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Gfs is even closer now..... Euro ai still very consistent still.

Seems to happen every August that goes dry

Forecast keeps changing for tonight partly cloudy or mostly cloudy?

Islands continuing to get lashed by the outer bands of Erin

We kind of do . May be too far NNE. Maybe nothing close to that scenario happens . Just looking for something that might not be thought of . Hoping for some kind of excitement and expecting Stein and calm

Hanging tough here at .5 for the month. I saw some clouds though.

8:00 PM AST Sat Aug 16 Location: 20.0°N 64.6°W Moving: W at 15 mph Min pressure: 934 mb Max sustained: 150 mph

But we don’t have a strong HP to the north?

There she is

Seen them on my drive to work this week on Franklin Lakes, NJ. Tonight's storm that skimmed the nj/ny line

Picked up .08" from a small thundershower today to continue our wetness.

Apparently parents got rocked, mom said it looks like a bomb went off, waiting for cary#s to confirm

Seems unusually small: Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center... -- NHC 8pm advisory

Landed in cedar rapids

Quote from another forum Members 1.6k Weather Preferences:Long, hot and dry summers with lots of thunderstorms mixed in Posted 5 minutes ago Way too far out right now but the GFS has a Hurricane Fernand making multiple landfalls across the Caribbean/Florida in around a weeks time with potential major hurricane status. Atmospheric conditions here would be much more favourable for a US landfall than with Erin, still very far out and models still iffy on formation but one to watch closely.

Yeah, went from foggy and zero wind at 6am to blasting north wind (gusts 60+) by noon under deep blue skies. One of the more incredible weather days we have seen in our life times. I remember walking up the beach into sand blasting gusts and having to hold on to my board for dear life.

MH POSSIBLE?

Yes.. lots of 60+ gusts that no one saw coming even up to day before

At best the outer banks could see TS winds. Not impossible given its size too and westward lean.

has anyone else noticed a lot of yellow leaves? i cant tell if im tripping but i feel like im seeing a decent amount of yellow leaves for august. mainly between white plains and armonk, but can someone at least talk me off the ledge... summer can't be over yet

Could it be Blackbeard's revenge? Every time I hear about Ocracoke, that's all I think about.

Yes. I have no idea.

I KNEW IT ERIN SHOULD HAVE GONE TO SPECSAVERS ...NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT ERIN IS UNDERGOING AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE... 8:00 PM AST Sat Aug 16 Location: 20.0°N 64.6°W Moving: W at 15 mph Min pressure: 934 mb Max sustained: 150 mph

I remember it too-was not well forecast but we had 50-65mph gusts under clear skies-interacting with a high pressure off to the west if I remember correctly-alot of tree limbs down..