All Activity

The March 1993 superstorm, 93-94, and 95-96 were the fruits of Pinatubo's temporary global cooling.

There could be some epic meltdowns this winter. Speaking of the upcoming winter...a friend told me he received an email from the plowing company he uses informing him that plowing service will not be offered this winter because of the forecasted Super El Nino. According to him the company isnt willing to take the financial risk of losing money this winter.

Our TS days in July/August has averaged a bit over 7. 2025+26 has totaled only 5 and nothing of note. Our weekend was sunless until just before sunset yesterday as the earlier forecasts of 60-70% PoP declined to 30-40%. Total 2-day precip: 0.03".

Also had the 2 major snowstorm in April followed by light snow and sleet a few days later.

Chris any idea what the annual snowfall average should be around here? I get varying numbers from 50 inches per year to 70 inches per year. It must be strongly dependent on elevation. I'm actually served by the Jim Thorpe post office (the town is considered the Switzerland of the United States with its own clock tower and mountains in the background it reminds me of the quaint old town from Back to the Future lol.) But I'm regularly 7-10 degrees cooler than Jim Thorpe proper because my elevation is around 1580 feet here. Bear Creek Lake which is just to my east has an elevation of 1544 feet. When Lehighton hit 101 in early July we only made it to 93-94 on two days. The nearest airport to here is K12N 9.6 miles from here in Lehighton. Do you have any other nearby snowfall measuring locations besides Lake Harmony? Albrightsville is also near by as is Summit Hill. Need to match elevations to get a proper snowfall estimate. What is the least amount of snow that Mount Pocono has ever had in a season and the most? For monthly records I think they received around 4 feet of snow in January 1987. February 1988 and Mrach 1993. I remember coming here right after the 1993 Superstorm and the first floor of this house was buried in snow! The only time anything like that ever came close to happening on Long Island was in the winter of 2010-11.

Another chilly morning here, low of 52, and some gusts to around 25mph this morning. both the coldest temps and highest (non-tstorm) winds i've felt in a few months

I'm beating a dead horse here, but that is a horrible look. It would be nice to have at least one powerful long-tracker to, well, track. No use in complaining. It is what it is...

The very warm NW Pacific continues to drive a solid -PDO. It would be nice if that would diminish in intensity and allow a PDO increase. Strong El Niño forcing tends to favor a +PDO looking well back in history. Actually from 1877-8 through 1957-8, all 11 strong ones had a +PDO DJF. However, 1965-6 and 1972-3 were neutral. Then the 4 strong ones 1982-3 through 1997-8 went back to +PDO followed by a neutral 2009-10. 2015-6 went back to +PDO followed by 2023-4 being the first on record with a -PDO and a strong one at that! Being that August of 2026 will end up most likely 2nd strongest pre strong Nino Aug -PDO with even a slight chance at the strongest -PDO pre-strong Nino Aug, the chances of a +PDO this winter are low. Hopefully it would rise to neutral PDO and we don’t get the 2nd strong Nino winter -PDO in a row.Full tally for 20 strong El Niño events since 1877-8:-16 (80%) +PDO - 3 (15%) neutral PDO- 1 (5%) -PDOPDO data: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/ersst/v5/v6/index/ersst.v6.pdo.dat

I used to think so too I'm just a little north of you in the Poconos in actuality we need both el ninos and la ninas we just don't want either to get too strong. Our best summers and winters come in the transition years from el nino to la nina think 1995-96 and 2010-11. So the transition period between el nino and la nina might be the most exciting time both for summer and winter weather.

I love reading your posts they are always very informative John! Are you aware of Sir Roger Penrose's Conformal Cyclical Cosmology? He uses geometry to explain how the expansion of the universe could be one in many cycles of expansion and contraction and how what seems like increasing entropy will one day maybe a trillion years from now lead to a return to a very low entropy state like at the so called Big Bang which was really a Big Bounce. It doesn't violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics as long as the universe is at least slightly larger with each reiteration of the cycle. Think of a ball rolling up and down successive hills with potential energy being converted to kinetic energy as it rolls downhill and being converted back to potential energy as it rolls up the next hill. This is how a cyclic universe would be possible with the ball rolling downhill representing expansion and the ball rolling uphill representing contraction. Reason being that going uphill goes against gravity and going downhill happens because of gravity. Each cell living, breathing and dying really is like its own universe but also cyclic in a way because nothing is ever truly destroyed (the Law of Conservation of Mass-Energy) it just changes form and becomes part of the next whole. The idea of the primary colors representing the universe are intriguing. You could have space represented by the additive primaries of RGB red green blue and the arrow of time represented by black in our universe and an anniversary with its anti-space represented by the subtractive primaries of CMY cyan magenta yellow and an equal but opposite arrow of time represented by white, so as our universe expands its anniversary contracts and vice versa.

