412 Gottschalk10_method:_OLR_&_ACCESS_wind Based on a combo of the above diagram and a related adjustment to the model prog consensus, I’m predicting that Dec 26th will be in very weak 4 and Dec 27th will be in either weak 3 or weak 2. Will we get back into phase 8 before the end of Dec? The GEFS, JMA, and CFS with my adjustments suggest likely not whereas the adjusted Euro suggests there’s a chance for at least one day of weak 8 then. Will we get back into phase 8 in early Jan? As of now there’s a moderate chance of mainly a weak 8, but that’s all I can say right now due to model disagreement and it being too far out for a confident prediction.

To answer the previous poster's question, these are averages I worked out previously, for each 30-year interval (except I added 1869 and 1870 to the 1871-1900 interval). These are monthly averages for both precip and snowfall ... the general trend for snowfall seems to be that 1991-2020 returned close to the peak value set by the earliest interval, or exceeded it (Feb), and in most cases 1931-1960 or 1961-1990 had the lowest 30-year average. For December however, the peak average was 1931-1960 and the recent rebound was not as robust as for Jan or Feb. Not part of this discussion but it is clear also that average precip has increased considerably for most months in the 1991-2020 interval. It should be added that if one extended 1991-2020 to 1991-2025, it would probably not be as robust a recovery for snowfall, the averages would fall back closer to the lower thirty-year intervals. Month ___ 1869-1900 ____ 1901-30 _______ 1931-60 _______ 1961-90 ______ 1991-2020 ___ all data JAN ______ 3.60 _ 9.0 ___ 3.40 _ 7.4 ___ 3.29 _ 6.1 ___ 3.50 _ 7.6 ___ 3.48 _ 8.7 ____ 3.49 _ 7.8 FEB ______ 3.64 _ 9.0 ___ 3.69 _ 9.4 ___ 2.84 _ 6.8 ___ 3.29 _ 8.5 __ 3.19 _10.2____ 3.33 _ 8.8 MAR _____ 3.75 _ 5.9 ___ 3.76 _ 5.1 ___ 4.01 _ 5.4 ____ 4.13 _ 3.3 ___ 4.29 _ 5.0 ____ 3.99 _ 4.9 APR ______ 3.03 _ 1.1 ___ 3.79 _ 1.3 ___ 3.44 _ 0.9 ___ 4.31 _ 0.4 ___ 4.09 _ 0.8 ____ 3.72 _ 0.8 MAY ______3.13 _ 0.0 ___ 3.50 _ 0.0 ___ 3.67 _ 0.0 ___ 4.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.96 _ 0.0 ____ 3.73 _ 0.0 (Tr) JUN _______3.12 _ 0.0 ___ 3.74 _ 0.0 ___ 3.31 _ 0.0 ___ 3.69 _ 0.0 ___ 4.54 _ 0.0 ____ 3.67 _ 0.0 JUL _______ 4.60 _ 0.0 ___ 4.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.70 _ 0.0 ___ 4.35 _ 0.0 ___ 4.60 _ 0.0 ____ 4.34 _ 0.0 AUG ______ 4.42 _ 0.0 ___ 4.42 _ 0.0 ___ 4.44 _ 0.0 ___ 4.16 _ 0.0 ___ 4.55 _ 0.0 ____ 4.40 _ 0.0 SEP _______ 3.59 _ 0.0 ___ 3.45 _ 0.0 ___ 3.86 _ 0.0 ___ 3.95 _ 0.0 ___ 4.31 _ 0.0 ____ 3.83 _ 0.0 OCT _______ 3.51 _ 0.0 ___ 4.02 _ 0.0 ___ 3.14 _ 0.0 ___ 3.56 _ 0.1 ___ 4.38 _ 0.1 ____ 3.72 _ 0.0 (Tr) NOV ______ 3.63 _ 1.8 ___ 2.66 _ 0.2 ___ 3.39 _ 1.1 ___ 4.53 _ 0.4 ___ 3.58 _ 0.5 ____ 3.56 _ 0.8 DEC _______3.07 _ 6.1 ___ 3.77 _ 6.2 ___ 3.25 _ 6.5 ___ 3.91 _ 3.3 ___ 4.27 _ 5.1 ____ 3.65 _ 5.5 year _____43.10 _33.0__ 44.64 _29.6__42.34 _26.9__47.82 _23.5__49.40 _29.9___45.43 _28.6

36.3/33.8 at 10:45 pm. Forecast low for the night from NWS is 36....

To be fair, before the interception they were still in it. And even with that, I’m still not convinced. The Ravens are like the 2010 Boxin…

Wow ! 69 here. The December Record may have been in early December 1982. There was a 4 (Either 3 or 4 memory failing some)day stretch of Record Highs in the Upper 70's @ KTRI. That was a wild Month. Major Snowfall the 12th(6-10). An inch the 21st then 72 Christmas Day in Pennington gap here in Lee County, Va.

0z GFS has bumped up its total for MSP. .

Ummm…. No

Willis has 18 completions on 21 attempts. That’s pathetic defense.

I think the two main things to worry about is how quickly things change from rain to snow in the morning and how much of the backside of the band pivots over us tomorrow night. .

Lol. That it was .

I’m a fan of using change in snow depth maps vs Kuchera. Still puts down 7-10” across the metro.

Blew past the record high today at 78. Not sure what the all time December record is, but I bet we were close. I’m sick of this. Someone please bring winter back.

The Pack has scored 24 points in 10 mins of possession. I think they might still be in it.

I’m keeping my expectations in check with a ~6” storm, but it’s hard not to think big given model trends. NWS write up on this one will be a good read for sure.

The Packers fan wasn’t wrong pushing Flowers out of the stands.

That should do it gentlemen

I said what I said