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Great write-up. This also demonstrates why it's so hard for models to pinpoint storms with these setups.

RIGHT over my Accordion!!

I've asked about him a few times. Has he passed away?

It has to be something with their temperature algorithm.

I know this isn't a SWFE, but the NAM is usually pretty good at resolving mid level thermals within 48 hours.

I'm already enjoying the whole situation regardless. Everything's covered with frost and crispy out here at my buddies in Lisburn. The rocket stoves fired up and the soup's about to go on the barrel. I'm doing my couple mile walk home and possibly beyond tonight regardless of what might be coming from the sky.

And all this time I thought it was a reference to the teacher in the Archie comic strip, Mr. Weatherbee lol

On TT it's showing 4" for DC and Baltimore. QPF pushes 1"+ so that makes no sense. What gives?

Agreed. I remember even in 2016 with Winter Storm Jonas. Euro was the first to latch on and stuck with the longer range models. GFS and others caved and then about 12-24 hours before all the longer range models had it backing off. NAM held it steady as a huge snow dump, pretty much had the deformation bands verbatim to where they actually setup which caused 3+ inch per hour rates and 24+ inches. While I don't expect the LV to get into 24-30+ inches, I think it's wild to start totals any less than double digits here. I like 15-20 inches for the LV with locally higher amounts.

Eh, what is to come shall be what it is. My snowblower batteries are charged, the shovel is at the ready, and I'll be spending tomorrow baking bread, puttering around in my wood shop and anticipating some pretty significant evening snow TV at least. This has been a great winter so far, so anything we get tomorrow/Monday is just icing on the cake for this season imho. I'm looking forward to seeing pics of front yards and decks and yardsticks buried feet-deep. With any luck I'll be able to add to those.

True - hope this stays put

If I remember correctly, it was never apparent that it would not be happening until the event was in progress. I think they rolled with that forecast all the way through. The sad part is that if the storm even verified halfway, 2000-01 would have been remembered as an all-time great winter, with 50+ inches in NYC and 40+ inches in PHL. Instead, that winter is remember as a bust, and not as fondly as the great winters of 2002-03, 2003-04, and 2004-05 that followed.

Only counts the same to seasonal total atleast.

Can't see picture Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

So that's where the wxbb veteran uncwethbee got his screen name. 25 years and I never knew that

When I made the reservations all I could think of was how pissed I'll be if we have a repeat of March 7 2018 while we're away. Watching on the ring cameras isn't a substitute for being out in it.

Yes, March 4-6, 2001

Jelly

We need a cat on that window sill!

Man, how envious am I of you guys. What a season so far.

When the rain is changing to snow. Get headphones and blast every track that reminds you of past snowstorms. Watch the dendrites blow right past the streetlights!

CTP’s sending it, remaining watch area to warnings and a few extra north central counties in it as well. 4-9” .

I abhor whining posts, and we've got a few that are so good at it.

If only we had the mesoscale models back then

Didn’t realize the mean on the SREF plumes for KBDR was 20 inches. That wild, I don’t recall it ever being that high for a mean lol