Here we go again

I'm the opposite; I love ninos live in central MD and our best snow chances are in niños--and a lingering nina state is bad news for us as we get screwed out of the goods most of the time, lol Which is why those in our region are hoping we can get something out this one (before la nina reigns supreme again for two years!)

Waters off the east coast certainly lost the chill of early to mid summer in a hurry.

NP. To each their own

Some 50's across central NC this morning. Combined with the low humidity it feels great outside

August 24 2006: Tornadoes and large hail strike southern Minnesota. One person died and 37 were injured when a strong tornado began 4 miles west-southwest of Nicollet in Nicollet County, and moved almost due east for 33 miles to near Waterville in Le Sueur County. Many storm chasers captured the tornado on video. The largest hail reported was grapefruit-sized at New Prague in Scott County. 1934: Early cool air invades southern Minnesota. Rochester and Fairmont have lows of 34 degrees. For Monday, August 24, 2026 1906 - A cloudburst deluged Guinea, VA, with more than nine inches of rain in just forty minutes. (David Ludlum) 1968 - Lightning struck the Crawford County fairgrounds in northwest Pennsylvania killing two persons and injuring 72 others. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Autumn-like weather prevailed across the north central and northeastern U.S. Seven cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Saint Cloud MN with a low of 37 degrees. Temperatures in Florida soared to 98 degrees at Pensacola and 99 degrees at Jacksonville. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the Southern High Plains Region, with 5.40 inches at Union NM, and 7.25 inches reported west of Anthony NM. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms in the Delaware Valley of eastern Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 95 mph around Philadelphia, and gusts to 100 mph at Warminster. A tropical depression drenched the Cabo Rojo area of southwestern Puerto Rico with up to ten inches of rain. San Juan received 5.35 inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in eastern Montana and western sections of the Dakotas. Thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 76 mph at Jordan, and golf ball size hail at Rock Springs, which collected three to four feet deep in ditches. Lewiston ID reported a record 1.50 inches of rain for the date, and a record rainfall total for August of 2.63 inches. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992 - Hurricane Andrew made landfall in southern Florida at 4:30 AM on this day. The high winds caused catastrophic damage in Florida, with Miami-Dade County cities of Florida City, Homestead, and Cutler Ridge receiving the brunt of the storm. About 63,000 homes were destroyed, and over 101,000 others were damaged. This storm left roughly 175,000 people homeless. As many as 1.4 million people were left without electricity at the height of the storm. In the Everglades, 70,000 acres (280 km2) of trees were knocked down. Additionally, rainfall in Florida was substantial, peaking at 13.98 in (355 mm) in western Miami-Dade County. About $25 billion in damage and 44 fatalities were reported in Florida. Observances: 24 Mon National Waffle Day 24 Mon Kobe Bryant Day 24 Mon International Strange Music Day 24 Mon Pluto Demoted Day 24 Mon National Emory Day 24 Mon National Peach Pie Day 24 Mon National SKAM Artist Day 24 Mon St Bartholomew History 24 Mon National Knife Day

Nice way to end meteorological summer! To me at least out in my area of NWNJ the summer did not seem all that hot. There were hot days for sure but it was not endless day after day to 90+ out this way. Humidity was another story so glad to get break from that.

Yuck lol can't grow any of that here the rabbits and deer would eat everything. On the plus side though the big rabbits that I have here eat all the weeds and are quite tame and look at me quite calmly while I snap pictures of them near one of my ponds. August is a lost month around here and no longer part of summer I'd say. It's not quite fall either though I'd say our summers have become limited to June and July while August and September can be considered part of a new fifth season we could call the monsoon season like what they have in India and the SW. There's a nearly total lunar eclipse that peaks at 93% at 12:12 am on Friday but as usual it will be too cloudy to see anything. Two clear days out of seven is not my idea of summer. Normal summer weather in our area should at a bare minimum include 6 clear days out of 7 and I'd strive for 9 clear days out of 10 with one inch of rain every 10 days.

My monthly total now stands at 13.28", which would already be good for my third wettest month ever, behind only August of 2018 and September of 2011.

Another chilly morning. Mid 30's-40's inland with 50's along the shore.

I dislike el ninos too our most interesting weather happens during la Nina's so if there was a way to modify the climate the first thing I would look at are a network of underwater devices that would prevent super el ninos from happening. I also agree with you that la nina is the natural state and a big one is coming in the next 1 to 2 years and very likely a very hot and dry summer like 1966, 1983, 1999 and 2010 had. I look forward to it.

these don't do it for me, personally

Euro and cm can have been showing the ridge/warmth potential for Aug 31 - labor day on several runs.