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  2. If I remember correctly too, some of the research on wildfires and influences on severe weather events is also based on the source of the wildfires (i.e. what is burning). Different burn sources are going to release different particulates into the air. And I think there is a big difference between what is burnt/released from Canadian fires versus what is burned and released within the western U.S.
  3. South wind down here at the beach already
  4. smoke every year is the new norm eh can't remember having to deal with this prior to the last few years.
  5. Potential surface disturbance in the NE GOM is still hinted by ensembles. But realistically, any surface low would need steering currents to remain weak to gain development time and any potential vorticity to resolve away from land for something substantial to form.
  6. Today is the best shot, afterwards ridge shifting back west and wildfire smoke probably put a cap on extreme heat.
  7. Be curious to see where we end up with for temperatures today. I don't think statistical guidance (MOS/NBM) factor in smoke so you almost have to guess how much to take off them for temps. Almost may have to subtract something like 7-12F
  8. The trough in the east should quickly pull whatever develops down here northward. Maybe 1-1.5 days over water in the northeastern Gulf
  9. Northeastern Gulf of America: An area of low pressure is expected to form during the weekend over the northeastern Gulf of America. Subsequent slow development of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the northeastern Gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United States by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
  10. It may be more yellow than yesterday right now. Love it. Clean air is working into NNE though.
  11. Nope, this was never a thing growing up. It's almost like... something's changing with the climate and it makes these events more likely.
  12. Just went outside and the smoke smell is thick and there's a coating of fine ash on everything.
  13. Smokey and Very HOT Today !
  14. Bottomed out at 76 here, up to 82/72 now
  15. This will be one of the most important smoke forecasts in recent years. Areas south of the smoke are forecast to get to 100°-103°. Parts of the region where the smoke is thickest will have very poor air quality with temperatures in the 80s.
  16. 80 by 8 most of the local weather stations are reporting low 80s already
  17. Really wondered what would have happened if we didn't have the influences of the smoke yesterday.
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