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Total cancel on gfs. Hope it’s wrong.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
brooklynwx99 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
there was also a major block that was poorly forecasted in February... one of the worst pattern busts I've ever seen. if that occurred, things would have turned out a whole lot differently that month -
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Wheel of 'rhea.... probably won't be quite that awful
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
should he hold your hand and tell you it's going to be a modoki? -
Awesome pattern on the GFS
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That cansips was from Sept though...pretty far out. -
2015-2016 had some big snowstorms here. Once upon a time there was a map posted here that showed that once you cross into super Nino threshold that we actually start to get above normal winter precip. The worst part of a Nino around here is the tendency for dryness. Even the weaker ones where we get below normal temperatures have a tendency to be dry. If super Nino can get us above normal precip, I would take that any day over a garbage non Nino winter like 01-02 or 11-12.
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Jersey south was boiling, regardless
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yeah, not too into getting into a debate with lawn obsessed americans but the notion that women are the ones into lawn care was p funny real heads know baddies are all about the native plants
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Time to drop by and share a few of these
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I wonder if Eastern NE was cooler, and if higher nighttime lows skewed the mean out there. That said, I do know there were several hot days mixed in this month, especially further west.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You’re a f*cking asshole. Par for the course from you. Troll -
Only if this pattern holds. I'm skeptical. WX/PT
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It’s not going to change that much with 95% of the days already baked in.
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Been hit with a few of the pop-ups. Drops the temp into the '50s temporarily.
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My insensitivity analysis says that June will average below normal temps and precip - I'll leave the more accurate sensitivity analysis outlook to Don.
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Came across a random patch of snow today. It's at the end of a camp drive so it's remnants from a plowed pile, but impressive to see on May 28th, nonetheless.
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Repost June 1
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Should Snowman change his name to Ben Noll? Its pretty much his feed non-stop in here. -
Someone should tell Upton this is not Mostly Sunny - they make the same mistake in these set ups contently - and now it is even showering
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Yeah supposed to be totally sunny today
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Yup. Even some brief heavy downpours around. .
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On the contrary....everyone goes into strong/super ninos expecting a less wintry than avg winter. It is the warmista weenies who will lose their minds if the warmest strong nino analog doesnt turn out to be the best analog, and/or if its snowier than expected despite mild temps.
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Not one mention of it at all in any forecast that I saw
