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18z GFS obliterates Kamu

I think I heard that in an Elvis song

and I just looked at the ICON and it says YEP also,,,,,,,,ps I literally just looked th these 4 models for the first time in days,,,,,,thoughts for Saturday into Sunday ?

Trouble? You’ve come to the right place. .

Same in AA Co. not sure why.

Canadian says hi also ,,,,,,

While we are at it = GFS also

I'm not looking to start any trouble but it's less than 48 hours away and the Euro is still showing some snow for the area ? Just sayin

Another bump like that on the gfs at 00z and someone could get a good event

Yeah I'm slightly concerned--in part because in ninas NS waves favor E/NE of here more, it seems...so if we saw a slow bleed that way I would not be shocked. But hopefully not

Even away from the mountains it’s been a pretty snowy period. Not necessarily in terms of total accumulation but just a constant light snow. I think I’ve got 5”-6” this week.

This is probably a little bit over done, but wow. The 18z GFS puts down 2-3" on Sunday for TRI and the foothills. I would not be surprised to see more areas which see at least some snow in the air - maybe not even seen on radar.

Pretty clear trend for 4+ amounts to occur from NE MD to N DE into SNJ, maybe as far north as Philly.

What ratio should I expect? On .00 QPF

Same with AA county .

Latest blend. The 4" over my yard is from some of the CAMs, like the FV3. Not buying that. All other guidance indicates 2-3.

These are the lifetime experiences and memories we seek

Is this ant different from other clippers? Are we just lucky in the positioning?

Oh trust me I’m very concerned about it. I’d be less concerned if I was you just based on locations but we both could get mega screwed here. What’s funny is if things hold we’ll just be waiting for that band to form and praying for our nowcasting. Can’t really even watch it come in.

Lol not me. Not unless this moves 40 miles north.

Yes it is. It's a real shame this event doesn't have even another 0.1" - 0.25" liquid to work with. We're really on the cusp of a respectable event here.

Yep slowly going to the other models

Still got 36 hours...NAM went more NE as did the Icon...gonna watch to see if that trend continues at 0z

you can’t reliably book an xmas ski week in Lake Placid now. they have had a solid run of bad xmas weeks for a while now with a few exceptions. It’s only 300 miles north. It’s not like it’s in Siberia. If its 55 here, it is 45 there.

GFS looked a little better to me at 18z.