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The heat is back back again The heat is back tell that ACATT the heat is back, the heat is back, the heat is back

56.3 here last night.

Well we shall see if the prophet is right. Now designated as Invest 97L.

That's a solid heater right there on the GFS... Monday through Thursday 18z temps.

that "climo" of 76/52... and it's rattling off 86F, 90F, 93F, 94F, 88F, 83F, 85F, 81F. Climo drops 2F in highs over the next week... from 78F to 76F. Good grief those departures are going to sky rocket in flight.

Yea weenie land. Whats the lotto tickets ?

AFRICAAAAA BAM BAM BAM SCORE SAM FAKKIN GOALS

OI LADS LEZAK HAS SPOKEN GTFIH BAM BAM BAM LADS

Let’s break some records.

Early shot of BN temps always a good sign imho. Not because it guarantees a decent/cold winter, more because decent/cold winters often have late summer/early fall cool shots.

we need a deep trough to our west to bring canes up the coast. i think se/gulf is more likely

I was looking up ENSO years and not surprisingly, I've started finding conflicting data. The PSL NOAA site now says that 1995-96 was ENSO neutral. I've always known it to be a Nina. It has several other conflicting instances as well.

Pretty impressive that not a single day in the next 7 up here has a high temperature forecast to be less than +5 above normal. Normal is 78F... "coldest" NWS max is 83F next Thursday lol. A couple 92s on Monday and Tuesday. Normal low is 54F and there appears to be nothing lower than 61F, ha. Positive departures are going to escalate rapidly.

Lol

Early data in for July. Warmer one in the books after a string of near avg in recent years. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.

Good spin but as you can see from the size of the wave it is probably going to take a little time to consolidate.

Euro looks very dry until a couple days before the hurricane

Off to DC for bar hopping and a birthday dinner - usually it’s oppressive but today won’t be awful.

Heat is certainly the big story today. At Muskegon, Michigan, the temperature soared to a new daily record of 91F yesterday, surpassing the previous record high of 90F, set in 1900, 1901, and 1941. Across Michigan, a number of stations exceeded 90F yesterday, with readings as high as 93F at Traverse City, Benton Harbor, and the Match-E-Be-Nash-She-Wish Pottawatomi Tribal Soil & Climate Analysis Network station. The point-click forecast for Cherry Capital Airport is 97F today! This would break a daily record and come within striking distance of the monthly high of 100F. Certainly stay cool out there in northern Michigan!

That was the year when we started to see a shift to the warmer storm tracks. We weren't getting snow in southern places, like Baltimore or DC. 16-17 felt more like 07-08, 11-12, and 12-13 rather than the great 09-10/10-11/13-14/14-15.

@GaWx she might think American tourism isn’t her cup of tea

Better than tracking phantom cold fronts that never really happen

I’d rather near ack vs this making landfall in NC and tracking over BGM as a fossil of it’s former self.

Recent dryness will enhance some highs - exceeding forecast by a degree or two perhaps.

With the steering pattern it’s worth a casual eye. That’s it. This is like tracking a HECS signal at D12. Sometimes they turn out real. Most times they don’t. Sometimes it snows in Pensacola.