All Activity

You seriously asking me that question ?

It can happen but rarely does. Also if you could read hoss, my first post said big snows and high ratio 6-9 isn't a big snow. Yea you need cold air to get big snows but not in your backyard (temps in teens). Take a break being a clown hoss.

A couple more shots from Sunday's outing that I hadn't had a chance to get in with the first batch of images:

I'm running +7 or +8 month to date here, while Boston is running -7 to -8 month to date...but we've still had more snow than Boston even with less precipitation and a warmer base climate. Really is a pretty weird pattern this month - everything is a bit off from normal flow and progression.

The MJO is what had me concerned when we were discussing modeling may be pushing back west gradually with the big warmth . If it does go six with a GOA Low it could possibly force a deep western Trough . May start seeing bowling balls down the west Coast and then move inland. If that's the case, you may be right about the NAO and it may hook with the Continent Ridge but, the good thing too is that's more rare than the NAO, SER Hookup. If the NAO is Central based, Greenland centered, it's doubtful any mid continent hookup. It may just force that Ridge west and cause it to sharpen between the far western Trough and back building Eastern one. That happened a couple of times in the late 80's and early 90's. . Rather Tricky setup to forecast coming up. Timing of these features is going to affect the Outcome considerably, imo.

the weeklies can be awful-a couple years ago they showed cold all winter and we baked

....or call BS on it beforehand via own obervations.

Not here it wasn't.

I am highly confident.

I wonder if that modeled -NAO for late month fades...regardless, it's kind of fake, anyway given it's Scandinavian based.

Totally agree. No early end to winter in NE this season.

The Pacific trough pattern into mid January is right...it's therafter that is the time to watch.

Who predicted a warm start to December??

So the weeklies are full of crap iyho?

SSW is more for February...the stretch via reflection event is mid to latter January.

Agree 100%....especially last part.

yesterday watching uploaded abc27 weather the fink as I call him stated and I quote. If you like white christmas this is the closet you will get. from yesterday's snowfall. this week will warm up and thursday will wash the snow away with rain then we go into a warm period. Please oh please let the updated snow for christmas happen

I saw where Bamwx is buying that Depiction. He's getting backlash of course. I recall the Winters when we got cold and Snow with a GOA Low in Place and that was how it was done. Systems would track NW to SE down the Jet . Sometimes Systems would traverse the STJ and phase in the lower Ms Valley. Those were the big ones if you got one in that Pattern. However, I recal some 3-6 inches with the Miller B and Clippers in that Pattern.

Yep, sometimes it’s been a reality also.

Wrapping presents by candlelight?

Complete grid collapses

26.8

Ski resorts will get a big one in the northwest. Blizzard warnings posted for the cascades which isn’t typical over there, even in the winter. Looks like a North Dakota and north Minnesota blizzard as well. Lots of high winds with this Incoming storm, entire intermountain west will see 60+, with mountain ranges seeing up to 90. Could be quite the power outage event over there over next 24-36 hours. Northwest coast has been pounded with rain past week and it’ll only be heavier this week as well.

Yea White Christmas is essentially dead outside of Kamu’s lingering snow pile. I could see some localized street flooding and stream rises from the next system Thursday into Friday. 11 degrees this morning in Media. Currently 22f with a 12f dewpoint identical numbers from 24 hours ago. Snowpack doing its refrigerator thing.