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That was the model that had us hitting 109 back in late June and we were laughing at it lol. I remember because you posted the maps.

I had a newly planted tree topple, about 12 feet high, gonna have to stake it i guess.

If the usually toasty GEMLAM doesn't get us to 70 that means we probably won't.

Don it looks like tomorrow is the warmest day out of the next 10, with less wind and some areas approaching 70? Sounds ideal.

True lol. But I have noticed that we rarely ever see mosquitoes during the middle of the day when it's really hot. It's always early on in the morning or much later in the day close to sunset.

But with a cooler climate, as you stated before, we probably didn't have all these invasive tropical species here. I can't imagine hundreds of years ago we had malaria or west nile here or any of these other new illnesses we are seeing. I wonder what our biosystem was like back then? I see some of these towns' histories go back to the 1600s, it must have been as wooded as what I see in the Poconos today. Or even more.

LR Ensembles depict a -AO/-NAO/+PNA pattern for the end of Oct onto early November. We shall see about storminess but should be a Fall feel at least. Not especially cold with a +EPO and deep GoA trough, but also not a Nina-ish look at all.

Still getting some beautiful raspberries down here.

Wow, half that here.

OK this can be deleted now...a rare glitch, this site is very stable. Thanks!

The wetlands in our area are key ecosystems. While we lost large swaths to development from Jamaica Bay out to Eastern LI, at least what we have now has been designated as preserves. Imagine seeing the whole area from NYC out to Long Island hundreds of years ago. NY Harbor back to the NJ Meadowlands was one of the greatest natural estuaries in all of North America. Jamaica Bay wildlife refuge is still one of the most important stopovers for migrating shorebirds in the East. Before the 5 towns was developed it was called the Woodmere Woods. That was an extensive forested area which people fought to save before it got developed in the mid 1900s. Much of Central Nassau was called the Hempstead Plains natural grasslands. Only a small portion of the original habitat survives near Nassau Community College. The back bays from Nassau to across the GSB still have a large mash habitat. The further east you go on Long Island the closer you get to something that is close to the original state. Especially from the Pine Barrens out to the Twin Forks.

No, you had something else to complain about that was more important at the time

The demise of Fsll has been greatly exaggerated.

These are all in the ground . The only issue they’re right in the path of leaf blowing and I had to tiptoe around them on Saturday . Imma give them another week or so and see if anything blooms into fruit and if not , I’ll yank them . But I get no freeze here till early- mid Nov

Thats incredible .. most of my plants got nuked when it hit 29 on the 10th. Still got some beefsteak and roma tomatoes going strong that were planted in the ground though! 2 years ago had peppers, tomatoes, eggplants, etc go strong til 11/1!

Had 35 and a frost in cowee this morning. First of the year

Temperatures will top out in the lower and middle 60s through midweek. A stronger push of cold air could arrive afterward. Cool temperatures will likely persist through next weekend. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around October 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.47°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +7.60 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.132 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 67% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

My high school was built on it and is sinking a few inches every decade lol. They are havens for mosquitoes and other awful biting insects. I think if we exterminated mosquitoes and these other biting flies from the planet no one would ever miss them. Aside from draining the swamps, what else can be done? Spraying of pesticides? But that has its own issues.

Wetlands are, but not the ones in our area (especially not the ones near where people live).

Local PWS is at 0.99” for the day. I need a hundredth.

Solid dousing of rain

I picked 3 medium sized bell peppers, 1 banana pepper, a handful of cherry tomatoes and 3 regular tomatoes today. Still some green ones left on the vines and flowers blooming. The lack of sun probably prevents much new growth . But with zero cold anywhere in sight.. summer marches on .

The wetlands are some of the most important ecosystems on the entire planet.

Still haven't even been in the 30's here. Looks like another mid November or later first frost for BDR.

a little surprised by this because it’s more of a strong-storm induced cooler airmass, not canadian-sourced arctic air