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I would say 28"

0z Rgem was gonna be good!

The RGEM is a little west vs 18z, which looked pretty good itself.

I tend to joke a lot to relieve tension. Haha

yea from Ill to Iowa lol

Some of this seems to be timing also? RGEM looks to be a few hours slower with the entire sequence of events than it was for 18z.

Ya don't say?

It says 30" when I googled that. What say your sources?

Now we got the winds again. !Rollicking patter after a decade of mostly mundane

NWS always plays it conservative here because most of the time it is true ..."snow likely" is as bullish as you can get this far out GSP added a snow may be heavy at times for the forecast here

I admit I asked it myself but it literally was for a laugh lol. Back to regular scheduled programming.

I dipped to -6.2° on 1/21/26‼️

0z RGEM at 66 looks better over the Midwest but heights are pretty flat in the northeast. Compared it to the GFS at the same time at 18z and there’s a pretty noticeable difference. Let the rest of the run play out and see if it improves.

Whatever the RGEM shows will be shown on the CMC.

OZ ICON does bring snow to eastern NC. 18Z did not.

Yeah, I'm waiting to see what it does when it forms the closed low

Should give it move time to round the base and try to get negative for us.

The earlier/further west the ull pinches off, the better our odds of getting some decent qpf thrown our way. Unfortunately, the ICON does it over Virgina and we get nothing. Fortunately, it's the ICON.

Take this back. Actually gets some snow into RIC. Not a lot but not nothing

So at 72h... the RGEM looks even further west with the NS energy than even the GFS/NAM EDIT: it is flatter in front though

Meh try one more time

You have my attention! Great find. I figured for sure the data wouldn't be included until tomorrow. Lets see where we land at 6z!

All you can ask for at this point

I have seen systems like this stop right at the crest of the Apps. I do think we see some light snow from the northern stream. I remain unconvinced this gets enhanced by the Atlantic...for most of E TN (edit). Backing would help prolong the light snow. I think those high end amounts are incredibly unlikely unless that slp shifts to the coast or just inland. I could see far E TN counties benefiting for sure due to orographic lift. This looks like "an east of I81" type of storm - so far. Tomorrow likely dials in this track. Need some big moves overnight for anyone west of the foothills to score more than 1-2" with this.